本文選題：重慶市金融業(yè) + 金融發(fā)展�。� 參考：《重慶工商大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：大量的文獻(xiàn)研究表明，金融發(fā)展是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的一個非常重要的因素，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也伴隨著金融的發(fā)展，他們之間是雙向促進(jìn)的關(guān)系。但也有文獻(xiàn)表明，他們之間是一種單向促進(jìn)的關(guān)系。本文探討重慶市金融業(yè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的關(guān)系，進(jìn)而分析重慶市金融市場的發(fā)展是否能夠帶動當(dāng)?shù)亟?jīng)濟(jì)的增長，并且結(jié)合所得結(jié)果給出一些對策建議。文章主要分為五部分，具體如下： 本文第一章主要闡述本文的選題背景及選題意義，并對國內(nèi)外相關(guān)理論與文獻(xiàn)做了簡單的分析與總結(jié)，指出了本文可能的創(chuàng)新及不足。 本文第二章主要闡述了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論和金融發(fā)展理論，以及他們之間的互相作用機(jī)制，為本文做好理論基礎(chǔ)。 本文第三章主要對重慶市1978-2012年之間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長狀況和金融發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進(jìn)行了分析總結(jié)，分析表明：改革開放以來，重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)一直處于上升勢頭，人均GDP到2012年和全國基本相當(dāng)，產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)“二三一”特征進(jìn)一步強(qiáng)化，自1980年到2012年重慶市金融資產(chǎn)總量增加了477.52倍，金融深化程度逐年加深，，固定資產(chǎn)投資額在1998年后呈上升趨勢，成為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的重要支撐。 本文第四章主要從直接影響和間接影響兩個層面對重慶市金融業(yè)的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。直接影響是從產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值的角度，計算出重慶市金融業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)度和貢獻(xiàn)率。結(jié)果表明：雖然重慶市金融業(yè)產(chǎn)值增量逐年增加，但是在第三產(chǎn)業(yè)及GDP中所占的比重并不高，從貢獻(xiàn)率和貢獻(xiàn)度兩個指標(biāo)來看，金融業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用不突出。間接影響是從重慶市金融業(yè)作用于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的功能不同的角度，選取適宜的衡量經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的指標(biāo)及以功能的視角選取適當(dāng)?shù)慕鹑诎l(fā)展指標(biāo)，建立多元回歸模型，對模型進(jìn)行平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)及協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)分析各不同指標(biāo)對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響能力，并根據(jù)重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的實(shí)際情況，分析金融功能的發(fā)展趨勢。 本文第五章主要是根據(jù)以上的幾章的分析狀況結(jié)合當(dāng)前重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)金融的發(fā)展趨勢，給出一些可行的對策建議。
[Abstract]:A large number of literature studies show that financial development is a very important factor of economic growth, and economic growth is accompanied by the development of finance. But there are also literature showing that they are a one-way promotion of the relationship. This paper discusses the relationship between financial industry and economic growth in Chongqing, and then analyzes whether the development of financial market in Chongqing can promote the growth of local economy, and gives some countermeasures and suggestions based on the results obtained. The article is divided into five parts, as follows: The first chapter mainly describes the background and significance of the topic, and makes a simple analysis and summary of the relevant theories and literature at home and abroad, pointing out the possible innovations and shortcomings of this paper. The second chapter mainly expounds the theory of economic growth and the theory of financial development, as well as the interaction mechanism between them, which provides a theoretical basis for this paper. In the third chapter, the economic growth and financial development of Chongqing from 1978 to 2012 are analyzed and summarized. The analysis shows that since the reform and opening up, Chongqing's economy has been on the rise, and the per capita GDP is basically equal to that of the whole country in 2012. The characteristics of the industrial structure "23-1" have been further strengthened. From 1980 to 2012, the total amount of financial assets in Chongqing increased 477.52 times, the degree of financial deepening deepened year by year, and the investment in fixed assets showed an upward trend after 1998. To become an important support for economic growth. The fourth chapter mainly analyzes the influence of Chongqing financial industry from two aspects: direct impact and indirect influence. The direct effect is to calculate the contribution degree and contribution rate of Chongqing financial industry to economic growth from the angle of industry added value. The results show that although the increment of financial output value in Chongqing is increasing year by year, the proportion in the tertiary industry and GDP is not high, the contribution rate and contribution degree are two indexes, the financial industry does not play a prominent role in economic growth. The indirect influence is from the different function angle of the finance industry acting on the economic growth in Chongqing, select the appropriate index to measure the economic growth and choose the appropriate financial development index from the function angle, and establish the multivariate regression model. The stability test, Granger causality test and cointegration test are used to analyze the influence of different indexes on the economy, and according to the actual situation of economic development in Chongqing, the development trend of financial function is analyzed. The fifth chapter is mainly based on the analysis of the above chapters combined with the current trend of economic and financial development in Chongqing, and gives some feasible countermeasures and suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.7;F127

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