本文選題：房地產(chǎn)業(yè) + 經(jīng)濟增長��； 參考：《首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：本文在總結(jié)已有相關(guān)文獻的前提下，以產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)理論、投入產(chǎn)出理論、主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)理論為基礎(chǔ)，主要通過兩部分來具體分析北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻：即北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的直接貢獻和間接貢獻。通過增長值測算法計算北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的直接貢獻率；利用投入產(chǎn)出模型，通過各產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的直接貢獻率對房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與各產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的帶動效應(yīng)進行修正，計算北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的間接貢獻率。最終，得出在2001-2011年間，北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對北京市地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的總貢獻率為30.29%。同時，通過計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)工具，分析北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與經(jīng)濟增長之間的相互影響作用關(guān)系。通過實證并分析，可以清楚地理解北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)本身與經(jīng)濟總量之間的關(guān)系以及房地產(chǎn)業(yè)通過對相關(guān)產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響與經(jīng)濟增長之間的內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系。 本文認為，，北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與經(jīng)濟增長之間存在著一個長期的均衡關(guān)系，且房地產(chǎn)業(yè)不僅對經(jīng)濟增長有著直接的貢獻，并且通過前向關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)和后向關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)，對經(jīng)濟增長有間接貢獻，且間接貢獻率要大于直接貢獻率。根據(jù)主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)理論，本文認為北京市房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展符合羅斯托基準(zhǔn)，可以作為北京市經(jīng)濟增長的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)。并在最后就房地產(chǎn)業(yè)作為經(jīng)濟的重要增長點，發(fā)揮其優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的作用，提出房地產(chǎn)業(yè)與經(jīng)濟長期協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的建議。
[Abstract]:On the premise of summarizing the relevant literature, this paper bases on the theory of industrial relevance, input-output theory and leading industry theory. This paper mainly analyzes the contribution of Beijing real estate industry to economic growth through two parts: the direct contribution and indirect contribution of Beijing real estate industry to economic growth. The direct contribution rate of real estate industry to economic growth in Beijing is calculated by measuring the growth value, and the direct contribution rate of each industry to economic growth is modified by the input-output model. Calculate the indirect contribution rate of real estate industry to economic growth in Beijing. Finally, from 2001 to 2011, the total contribution rate of Beijing real estate to Beijing's GDP is 30.29%. At the same time, through econometric tools, this paper analyzes the interaction between real estate industry and economic growth in Beijing. Through empirical analysis, we can clearly understand the relationship between the real estate industry itself and the total economic volume in Beijing, and the internal structure relationship between the real estate industry and the economic growth through the influence on the related industries. This paper holds that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between real estate industry and economic growth in Beijing, and the real estate industry not only contributes directly to economic growth, but also through forward and backward correlation effects. There is indirect contribution to economic growth, and the indirect contribution rate is larger than the direct contribution rate. According to the theory of leading industry, this paper holds that the development of real estate industry in Beijing accords with the Rostow benchmark and can be regarded as the leading industry of Beijing's economic growth. Finally, as an important growth point of the economy, the paper puts forward some suggestions for the long-term coordinated development of the real estate industry and the economy in order to optimize the industrial structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都經(jīng)濟貿(mào)易大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.23;F124.1

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 張麗;翟光亮;;新疆房地產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻研究[J];新疆財經(jīng);2017年01期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條

1 程燕;重慶筆電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展對經(jīng)濟增長的影響研究[D];重慶工商大學(xué);2016年

2 陳馨;第三產(chǎn)業(yè)實測經(jīng)濟的測度技術(shù)及其對國民經(jīng)濟的貢獻研究[D];重慶工商大學(xué);2015年

本文編號：1891137