本文選題：中國夢 + 評價指標(biāo)體系�。� 參考：《中國社會科學(xué)院研究生院》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：“中國夢”一詞最早出現(xiàn)在1276年鄭思肖的詩句“一心中國夢，萬古下泉詩”中，近代通過文化作品進(jìn)入人們視野，2003年被鄭必堅教授用來反駁“中國威脅論”代表中國發(fā)展的和平性，自此便進(jìn)入了學(xué)術(shù)界。之后在吳建明同志組織下連續(xù)召開了三屆以“中國夢與和諧世界”為主旨的研討會，會上學(xué)者們提出了許多自己對中國夢的看法，其中主流的觀點是中國夢為和諧發(fā)展和文明復(fù)興。2012年11月，國家主席習(xí)近平同志也提出了自己對中國夢的見解，并用“實現(xiàn)中華民族的偉大復(fù)興”來概括其內(nèi)涵，指出當(dāng)前兩個階段目標(biāo)——2020年的全面小康（中等發(fā)達(dá)）和2050年的社會主義現(xiàn)代化（邁入發(fā)達(dá)國家）一定能實現(xiàn)。習(xí)近平同志的講話，不僅高度概括統(tǒng)一了中國夢的含義，也將其與國家發(fā)展規(guī)劃聯(lián)系在一起，之后以更多的學(xué)者就其內(nèi)涵、特征等進(jìn)行了定性分析。本文以此為基礎(chǔ)，嘗試對中國夢現(xiàn)階段目標(biāo)的實現(xiàn)程度進(jìn)行量化。 基于學(xué)者對中國夢和其兩個階段目標(biāo)的研究，，本文構(gòu)建了一個包含經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、民生、環(huán)境和國際影響力五個方面的四級評價指標(biāo)體系，以國家發(fā)展規(guī)劃為思想指導(dǎo)，采用理論和統(tǒng)計分析結(jié)合的方法完善了體系中目標(biāo)的設(shè)定。之后采用綜合評價分析法對我國1990年到2011年的數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了實證分析，得出了以下結(jié)論：（1）1990年到2011年中國夢的總體指標(biāo)幾乎一直處于上升狀態(tài)，其增長率受政府政策、自然災(zāi)害、金融危機(jī)、基礎(chǔ)工程建設(shè)和技術(shù)進(jìn)步的影響較大；（2）2011年對2020年目標(biāo)的總體實現(xiàn)程度為81.77%，按照歷史經(jīng)驗數(shù)據(jù)規(guī)律，更可能在2018年提前完成目標(biāo)的結(jié)論；（3）除二級指標(biāo)除影響力方面的指標(biāo)波動較大外，其余四個方面均為增長趨勢，環(huán)境和民生方面指標(biāo)隨時間的增長趨勢接近直線，而經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會的增長趨勢為三次曲線；（4）“四化”建設(shè)的同步性雖然在增長，但農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化與其他三化的差距也越來越明顯。根據(jù)分析結(jié)果，文章針對很可能影響中國夢2020年目標(biāo)實現(xiàn)的幾個方面，提出了調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、優(yōu)化收入分配、提高農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化、保障社會穩(wěn)定、促進(jìn)教育公平、增加軍事信息化支出等方面的建議。
[Abstract]:The word "Chinese Dream" first appeared in the poem of Zheng Sixiao in 1276, "one mind Chinese Dream, forever Lower Spring Poems". In 2003, Professor Zheng Bijian used Professor Zheng Bijian to refute the peaceful nature of the "China threat" on behalf of China's development. Since then, he has entered the academic circles. After that, under the organization of Comrade Wu Jianming, three consecutive seminars were held with the theme of "Chinese Dream and a harmonious world," at which scholars put forward many of their views on Chinese Dream. The mainstream view is that Chinese Dream is for harmonious development and civilization renaissance. In November 2012, President Xi Jinping also put forward his own views on Chinese Dream and summed up its connotation by "realizing the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation." It is pointed out that the goals of the current two stages-the overall well-off (moderately developed) in 2020 and the socialist modernization in 2050 (entering developed countries) can be achieved. Comrade Xi Jinping's speech not only highly generalizes and unifies the meaning of Chinese Dream, but also connects it with the national development plan, and then makes a qualitative analysis on its connotation and characteristics with more scholars. Based on this, this paper attempts to quantify the degree of realization of Chinese Dream goals at the present stage. Based on the scholars' research on Chinese Dream and its two-stage goal, this paper constructs a four-level evaluation index system, which includes five aspects: economy, society, people's livelihood, environment and international influence, which is guided by the national development plan. The method of combining theory and statistical analysis is used to perfect the goal setting in the system. Then we use the comprehensive evaluation analysis method to analyze the data of our country from 1990 to 2011, and draw the following conclusion: 1) the overall index of Chinese Dream from 1990 to 2011 is almost rising, and its growth rate is affected by government policy and natural disaster. Financial crisis, infrastructure construction and technological progress have a great impact on the achievement of 2020 target in 2011. The overall degree of achievement is 81.77. According to the rule of historical data, it is more likely to complete the target in 2018. Except for the second class index, except the influence index, the other four aspects are growth trend, the environment and people's livelihood increase trend is close to straight line with time, but the economic and social growth trend is cubic curve; 4) although the synchronism of the construction of the four modernizations is increasing, the gap between the modernization of agriculture and the other three modernizations is becoming more and more obvious. According to the analysis results, aiming at several aspects that may affect the realization of Chinese Dream 2020 goal, the paper puts forward the adjustment of industrial structure, the optimization of income distribution, the improvement of agricultural modernization, the guarantee of social stability, and the promotion of educational fairness. Increase military information expenditure and other aspects of the proposal.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國社會科學(xué)院研究生院
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：D61;F124

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前4條

1 薄成珍;;中國經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)代化內(nèi)涵研究述評[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究導(dǎo)刊;2008年13期

2 湯以倫,劉興遠(yuǎn);全面建設(shè)小康社會:目標(biāo)解析與評價指標(biāo)[J];江蘇統(tǒng)計;2002年12期

3 王鳳杰;關(guān)于中等發(fā)達(dá)國家的概念界定[J];教學(xué)與研究;2005年03期

4 仁鈺;韓學(xué)平;;黑龍江省農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展進(jìn)程評價研究[J];黑龍江農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué);2014年01期

本文編號：2035745