本文選題：空間異質(zhì)性 + 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)��； 參考：《福建農(nóng)林大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：2004年福建省正式提出"海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)"戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想,2009年國務(wù)院發(fā)布《國務(wù)院關(guān)于支持福建省加快建設(shè)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)的若干意見》,這意味著"海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)"建設(shè)從地方戰(zhàn)略上升為國家戰(zhàn)略。廣大學(xué)者圍繞海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)的兩岸經(jīng)貿(mào)合作與交流、產(chǎn)業(yè)布局、城市群、功能等問題開展了一系列研究,但關(guān)于其區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的研究相對(duì)較少,尤其是基于空間異質(zhì)性視角探討海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的研究鮮見報(bào)道。本文結(jié)合時(shí)間和空間兩個(gè)維度,對(duì)2001-2015年海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的時(shí)空演變機(jī)理進(jìn)行研究,并提出相關(guān)建議,為縮小海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異、促進(jìn)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)。本文研究的主要內(nèi)容與結(jié)論如下:(1)運(yùn)用區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異測度方法,揭示海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的總體變化趨勢,探索區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異形成的來源及構(gòu)成。研究結(jié)果表明:2001-2015年海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差和極差,分別以5.94%和4.06%的年平均增長速度增長,但其基尼系數(shù)與泰爾指數(shù)分別以3.58%和8.21%的年平均降低速度下降;"海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)"戰(zhàn)略的提出與實(shí)施,在一定程度上縮小了海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異;東部沿海區(qū)、中部內(nèi)陸區(qū)和西部輻射區(qū)三大地區(qū)間與地區(qū)內(nèi)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異總體均呈下降趨勢;地區(qū)內(nèi)泰爾指數(shù)的平均貢獻(xiàn)率為74.52%,地區(qū)內(nèi)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異是海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)總體差異的主要來源;三大地區(qū)內(nèi),東部沿海區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異呈下降趨勢,中部內(nèi)陸區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異呈上升趨勢,而西部輻射區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異總體表現(xiàn)為波浪式上漲;東部沿海區(qū)泰爾指數(shù)的平均貢獻(xiàn)率為44.98%,東部沿海區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異是地區(qū)內(nèi)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的主要來源。從縮小總體區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異考慮,應(yīng)將縮小地區(qū)內(nèi)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異特別是縮小東部沿海區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異作為入手點(diǎn)。(2)運(yùn)用區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異評(píng)價(jià)模型,認(rèn)識(shí)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的空間異質(zhì)性的演變過程。研究結(jié)果表明:2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平綜合指數(shù)的變異系數(shù)分別為47.66%、55.12%、43.59%和35.53%,海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的空間差異變化趨勢雖存在波動(dòng),但總體呈減少趨勢,且其表現(xiàn)出從東部沿海向西部內(nèi)陸遞減的空間分布狀態(tài),具有明顯的空間異質(zhì)性;近年來,海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的空間異質(zhì)格局具有明顯空間特征:經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)均分布于東部沿海,經(jīng)濟(jì)較發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)主要分布于中部和北部內(nèi)陸,經(jīng)濟(jì)次貧困地區(qū)主要分布于北部和南部沿海,經(jīng)濟(jì)貧困地區(qū)則主要分布于西部內(nèi)陸;此外,在福建省提出"海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)"構(gòu)想前后,海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)的空間異質(zhì)格局整體變化不大,而在國家給予支持后,其空間異質(zhì)格局發(fā)生了較大的變化,主要表現(xiàn)為福建省整體區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)水平有較大提升。(3)運(yùn)用探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析方法,探索海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的空間關(guān)聯(lián)模式及其分布規(guī)律,并進(jìn)一步探析區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的空間異質(zhì)性。全局空間自相關(guān)研究結(jié)果表明:海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)具有顯著的空間集聚特征,其全局空間自相關(guān)系數(shù)總體隨時(shí)間呈增長趨勢,相似區(qū)域間(HH或LL)趨于集聚的趨勢還在不斷加強(qiáng)。局部空間自相關(guān)結(jié)果表明:2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年HH模式和LL模式的比重之和的平均值高達(dá)78%,海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)兩極分化問題較突出,局部空間異質(zhì)結(jié)構(gòu)主要通過HH模式和LL模式兩類鮮明的空間分異區(qū)域體現(xiàn)出來,且區(qū)域間所呈現(xiàn)的空間依賴性比空間異質(zhì)性更為明顯,海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)的空間差異有縮小的變化趨勢。海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)總體呈現(xiàn)出較為明顯的東西空間異質(zhì)格局,其空間關(guān)聯(lián)模式具有以下分布規(guī)律:HH模式區(qū)域主要以福建東部沿海地區(qū)為中心集聚,向北部和中部內(nèi)陸延伸,數(shù)量趨于增加;LH模式區(qū)域主要散布于福建沿海,數(shù)量趨于減少;LL模式區(qū)域主要分布于西部內(nèi)陸和南部,其數(shù)量保持在總數(shù)的1/3以上;HL模式區(qū)域在空間上的分布較為零散。(4)從發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)、政府調(diào)控、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、資本投入和消費(fèi)水平5個(gè)角度出發(fā),分析海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的影響因素,并運(yùn)用地理加權(quán)回歸(GWR)模型方法,揭示2001年、2005年、2010年和2015年海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異影響因素的空間異質(zhì)性。研究結(jié)果表明:人均固定資產(chǎn)投資總額和人均社會(huì)消費(fèi)品零售總額對(duì)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)具有顯著的促進(jìn)作用,且這2個(gè)影響因素存在空間異質(zhì)性;4個(gè)年份OLS回歸模型的擬合優(yōu)度分別為0.9658、0.964、0.7713和0.7544,而GWR模型的擬合優(yōu)度分別為0.9834、0.9687、0.7932和0.7545,地理加權(quán)回歸模型對(duì)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的解釋效果總體優(yōu)于普通最小二乘法回歸模型。進(jìn)一步分析2個(gè)影響因素的空間異質(zhì)性,從加大資本投入和提高消費(fèi)水平方面提出相關(guān)建議,以促進(jìn)海峽西岸經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:In 2004, Fujian province formally proposed the strategic concept of "the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits". In 2009, the State Council issued a number of comments by the State Council on supporting the acceleration of the construction of the Straits West Bank Economic Zone by the State Council. This means that the construction of the "Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits" is rising from the local strategy to a national strategy. A series of studies have been carried out on cooperation and communication, industrial layout, urban agglomeration and function, but the research on regional economic differences is relatively few, especially on the study of regional economic differences in the Western Strait Economic Zone Based on spatial heterogeneity. This paper combines two dimensions of time and space to the west of the Straits of 2001-2015 years. The research on the spatial and temporal evolution mechanism of regional economic differences in the coastal economic zone and some suggestions are put forward to provide theoretical basis for reducing the regional economic differences in the West Bank of the Straits and promoting the coordinated development of the Economic Zone on the west coast of the Straits. The main contents and conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the measurement method of regional economic differences to reveal the West Bank channel of the Straits The overall change trend of regional economic differences and the origin and composition of regional economic differences are explored. The results show that the standard difference and extreme difference between the 2001-2015 years of the Straits West Bank Economic Zone and the average annual growth rate of 5.94% and 4.06% respectively, but the Gini coefficient and the Tel index are equal to 3.58% and 8.21%, respectively. The proposed and implemented strategy of "the West Bank Economic Zone" has narrowed the regional economic differences in the West Bank Economic Zone to a certain extent, and the regional economic differences between the three regions and regions in the eastern coastal area, the central inland area and the western region of the western region are all decreasing; the average contribution rate of the regional internal tyre index is the average contribution rate. 74.52%, regional economic differences in the region are the main sources of regional economic differences in the West Coast Economic Zone; in the three major regions, regional economic differences in the eastern coastal areas are declining, the regional economic differences in the central inland areas are rising, and the regional economic differences in the western region are generally waved; The average contribution rate of the Tel index is 44.98%. The regional economic difference in the eastern coastal region is the main source of regional economic differences in the region. From the consideration of reducing the overall regional economic differences, the regional economic difference in the region should be reduced, especially in reducing the regional economic differences in the Eastern coastal areas. (2) the evaluation model of regional economic differences should be used. The research results show that the variation coefficients of the regional economic development level in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 are 47.66%, 55.12%, 43.59% and 35.53% respectively, and the spatial difference trend of regional economic development level in the West Bank economic zone exists in spite of the variation trend. In recent years, the spatial heterogeneity of the economic zone of the west coast of the Strait has obvious spatial characteristics: the economic developed areas are all distributed in the eastern coastal areas and the more developed areas are mainly in the economically developed areas. In the middle and the northern inland, the economic sub poverty areas are mainly distributed in the northern and southern coastal areas, and the economically poor areas are mainly distributed in the western inland. In addition, the spatial heterogeneity of the West Bank Economic Zone in Fujian province has little change before and after the idea of "the economic zone of the Strait West Bank". Large changes have taken place in the heterogeneity pattern, mainly as the overall regional economic level of Fujian province has been greatly improved. (3) exploring the spatial correlation model and distribution pattern of regional economy in the West Bank Economic Zone by exploratory spatial data analysis method, and further exploring the spatial heterogeneity of regional economy. The results show that the regional economy of the West Bank of the Straits has significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, its global spatial autocorrelation coefficients are generally increasing with time, and the trend of convergence between similar regions (HH or LL) is still increasing. The local spatial autocorrelation results show that the ratio of HH and LL models in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 is compared. The average value of the heavy sum is as high as 78%, the polarization problem of the economic zone in the West Bank of the Straits is more prominent, and the local spatial heterogeneity is mainly embodied in the two distinct spatial differentiation regions of HH and LL models, and the spatial dependence of the region is more obvious than the spatial heterogeneity, and the spatial difference of the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Strait is reduced. The regional economy of the Economic Zone on the west coast of the Straits has a more obvious spatial heterogeneity pattern, and its spatial correlation pattern has the following distribution pattern: the HH model region mainly concentrating on the coastal area of Eastern Fujian, extending to the north and central inland, and increasing in quantity; the LH model area is mainly distributed along the Fujian edge. In the sea, the number of the LL mode is mainly distributed in the inland and south of the west, the number of the region is more than 1/3 of the total, and the distribution of the HL model area is scattered in space. (4) from the 5 angles of development basis, government regulation, industrial structure, capital input and consumption level, the analysis of regional economic differences in the economic zone of the Strait West Bank is analyzed. The spatial heterogeneity of the influence factors of regional economic differences in the economic zone of the Strait West Bank in 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015 is revealed by using the GWR model method. The results show that the total investment in fixed assets per capita and the total amount of the per capita consumer goods are significant to the regional economy of the West Bank economic zone. The 2 factors have spatial heterogeneity, and the goodness of fit of the OLS regression models in the 4 years is 0.9658,0.964,0.7713 and 0.7544 respectively, while the goodness of fit of the GWR model is 0.9834,0.9687,0.7932 and 0.7545 respectively, and the geographical weighted regression model has a better effect on the economic differences in the West Bank of the Straits. The general least squares regression model is used to further analyze the spatial heterogeneity of the 2 factors, and to put forward some suggestions on increasing the capital investment and improving the consumption level, in order to promote the coordinated development of the Economic Zone on the West Bank of the Straits.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：福建農(nóng)林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F127

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