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京津唐地區(qū)投資結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-22 15:26

  本文選題:投資結(jié)構(gòu)指標(biāo) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng); 參考:《遼寧大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:金融危機(jī)中,中國(guó)經(jīng)過(guò)了出口減少、居民消費(fèi)增長(zhǎng)乏力,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)恢復(fù)作用不顯著;國(guó)家實(shí)施4萬(wàn)億的財(cái)政投資來(lái)阻止企業(yè)倒閉,為世界所矚目。由于投資具有乘數(shù)效應(yīng)和加速原理,使得投資在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)中的作用顯著。固定資產(chǎn)投資結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用是基礎(chǔ)性的。物質(zhì)資本的循環(huán)使用可以通過(guò)預(yù)算、貸款、外資和自籌資金的途徑,回到經(jīng)濟(jì)中,通過(guò)不同投資主體對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效益的定位決定投資使用方向,前者投資結(jié)構(gòu)在產(chǎn)業(yè)層面上的變動(dòng)體現(xiàn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展階段特征,后者設(shè)備更新上的投資比例反映了科技投資的水平。人力資本投資通過(guò)產(chǎn)學(xué)研相結(jié)合的政策,更好為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)服務(wù)。固定資產(chǎn)投資不僅反映制度的影響因素,也反映著經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展階段的特征,從固定資產(chǎn)投資的結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)來(lái)理解京津唐的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)規(guī)律,結(jié)合政策分析變動(dòng)原因及得出政策啟示。 關(guān)于統(tǒng)計(jì)資料的分析,得出物質(zhì)資本存量的貢獻(xiàn)率36.48%,說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)依賴物質(zhì)資本投資,而技術(shù)進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率只有9.12%。政府投資和外商投資是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因,外商投資是民間投資的格蘭杰原因。自籌資金是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是國(guó)內(nèi)貸款的格蘭杰原因。設(shè)備購(gòu)置是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是建筑安裝的格蘭杰原因。使用結(jié)構(gòu)、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是主體結(jié)構(gòu)的格蘭杰原因,使用結(jié)構(gòu)是產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的格蘭杰原因。 針對(duì)以上問(wèn)題,提出以下措施:提高產(chǎn)學(xué)研結(jié)合力度;改善外商投資環(huán)境;加快醫(yī)療體制改革和文化投資市場(chǎng)化;加快投資體制改革;提高發(fā)展第三產(chǎn)業(yè)投資效益;提高設(shè)備等的占有率需要靠財(cái)政政策的促進(jìn)作用。
[Abstract]:In the financial crisis, China's exports have been reduced, residents' consumption growth is weak, and the role of economic recovery is not obvious. The state has implemented 4 trillion of financial investment to prevent enterprises from closing down, which has attracted the attention of the world. Because investment has multiplier effect and acceleration principle, investment plays an important role in economic growth. Fixed assets investment structure changes to the role of economic growth is fundamental. The recycling use of material capital can be made through the channels of budget, loans, foreign investment and self-financing, and return to the economy, and determine the direction of investment through the positioning of different investment bodies to the industrial investment efficiency. The changes of the former's investment structure at the industrial level reflect the characteristics of the stage of economic development, while the proportion of the latter's equipment renewal reflects the level of the investment in science and technology. Human capital investment through the combination of industry, education and research policies, better serve for economic growth. Fixed asset investment not only reflects the influencing factors of institution but also reflects the characteristics of economic development stage. From the structural changes of fixed assets investment, the law of economic growth of Beijing, Tianjin and Tang dynasties is understood, and the reasons of change are analyzed in combination with the policy and the policy enlightenment is obtained. According to the analysis of statistical data, the contribution rate of material capital stock is 36.48, which shows that economic growth depends on material capital investment, while the contribution rate of technological progress is only 9.12%. Government investment and foreign investment are Granger reasons for economic growth, while foreign investment is Granger reason for private investment. Self-financing is the Granger cause of economic growth, economic growth is Granger reason for domestic loans. The purchase of equipment is the Granger cause of economic growth, and economic growth is the Granger cause of construction installation. Using structure, industrial structure is Granger reason of main body structure, use structure is Granger reason of industrial structure. In view of the above problems, the following measures are put forward: to improve the combination of industry, university and research; to improve the environment of foreign investment; to accelerate the reform of the medical system and the marketization of cultural investment; to speed up the reform of the investment system; to improve the investment efficiency of developing the tertiary industry; Increasing the share of equipment and so on needs to rely on the promotion of fiscal policy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F127

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