本文選題：可支配收入 + 消費性支出��； 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：自1978年改革開放以來，我國經(jīng)濟高速持續(xù)增長，經(jīng)濟結(jié)構(gòu)也在不斷的變化。當(dāng)前,出口、消費和投資等幾大因素成為了拉動國民經(jīng)濟繼續(xù)增長的關(guān)鍵。然而，，對于我國經(jīng)濟增長的作用，這三者并不是相同的。經(jīng)過實踐證明，內(nèi)需驅(qū)動型經(jīng)濟增長模式是保持經(jīng)濟健康穩(wěn)定增長的戰(zhàn)略性途徑。而處理好投資和消費兩種拉動內(nèi)需關(guān)鍵因素之間的關(guān)系是該種經(jīng)濟增長模式的關(guān)鍵。對于內(nèi)需驅(qū)動型經(jīng)濟增長的兩個重要的因素投資和消費來說，作用更為顯著的是消費這個因素。當(dāng)前來說，內(nèi)需不足也將成為未來制約我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的一大問題。而推動經(jīng)濟增長的根本動力就是消費的增長。 作為我國文化經(jīng)濟中心的北京，其經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平處于我國的前列。北京市居民也成為了中國的一個特殊的消費群體，其消費模式、消費行為和消費結(jié)構(gòu)具有許多突出的特點：相對于落后地區(qū)的示范性和相對于發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的代表性。所以，對于北京城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費的研究，不僅對北京城鎮(zhèn)居民消費水平有一定的提高作用，也可以對我國相對落后地區(qū)消費水平作出示范。因此，對北京城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費的研究對我國經(jīng)濟的良好穩(wěn)定增長具有重大的現(xiàn)實意義。 首先本文先對宏觀經(jīng)濟數(shù)據(jù)進行分析，對北京市城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費的水平和消費結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀及變化趨勢進行描述性分析。然后，在描述性分析的基礎(chǔ)上，本文將以絕對收入假說為基本模型，建立北京市城鎮(zhèn)居民的誤差修正模型，探討收入與消費之間的關(guān)系。在消費結(jié)構(gòu)研究分析方面，本文利用年北京市城鎮(zhèn)居民消費的截面數(shù)據(jù)建立擴展線性支出模型（ELES）,接著通過對面板數(shù)據(jù)的研究，建立Pandel data模型，研究時間效應(yīng)和收入效應(yīng)對消費結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。 經(jīng)過本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，北京作為中國發(fā)展的樣板性城市，城鎮(zhèn)居民已經(jīng)先于許多城市的居民擺脫了貧困，經(jīng)歷了小康階段，走進了總體富裕。但是人均消費性支出的增速慢于人均可支配收入的增速，收入和消費之間的差距在不斷擴大，北京城鎮(zhèn)居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)也在不斷的升級，人們在滿足物質(zhì)消費的同時，開始注重精神層次的消費。消費結(jié)構(gòu)也趨于穩(wěn)定趨勢。不同收入等級不同的居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)差異也是很大的，各有各的特征。而一部分低收入戶依然處于貧困狀態(tài)，他們的基本消費需求還沒有完全滿足，解決這部分居民的困難是政府需要首要關(guān)注的問題。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up in 1978, China's economy has been growing at a high speed and its economic structure has been changing. At present, export, consumption and investment and other factors have become the key to the continued growth of the national economy. However, the role of economic growth in China, these three are not the same. Practice has proved that domestic demand-driven economic growth model is a strategic way to maintain healthy and stable economic growth. The key to this kind of economic growth model is to deal with the relationship between investment and consumption. For the two important factors of domestic demand-driven economic growth, investment and consumption, the role of consumption is more significant. At present, insufficient domestic demand will also become a major problem restricting the economic development of our country in the future. As the cultural and economic center of our country, Beijing's economic development level is in the forefront of our country. Beijing residents have also become a special consumer group in China, their consumption patterns, consumption behavior and consumption structure have many outstanding characteristics: the demonstration relative to the backward areas and the representativeness of the developed regions. Therefore, the study on the consumption of Beijing urban residents can not only improve the consumption level of Beijing urban residents to some extent, but also demonstrate the consumption level of the relatively backward areas in China. Therefore, the study on the consumption of urban residents in Beijing is of great practical significance to the good and stable economic growth of our country. The present situation and trend of consumption level and consumption structure of urban residents in Beijing are analyzed in a descriptive way. Then, on the basis of descriptive analysis, this paper takes absolute income hypothesis as the basic model, establishes the error correction model of urban residents in Beijing, and probes into the relationship between income and consumption. In the research and analysis of consumption structure, this paper establishes the extended linear expenditure model by using the cross-section data of urban residents' consumption in Beijing, and then establishes the Pandel data model through the research of panel data. This paper studies the effect of time effect and income effect on the consumption structure. Through the study, it is found that Beijing, as a model city for the development of China, has got rid of poverty and experienced a well-to-do stage before the residents of many cities. Into the overall affluence. However, the per capita consumption expenditure is growing slower than the per capita disposable income, the gap between income and consumption is constantly expanding, the consumption structure of urban residents in Beijing is also constantly upgrading, and people are satisfying material consumption at the same time. Begin to pay attention to the consumption of spiritual level. The consumption structure also tends to be stable. Different income levels of different residents of the consumption structure is also very large, each has its own characteristics. While some low-income households are still in poverty, their basic consumption needs have not been fully met, to solve the difficulties of this part of the residents is the most important issue that the government should pay attention to.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F126.1

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本文編號：1992421