發(fā)布時間：2018-05-06 12:24

  本文選題：京津冀 + 產(chǎn)業(yè)復雜系統(tǒng)��； 參考：《華北電力大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：京津冀經(jīng)濟圈作為繼珠三角、長三角之后的中國第三大經(jīng)濟增長極,是國家經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要引擎和參與國際競爭的先導區(qū)域。隨著京津冀地區(qū)經(jīng)濟往來和資源流動的愈加密切,區(qū)域間產(chǎn)業(yè)關聯(lián)亦不斷增強,產(chǎn)業(yè)之間已不僅局限于區(qū)域內(nèi)部交流,區(qū)域間由于復雜的技術關聯(lián)和投入產(chǎn)出關系已經(jīng)形成了一個帶有“復雜網(wǎng)絡”特征的產(chǎn)業(yè)復雜網(wǎng)絡結(jié)構。產(chǎn)業(yè)部門之間的關聯(lián)方式和關聯(lián)強度,以及產(chǎn)業(yè)在網(wǎng)絡中的存在的價值意義隨時間或加強或減弱,從而帶動京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構發(fā)生整體性演化。本文基于復雜網(wǎng)絡理論,將京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構中的每個產(chǎn)業(yè)看作一個節(jié)點,每個產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的相互聯(lián)系(投入或產(chǎn)出)看作一條邊,根據(jù)各產(chǎn)業(yè)間復雜投入產(chǎn)出價值量的關系構建一個有向的產(chǎn)業(yè)網(wǎng)絡,并從橫向和縱向角度對2002年、2010年京津冀子系統(tǒng)和京津冀大系統(tǒng)各自產(chǎn)業(yè)網(wǎng)絡的復雜特征和動態(tài)演化進行研究分析,并針對京津冀地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)同發(fā)展提出對策和建議。首先,文章歸納整理產(chǎn)業(yè)復雜網(wǎng)絡理論,從復雜網(wǎng)絡的定義特征、關系數(shù)據(jù)以及統(tǒng)計特征等三個層面的理論基礎整理概述,為下文行文提供理論支撐。其次,文章基于社會網(wǎng)絡視角,分別就2002年、2010年京津冀子系統(tǒng)和大系統(tǒng)的產(chǎn)業(yè)網(wǎng)絡特征進行研究,構建產(chǎn)業(yè)拓撲結(jié)構圖,并解釋各指標值涵義。再而,文章基于京津冀63個產(chǎn)業(yè)部門的A-D角色和中間人角色,分別對2002年、2010年的縱向動態(tài)演化特征以及子系統(tǒng)產(chǎn)業(yè)和大系統(tǒng)產(chǎn)業(yè)間的橫向動態(tài)演化特征進行比較分析,同時針對京津冀地區(qū)“三大產(chǎn)業(yè)”未來演化模式提出建議。最后,文章在京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)復雜網(wǎng)絡特征和其動態(tài)演化模式指導下,分別從區(qū)域角度和產(chǎn)業(yè)角度,對京津冀區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)演化發(fā)展提出政策建議。研究表明,京津冀產(chǎn)業(yè)復雜網(wǎng)絡中各區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)的特征及演化模式不盡相同。北京和天津在網(wǎng)絡結(jié)構中所處地位較為相似,均是第一產(chǎn)業(yè)和輕工業(yè)趨于專業(yè)化、同質(zhì)化發(fā)展,重工業(yè)發(fā)展仍需轉(zhuǎn)型,服務業(yè)則居于產(chǎn)業(yè)網(wǎng)絡最核心位置,起到連通各個產(chǎn)業(yè)進行資源交流的作用;河北省則與京津區(qū)別明顯,河北省第一產(chǎn)業(yè)的高效性和先進性仍需提升,輕工業(yè)的投產(chǎn)水平較低,傳統(tǒng)重工業(yè)發(fā)展良莠不齊,服務行業(yè)的網(wǎng)絡領頭作用待進一步加強。
[Abstract]:As the third largest economic growth pole after the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic circle is an important engine of national economic development and a leading region to participate in international competition. As the economic exchanges and resource flows in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region become more and more close, the inter-regional industrial ties are also increasing, and inter-industry exchanges have not only been confined to intra-regional exchanges. Because of the complex technology connection and the input-output relationship between regions, a complex industrial network structure with the characteristics of "complex network" has been formed. The relationship between industrial departments and the intensity of association, as well as the value of the existence of industry in the network with time or strengthen or weaken, so as to promote the overall evolution of the industrial structure of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. Based on the theory of complex network, every industry in the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is regarded as a node, and the relationship between each industry (input or output) is regarded as a side. According to the relationship between the complex input and output value of different industries, a promising industrial network is constructed. The complex characteristics and dynamic evolution of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei subsystem and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei large-scale system in 2002 and 2010 are studied and analyzed from the horizontal and vertical angles, and the countermeasures and suggestions for the coordinated development of industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are put forward. First of all, the paper summarizes the theory of industrial complex network, from the definition of complex network, relational data and statistical characteristics of the three levels of the theoretical basis, to provide theoretical support for the following text. Secondly, based on the perspective of social network, this paper studies the industrial network characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei subsystem and large system in 2002 and 2010, constructs the industrial topology chart, and explains the meaning of each index value. Then, based on the A-D role and intermediary role of 63 industrial departments in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, this paper compares the vertical dynamic evolution characteristics of 2002 and 2010 and the horizontal dynamic evolution characteristics between subsystem industry and large system industry. At the same time, the future evolution model of the three industries in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is proposed. Finally, under the guidance of the complex network characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei industry and its dynamic evolution model, the paper puts forward policy recommendations on the evolution and development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional industry from the angle of region and industry respectively. The research shows that the characteristics and evolution patterns of the industries in the complex network of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are different. Beijing and Tianjin are in a similar position in the network structure. They are the primary industry and light industry tend to be specialized, homogenous development, heavy industry development still needs transformation, and service industry occupies the core position in the industrial network. Hebei Province is obviously different from Beijing and Tianjin. The efficiency and advanced nature of the primary industry in Hebei still need to be improved, the level of light industry being put into production is relatively low, and the development of traditional heavy industry is uneven. The network leading role of service industry needs to be further strengthened.
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F127

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