東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力評估
本文選題:海岸帶 + 綜合承載力; 參考:《中國人口·資源與環(huán)境》2017年02期
【摘要】:隨著人類對海岸帶開發(fā)強度的不斷提高,海岸帶資源、環(huán)境問題日益突出,海岸帶可持續(xù)發(fā)展成為人類共識,海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力研究作為該區(qū)域可持續(xù)發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)性研究,可以為海岸帶區(qū)域合理開發(fā)與管理提供重要理論支撐。本文選取東營市海岸帶為研究區(qū)域,以海岸帶濕地遙感解譯數(shù)據(jù)、淺海水質(zhì)監(jiān)測數(shù)據(jù)及社會經(jīng)濟統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù)為數(shù)據(jù)源,運用狀態(tài)空間法計算了研究區(qū)2010—2014年海岸帶區(qū)域的綜合承載力;對東營市與濰坊市、濱州市的海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力進(jìn)行了比較分析;預(yù)測了2016—2020年東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力;依據(jù)研究結(jié)果探討了海岸帶可持續(xù)利用的未來途徑。結(jié)果表明:在過去的2010—2014年和預(yù)測的2016—2020年東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力均處于超載狀態(tài),但總趨勢是向好的;同時,2010—2014年東營市海岸帶在吸引外資、港口發(fā)展、海岸帶生態(tài)系統(tǒng)服務(wù)價值、淺海海域水環(huán)境方面具有明顯優(yōu)勢,但社會公共服務(wù)投入不平衡、不穩(wěn)定。與2016—2020年東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力預(yù)測結(jié)果相比較而言,2011年東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力超載最明顯,與該年環(huán)境壓力大和社會投入不足有關(guān)。2014年東營市各縣區(qū)海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力均處于超載狀態(tài),廣饒縣超載最明顯;同時各縣區(qū)自然、社會、經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平差異較大,市轄區(qū)社會經(jīng)濟指標(biāo)優(yōu)于各縣區(qū)。東營市海岸帶區(qū)域綜合承載力相比濰坊市、濱州市在資源、環(huán)境、生態(tài)方面具有明顯優(yōu)勢,但在社會支撐方面投入不足,因此可以通過保持資源、生態(tài)優(yōu)勢,彌補社會投入不足等措施提高東營市海岸帶可持續(xù)利用水平。
[Abstract]:With the increasing development intensity of coastal zone, the problems of coastal zone resources and environment are becoming more and more prominent. The sustainable development of coastal zone has become a common understanding of human beings. The study of comprehensive bearing capacity in coastal zone is regarded as the basic research of sustainable development in this region. It can provide important theoretical support for the rational development and management of coastal zone. In this paper, the coastal zone of Dongying City is selected as the research area, and the remote sensing interpretation data of coastal wetland, the monitoring data of shallow water quality and the data of social and economic statistics are taken as the data sources. The comprehensive bearing capacity of the coastal zone in the study area from 2010 to 2014 is calculated by using the state space method, and the comprehensive bearing capacity of the coastal zone in Dongying City, Weifang City and Binzhou City is compared and analyzed. The comprehensive bearing capacity of the coastal zone in Dongying City from 2016 to 2020 is predicted, and the future approaches to the sustainable utilization of the coastal zone are discussed based on the results of the study. The results show that the comprehensive bearing capacity of the coastal zone of Dongying City in the past 2010-2014 and the predicted period 2016-2020 is in a state of overload, but the general trend is positive, and the coastal zone of Dongying City in 2010-2014 is attracting foreign capital and port development. The value of ecosystem service in coastal zone has obvious advantages in water environment of shallow sea area, but the input of social public service is unbalanced and unstable. Compared with the prediction results of the comprehensive bearing capacity in the coastal zone of Dongying City in 2016-2020, the overloading of the comprehensive bearing capacity in the coastal zone of Dongying City in 2011 is the most obvious. In 2014, the comprehensive carrying capacity of coastal zones in Dongying City was in a state of overloading, and the overloading of Guangrao County was the most obvious, and the level of natural, social and economic development of each county and district was quite different. Social and economic indicators of municipal districts are superior to those of counties and districts. Compared with Weifang City, Binzhou City has obvious advantages in resources, environment and ecology, but insufficient investment in social support. To make up for the shortage of social investment and other measures to improve the level of sustainable use of the coastal zone of Dongying City.
【作者單位】: 山東師范大學(xué)地理與環(huán)境學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金面上項目“黃河三角洲濕地生態(tài)價值評估與生態(tài)補償標(biāo)準(zhǔn)研究”(批準(zhǔn)號:41371517) 山東省科技計劃項目“基于RS技術(shù)的黃河三角洲濕地退化與生態(tài)補償標(biāo)準(zhǔn)研究”(批準(zhǔn)號:2013GSF11706)
【分類號】:F127
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