發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-05-29 11:29

  本文選題：環(huán)境規(guī)制 + 影子經(jīng)濟(jì)�。� 參考：《廈門大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：在我國環(huán)境污染問題日益嚴(yán)峻情況下,如何有效的控制污染繞不開環(huán)境規(guī)制有效性問題。而以往對環(huán)境規(guī)制有效性的大量研究中往往著眼于企業(yè)層面,并且忽略了影子經(jīng)濟(jì)的存在及其作用。本文認(rèn)為影子經(jīng)濟(jì)的存在帶來環(huán)境污染的同時(shí),也將影響環(huán)境規(guī)制的有效性。加大環(huán)境規(guī)制可能在減少官方經(jīng)濟(jì)污染的同時(shí),促使部分官方經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)向影子經(jīng)濟(jì)部門逃逸,增加影子經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模及其資本密集度,并在整體上增加了環(huán)境污染。所以本文在考慮影子經(jīng)濟(jì)存在的情況下,探討環(huán)境規(guī)制對環(huán)境污染影響的非線性關(guān)系,分析環(huán)境規(guī)制、影子經(jīng)濟(jì)對環(huán)境污染的影響及其機(jī)制,并運(yùn)用我國省級面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。 首先,本文通過MIMIC模型估計(jì)方法,選取政府管制、間接稅負(fù)及失業(yè)率作為原因變量,將實(shí)際GDP增長率與就業(yè)率增量作為指標(biāo)變量,測算了1998—2012年我國30個(gè)省區(qū)市的影子經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模。其次,本文構(gòu)建了環(huán)境規(guī)制、影子經(jīng)濟(jì)與環(huán)境污染三者關(guān)系的理論框架,并提出了本文待檢驗(yàn)的四個(gè)理論假設(shè)。最后,本文根據(jù)理論框架引入交互項(xiàng)變量,構(gòu)建逐步回歸計(jì)量模型,利用1998—2012年省際面板數(shù)據(jù)通過使用DriscollKraay標(biāo)準(zhǔn)誤的固定效應(yīng)模型對本文的理論假設(shè)進(jìn)行了回歸估計(jì)。 本文研究得出如下四個(gè)主要結(jié)論：(1)1998—2012年全國平均影子經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模介于11.14%-15.37%之間,且大體呈現(xiàn)緩慢上漲趨勢。(2)加強(qiáng)環(huán)境規(guī)制一方面將直接減少了環(huán)境污染；另一方面,將通過影子經(jīng)濟(jì)間接增加了環(huán)境污染。環(huán)境規(guī)制與環(huán)境污染整體上存在正相關(guān)關(guān)系。(3)影子經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模與環(huán)境污染之間存在非線性關(guān)系,影子經(jīng)濟(jì)資本密集度的提升將嚴(yán)重惡化環(huán)境污染。(4)環(huán)境規(guī)制通過資本密集型影子經(jīng)濟(jì)部門增加了環(huán)境污染。
[Abstract]:Under the increasingly serious environmental pollution problem in our country, how to effectively control the pollution can not solve the problem of the effectiveness of environmental regulation. However, many researches on the effectiveness of environmental regulation often focus on the enterprise level, and ignore the existence and function of shadow economy. This paper holds that the existence of shadow economy will also affect the effectiveness of environmental regulation while bringing environmental pollution. Increasing environmental regulation may reduce official economic pollution, at the same time, promote some official economic activities to escape to shadow economy sector, increase shadow economy scale and its capital intensity, and increase environmental pollution as a whole. Therefore, considering the existence of shadow economy, this paper discusses the nonlinear relationship between environmental regulation and environmental pollution, analyzes the impact of environmental regulation, shadow economy on environmental pollution and its mechanism. And the use of provincial panel data for empirical analysis. Firstly, through the MIMIC model estimation method, this paper selects the government regulation, the indirect tax burden and the unemployment rate as the reason variable, takes the real GDP growth rate and the employment rate increment as the index variable. The shadow economy scale of 30 provinces, autonomous regions and cities in China from 1998 to 2012 is calculated. Secondly, this paper constructs the theoretical framework of the relationship among environmental regulation, shadow economy and environmental pollution, and puts forward four theoretical hypotheses to be tested in this paper. Finally, based on the introduction of interactive variables in the theoretical framework, a stepwise regression econometric model is constructed, and the theoretical assumptions of this paper are estimated by using the fixed effect model of DriscollKraay standard error using inter-provincial panel data from 1998 to 2012. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the average scale of shadow economy in China from 1998 to 2012 is between 11.14% and 15.37%, and there is a slow rising trend.) strengthening environmental regulation will, on the one hand, directly reduce environmental pollution; on the other hand, strengthen environmental regulation. Will indirectly increase environmental pollution through the shadow economy. There is a positive correlation between environmental regulation and environmental pollution as a whole. (3) there is a nonlinear relationship between the scale of shadow economy and environmental pollution. The increase of capital intensity of shadow economy will seriously worsen environmental pollution. (4) Environmental regulation increases environmental pollution through capital-intensive shadow economy sector.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廈門大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：X32;F124.1

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