山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響研究
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng); 參考:《蘭州商學(xué)院》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:20世紀(jì)以來,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)相互關(guān)系的研究一直是國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者關(guān)注的重要內(nèi)容。世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展過程也是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的過程。合理的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不僅能提高產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部的發(fā)展水平,還有利于產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)、健康發(fā)展,從而促進(jìn)整個(gè)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的提高。改革開放以來,山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)迅速,伴隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng),產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也在不斷優(yōu)化。而在我國(guó)即將進(jìn)行的更深層次改革過程中,山東經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨著機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)。這就要求山東省進(jìn)行產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整,從而把握機(jī)遇使經(jīng)濟(jì)得到更好的發(fā)展。 目前,針對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的研究多以一國(guó)或者一個(gè)大的區(qū)域作為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)于某一省、市、縣的研究較少。而且針對(duì)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系研究多采用三次產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)構(gòu)建模型來進(jìn)行研究。本文借鑒干春暉等人的研究方法,,從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化、高度化的角度探討兩者關(guān)系。首先是對(duì)已有理論進(jìn)行了總結(jié)和闡述;其次是做了山東省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的現(xiàn)狀分析;接著是以1980-2012年的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)為分析對(duì)象,通過平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整分析、格蘭杰檢驗(yàn)等方法,對(duì)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證研究;最后針對(duì)上述研究中發(fā)現(xiàn)的一些問題,如各地區(qū)發(fā)展不均衡、虛高度化、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不合理、農(nóng)業(yè)投入較低等,提出一些建議:深化農(nóng)村改革;加大對(duì)西部地區(qū)的政策、資金投入;大力發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè),提高教育水平和質(zhì)量來儲(chǔ)備人才等等。
[Abstract]:Since the 20th century, the research on the relationship between industrial structure adjustment and economic growth has been an important content of scholars at home and abroad. The development process of the world economy is also the process of the evolution of industrial structure. Reasonable industrial structure can not only improve the level of development within the industry, but also be conducive to the coordinated and healthy development of the industry, thus promoting the improvement of the level of economic development in the whole region. Since the reform and opening up, the economic growth of Shandong Province is rapid, along with the economic growth, the industrial structure is also constantly optimizing. In the process of further reform, Shandong economy is facing opportunities and challenges. This request Shandong province carries on the industrial structure adjustment, thus grasps the opportunity to make the economy obtain the better development. At present, the research on the relationship between industrial structure change and economic growth takes a country or a large region as the research object, but the research on a province, city and county is less. Moreover, the relationship between industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province is mainly studied by the construction model of three industrial output value and economic growth. Based on the research methods of Gan Chunhui and others, this paper discusses the relationship between the two from the point of view of rationalization and elevation of industrial structure. Firstly, it summarizes and expounds the existing theories; secondly, it analyzes the current situation of Shandong Province's economic growth and industrial structure adjustment; then, taking the 1980-2012 statistical data as the analysis object, through the stability test, cointegration analysis, By Granger test and other methods, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between the changes of industrial structure and economic growth in Shandong Province, and finally, aiming at some problems found in the above research, such as unbalanced development in various regions, virtual elevation, unreasonable industrial structure, etc. Some suggestions are put forward such as deepening the rural reform, increasing the policy and capital investment to the western region, vigorously developing the tertiary industry, improving the education level and quality to reserve talents and so on.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:蘭州商學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F127;F279.2
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