本文選題：國(guó)家可持續(xù)發(fā)展實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū) + 可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力��； 參考：《廣西師范學(xué)院》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：可持續(xù)發(fā)展思想的產(chǎn)生是人類在社會(huì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中資源與環(huán)境問(wèn)題脅迫的結(jié)果，其本質(zhì)在于追求經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)與生態(tài)環(huán)境的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展，核心內(nèi)容是既滿足當(dāng)代人的需要而且不損害后代人的發(fā)展。國(guó)家可持續(xù)發(fā)展實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)（文中簡(jiǎn)稱實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)）是中國(guó)在推進(jìn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展過(guò)程中的一項(xiàng)創(chuàng)舉，是全球在探索可持續(xù)發(fā)展道路中的重要實(shí)踐和示范活動(dòng)。 生態(tài)足跡模型通過(guò)將人類的全部消費(fèi)所占用的生態(tài)足跡與自己所擁有的生態(tài)容量相比較來(lái)反映人類活動(dòng)對(duì)生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的壓力。本文計(jì)算了2001——2012年恭城國(guó)家可持續(xù)發(fā)展實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)（文中簡(jiǎn)稱恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)）的人均生態(tài)承載力和人均生態(tài)足跡，分析了12年間恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)人均生態(tài)足跡和人均生態(tài)承載力的變化趨勢(shì)。發(fā)現(xiàn)恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)每年可利用的人均生態(tài)承載力呈逐年微幅下降趨勢(shì)，由2001年0.953265hm2/人降為2012年的0.845112hm2/人，總體上變化不大。而隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和社會(huì)的進(jìn)步，人均生態(tài)足跡需求量卻呈上升狀態(tài)，從2001年的1.461447hm2/人上升到2012年的2.225157hm2/人，12年間增長(zhǎng)52.26%，年均增幅為3.90%。通過(guò)比較人均生態(tài)足跡和人均生態(tài)承載力的大小，發(fā)現(xiàn)恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)2001—2012年間處于生態(tài)赤字狀態(tài)，且人均生態(tài)赤字逐年增加，從2001年的0.508182hm2/人增加到2012年的1.380044hm2/人，增長(zhǎng)了1.71倍。同時(shí)，本文引入萬(wàn)元GDP生態(tài)足跡、生態(tài)足跡多樣性指數(shù)以及生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)發(fā)展能力指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力，結(jié)果顯示，隨著年度的變化，萬(wàn)元GDP生態(tài)足跡逐年下降，生態(tài)足跡多樣性指數(shù)變化不大，而生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)發(fā)展能力卻呈明顯的上升趨勢(shì)，說(shuō)明恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)資源利用效益逐年改善，可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力不斷提高。 為了彌補(bǔ)生態(tài)足跡模型生態(tài)偏向性的不足，本文還運(yùn)用主成分分析法對(duì)恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)2001—2012年可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力進(jìn)行補(bǔ)充評(píng)價(jià)。結(jié)果顯示，恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)2001—2012年的可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力逐年上升，綜合得分由2001年的-1.191482上升到2012年的1.843500，增長(zhǎng)2.55倍。從歷年各子系統(tǒng)綜合得分分析，恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)子系統(tǒng)和社會(huì)子系統(tǒng)綜合得分總體上呈上升趨勢(shì)，個(gè)別年份呈下降趨勢(shì)，資源環(huán)境子系統(tǒng)綜合得分呈持續(xù)上升狀態(tài)，相對(duì)而言，科技子系統(tǒng)綜合得分波動(dòng)性較大，對(duì)恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的影響較小。 生態(tài)足跡模型具有生態(tài)偏向性，主成分分析方法則彌補(bǔ)了生態(tài)足跡模型對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)條件考慮不周的缺陷。綜合生態(tài)足跡模型和主成分分析法的評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果，本文認(rèn)為恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力逐年增強(qiáng)，但這是建立在資源消耗基礎(chǔ)之上的較低水平向高水平發(fā)展的過(guò)渡階段。未來(lái)要加強(qiáng)可持續(xù)性，提高可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力，需要調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，加大第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展；推進(jìn)新型工業(yè)化建設(shè)步伐，構(gòu)建節(jié)約型經(jīng)濟(jì)；建立比較完善的科技創(chuàng)新體系，提高科技轉(zhuǎn)化能力；提高社會(huì)事業(yè)水平，確保恭城實(shí)驗(yàn)區(qū)長(zhǎng)治久安。
[Abstract]:The idea of sustainable development is the result of the coercion of resources and environment in the process of social development, and its essence is to pursue the coordinated development of economic, social and ecological environment. The core content is to meet the needs of the present generation without harming the development of future generations. The National Experimental Zone for Sustainable Development is a pioneering work in the process of promoting sustainable development in China. It is an important practice and demonstration activity in exploring the road of sustainable development in the world. The ecological footprint model reflects the pressure of human activities on the ecosystem by comparing the ecological footprint occupied by all human consumption with the ecological capacity owned by human beings. In this paper, the ecological carrying capacity per capita and ecological footprint per capita of the national sustainable development experimental area of Gongcheng from 2001 to 2012 are calculated. The trends of ecological footprint per capita and ecological carrying capacity per capita in Gongcheng experimental area during the past 12 years were analyzed. It is found that the per capita ecological carrying capacity of Gongcheng experimental area is decreasing year by year, from the 0.953265hm2/ population in 2001 to the 0.845112hm2/ population in 2012, and the overall change is not significant. With the development of economy and the progress of society, the demand of ecological footprint per capita is on the rise, from 1.461447hm2/ in 2001 to 2.225157hm2/ in 2012, the average annual increase is 3.90%. By comparing the ecological footprint per capita and the ecological carrying capacity per capita, it is found that the ecological deficit in Gongcheng experimental area was in the state of ecological deficit from 2001 to 2012, and the per capita ecological deficit increased year by year, from the 0.508182hm2/ population in 2001 to the 1.380044hm2/ population in 2012, which increased by 1.71 times. At the same time, this paper introduces ten thousand yuan GDP ecological footprint, ecological footprint diversity index and eco-economic system development ability index to evaluate the sustainable development ability of Gongcheng experimental area. The results show that, with the annual change, The ecological footprint of GDP decreased year by year, the diversity index of ecological footprint did not change much, but the development ability of eco-economic system showed an obvious upward trend, indicating that the utilization benefit of resources in Gongcheng experimental area was improved year by year, and the ability of sustainable development was improved continuously. In order to make up for the ecological bias of ecological footprint model, this paper also uses principal component analysis to evaluate the ability of sustainable development in Gongcheng experimental area from 2001 to 2012. The results showed that the ability of sustainable development in Gongcheng experimental area increased year after year from 2001 to 2012, and the comprehensive score increased from -1.191482 in 2001 to 1.843500 in 2012, an increase of 2.55 times. From the comprehensive score analysis of each subsystem in the past years, the comprehensive scores of economic subsystem and social subsystem in Gongcheng experimental area showed an upward trend in general, a downward trend in individual years, and a continuous rising state in the comprehensive score of resource and environment subsystem, relatively speaking, The comprehensive score of science and technology subsystem is fluctuant and has little influence on the sustainable development ability of Gongcheng experimental area. The ecological footprint model has ecological bias, and the principal component analysis (PCA) method makes up for the inadequate consideration of the economic and social conditions in the ecological footprint model. Based on the evaluation results of ecological footprint model and principal component analysis, this paper considers that the ability of sustainable development in Gongcheng experimental area is increasing year by year, but this is the transition period from lower level to higher level based on resource consumption. In order to strengthen sustainability and improve the ability of sustainable development in the future, it is necessary to adjust the industrial structure and increase the development of the tertiary industry; to promote the pace of new industrialization construction, to build an economical economy; and to establish a relatively perfect scientific and technological innovation system. Improve the ability of science and technology transformation; improve the level of social undertakings to ensure the long-term stability of the experimental district of Gongcheng.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣西師范學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F205

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本文編號(hào)：1804778