“十一五”產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化研究
本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化 + 高度化; 參考:《山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國的工業(yè)化進(jìn)程在實(shí)現(xiàn)數(shù)量上的高速增長和產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模大幅擴(kuò)張的同時(shí),其增長方式、增長質(zhì)量和效率已然成為新時(shí)期的重大問題,對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化進(jìn)程的考察無疑在上述方面具有重要意義。 本文以“十一五”時(shí)期為背景,從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的內(nèi)涵——高度化和合理化出發(fā),通過分析全國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的高度化和合理化水平,對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是否真正實(shí)現(xiàn)了優(yōu)化進(jìn)行判斷。并結(jié)合“十一五”期末與“十五”期末我國主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)的變化,從另一個角度分析產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的進(jìn)程。最終對我國31個地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化的空間集聚效應(yīng)和影響因素進(jìn)行研究。 在具體的測算方法上,本文新設(shè)計(jì)了一個衡量產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高度化的指標(biāo)——結(jié)構(gòu)超前值,同時(shí)借鑒Tornqvist MFP指數(shù)來衡量產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化水平,通過投入產(chǎn)出分析方法確定主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè),并結(jié)合空間計(jì)量方法分析總量生產(chǎn)率的空間效應(yīng)。 結(jié)論表明,在“十一五”期間,我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)具有較明顯的高度化發(fā)展態(tài)勢;但是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化進(jìn)程并不明顯,,特別是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的高度化和合理化進(jìn)程并不一致,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整并沒有取得“對經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)變具有促進(jìn)作用”的優(yōu)化效果。在通往新型工業(yè)化的道路上,經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和增長方式的轉(zhuǎn)變?nèi)匀皇俏覀冐叫杞鉀Q的重要問題。 此外,我國的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)并沒有發(fā)生明顯變化,仍然集中在機(jī)械、電力、化工等領(lǐng)域。這也從另一個角度說明:“十一五”時(shí)期我國的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整并沒有取得明顯成效,主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)并沒有向著高科技、高附加值的方向發(fā)展。 基于此,本文僅從地理空間的角度,對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整獻(xiàn)策獻(xiàn)力。從全局來看,“十一五”時(shí)期,我國31個地區(qū)總量生產(chǎn)率在空間上存在一定的集群效應(yīng)。即各地區(qū)總量生產(chǎn)率在空間分布上存在著必然的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,表現(xiàn)出了相似值之間的空間集群現(xiàn)象。不僅如此,總量生產(chǎn)率在局域上也存在著空間依賴性和空間異質(zhì)性。我國31個地區(qū)之間的總量生產(chǎn)率并沒有產(chǎn)生明顯的空間溢出效應(yīng),只是通過臨近地區(qū)總量生產(chǎn)率的誤差沖擊對本地區(qū)產(chǎn)生影響。因此,我們可以通過尋求跨區(qū)域合作,來解決當(dāng)前產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)存在的問題。
[Abstract]:In the process of industrialization in China, while realizing the rapid growth in quantity and the large expansion of industrial scale, its growth mode, growth quality and efficiency have become a major problem in the new era. There is no doubt that the investigation on the process of industrial structure optimization in China is of great significance in the above aspects. Based on the background of the 11th Five-Year Plan period and the connotation of industrial structure optimization, this paper analyzes the level of national industrial structure optimization, and judges whether the industrial structure really realizes the optimization. Combined with the changes of the leading industries in China at the end of the 11th Five-Year Plan and the end of the Tenth Five-Year Plan, this paper analyzes the process of optimizing the industrial structure from another angle. Finally, the spatial agglomeration effect and influencing factors of industrial structure optimization in 31 regions of China are studied. In the specific calculation method, this paper designs a new index to measure the industrial structure, which is the advanced value of structure, and uses Tornqvist MFP index to measure the level of industrial structure rationalization, and determines the leading industry by the method of input-output analysis. The spatial effect of total productivity is analyzed with spatial measurement method. The conclusion shows that during the period of the 11th Five-Year Plan, the industrial structure of our country has an obvious trend of high-level development, but the process of rationalization of industrial structure is not obvious, especially the process of upgrading and rationalization of industrial structure is not consistent. The adjustment of industrial structure has not achieved the optimization effect of "promoting the transformation of economic development mode". On the road to new industrialization, the adjustment of economic structure and the transformation of growth mode are still the important problems we need to solve. In addition, China's leading industries have not changed significantly, still concentrated in machinery, electricity, chemical and other fields. This also shows from another angle: during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, China's industrial structure adjustment has not achieved obvious results, and the leading industry has not developed in the direction of high technology and high added value. Based on this, this paper only from the perspective of geographical space, industrial structure adjustment contribution. From the overall situation, during the 11th Five-Year Plan period, the total productivity of 31 regions in China has a certain cluster effect in space. That is to say, there is an inevitable internal relation in the spatial distribution of the total productivity of different regions, which shows the phenomenon of spatial cluster between the similar values. Moreover, total productivity has spatial dependence and spatial heterogeneity. There is no obvious spatial spillover effect of total productivity among 31 regions in China, but it is only affected by the error shock of total productivity in adjacent areas. Therefore, we can seek cross-regional cooperation to solve the current industrial structure problems.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F121.3
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