本文選題：縣域經(jīng)濟 + 核密度分析　； 參考：《湖南師范大學(xué)自然科學(xué)學(xué)報》2017年05期

【摘要】：采用核密度分析、馬爾科夫鏈、空間馬爾科夫鏈等非參數(shù)分析方法,分析湖南省縣域經(jīng)濟增長的時空演變規(guī)律.研究表明:(1)整體呈現(xiàn)出"總體趨向分異,板塊趨向收斂"的空間轉(zhuǎn)移變化格局.(2)密度分布曲線經(jīng)歷了先向右偏移后向左偏移的轉(zhuǎn)移變化;核密度值(0.6~0.8)集中區(qū),人均GDP不斷降低,表明低狀態(tài)水平的縣區(qū)相對更加"落后";核密度極值區(qū)則由"雙核"演變到"單核",形成了一個高密度值的收斂區(qū)域.(3)湖南省4個狀態(tài)水平的穩(wěn)定性是高狀態(tài)低狀態(tài)中高狀態(tài)中低狀態(tài),在由低狀態(tài)到高狀態(tài)的4個區(qū)域背景下,低一級狀態(tài)向高一級狀態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)移的概率之和由小變大.最后,根據(jù)不同狀態(tài)縣域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的水平,提出了針對性的政策建議.
[Abstract]:Non-parametric analysis methods such as nuclear density analysis, Markov chain and spatial Markov chain are used to analyze the temporal and spatial evolution of county economic growth in Hunan Province. The results show that the density distribution curve of the whole shows a spatial transition pattern of "general tendency towards differentiation and plate convergence". The density distribution curve has experienced a transfer change from first to right and then to the left, and the nuclear density value is 0. 60.8) in the concentration area, the per capita GDP decreases continuously. It shows that the county with low state level is more "backward", and the extreme region of nuclear density evolves from "double nucleus" to "single nucleus", forming a convergent region of high density value. 3) the stability of four state levels in Hunan Province is lower than that of high state. Medium, high, low, Under the background of four regions from low state to high state, the sum of the probability of transition from lower state to higher state changes from small to large. Finally, according to the level of county economy development in different states, the paper puts forward targeted policy recommendations.
【作者單位】： 湖南師范大學(xué)資源環(huán)境科學(xué)學(xué)院;
【基金】：湖南省教育廳創(chuàng)新平臺資助項目(I5K081)
【分類號】：F127

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