本文選題：投入要素貢獻(xiàn)率 + 區(qū)域　； 參考：《吉林大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)總量30年來(lái)持續(xù)高速增長(zhǎng),經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力逐年增強(qiáng)已是不爭(zhēng)的事實(shí)。但是,近年來(lái)GDP增速明顯放緩。在我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過(guò)程中,仍需面對(duì)一系列諸如區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展嚴(yán)重失衡、收入分配不公、貧富差距顯著增大等有礙效率與公平持續(xù)推進(jìn)的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題。其中,區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡已逐漸成為經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下的主要特征和阻礙和諧發(fā)展的桎梏。經(jīng)濟(jì)新常態(tài)下,關(guān)于帶動(dòng)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、造成區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異的重要因素已悄然由原始的勞動(dòng)力和物質(zhì)資本的大量投入向科學(xué)技術(shù)的進(jìn)步轉(zhuǎn)變,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展推動(dòng)因素的結(jié)構(gòu)已發(fā)生了翻天覆地的變化,更加強(qiáng)調(diào)技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要作用,知識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)逐步成為主要社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)議題。因此,在研究資本與人力對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要作用的基礎(chǔ)上,深入研究區(qū)域技術(shù)進(jìn)步對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率的差異對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式改革以及政府各項(xiàng)關(guān)于技術(shù)改革的形成和深化有著重要的作用。本文首先借助經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論,分析了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要決定因素。其次,根據(jù)模型制定測(cè)算投入要素對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)率的方法,并基于2004-2012年省級(jí)面板數(shù)據(jù)具體測(cè)算全國(guó)的省際投入要素貢獻(xiàn)率以及技術(shù)進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率。在分析其具體差異基礎(chǔ)之上,利用聚類(lèi)分析方法對(duì)全國(guó)的省級(jí)單位進(jìn)行具體劃分,得到了五個(gè)類(lèi)別,第一類(lèi):上海市;第二類(lèi):浙江省、海南省、新疆維吾爾自治區(qū)、北京市、江蘇省、貴州省、天津市、福建省、黑龍江省、廣東省、江西省、山東省、安徽省、湖北省、陜西省、青海省、湖南省;第三類(lèi):云南省、寧夏回族自治區(qū)、內(nèi)蒙古自治區(qū)、河北省、遼寧省、甘肅省;第四類(lèi):吉林省、河南省、山西省、廣西壯族自治區(qū)、西藏自治區(qū);第五類(lèi):四川省(包括重慶市)。之后利用本文提出的全國(guó)區(qū)域劃分方法,在對(duì)以上分類(lèi)方法進(jìn)行簡(jiǎn)單合并后,形成了三大區(qū)域,即技術(shù)超前區(qū)域、技術(shù)中等區(qū)域以及技術(shù)落后區(qū)域。并對(duì)區(qū)域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂性進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,具體進(jìn)行了σ收斂與β收斂,從而得到了全國(guó)省市區(qū)在2004至2012年之間經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂趨勢(shì)明顯,將上海市歸入第二類(lèi)后的第一組,即技術(shù)超前區(qū)域收斂趨勢(shì)也顯而易見(jiàn),但其他的兩區(qū)域呈現(xiàn)發(fā)散趨勢(shì)。綜上所述,本文的區(qū)域劃分方法能夠客觀反映不同區(qū)域的投入要素貢獻(xiàn)率與技術(shù)進(jìn)步貢獻(xiàn)率的具體差異,從而反映不同區(qū)域在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂性方面的極大差別,經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展程度和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂性都是造成經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡的重要因素。因此,從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)的角度看,本文認(rèn)為中央政府應(yīng)強(qiáng)化區(qū)域平衡發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的制定,減少盲目的地理區(qū)域的劃分扶持,關(guān)注技術(shù)落后區(qū)域,給予一定的相關(guān)政策扶持;各級(jí)政府應(yīng)積極推進(jìn)區(qū)域自身轉(zhuǎn)型路徑的制定,不斷提升自己的科技發(fā)展水平,尋求高速的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)路徑;同時(shí)全國(guó)范圍內(nèi)應(yīng)促進(jìn)區(qū)域內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)合作及加強(qiáng)區(qū)域間的交流帶動(dòng)作用,才能夠切實(shí)縮小區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異,實(shí)現(xiàn)全國(guó)的高水平穩(wěn)步增長(zhǎng)。
[Abstract]:China's economy has been growing rapidly in 30 years, and the economic strength has been increasing year by year. However, the growth of GDP has slowed obviously in recent years. In the process of economic development, we still have to face a series of serious imbalances such as the serious imbalance of regional economic development, unfair income distribution, the significant increase of the gap between the rich and the poor and so on. Among them, the imbalance of regional economic development has gradually become the main characteristic of the new normal economy and the shackles of hinder the harmonious development. Under the new normal economy, the important factors that lead to the economic growth and the difference of regional economic growth have been quietly from the large input of the original labor and material capital to the Department. With the change of science and technology, the structure of economic development driving factors has undergone tremendous changes, more emphasis is placed on the important role of technological progress on economic growth. The knowledge economy has gradually become the main social and economic issue. Therefore, on the basis of studying the important role of capital and manpower in economic growth, the regional technology advances are deeply studied. The difference in the contribution rate of step to economic growth plays an important role in the reform of the economic development model and the formation and deepening of the government's various technical reforms. Firstly, this paper analyzes the important determinants of economic growth with the help of economic growth theory. Secondly, the contribution rate of input factors to economic growth is calculated according to the model system. Method, and based on the 2004-2012 year provincial panel data to calculate the contribution rate of the national interprovincial input elements and the contribution rate of technical progress. On the basis of the analysis of the specific differences, we use cluster analysis method to classify the provincial units in China, and get five categories, the first category: Shanghai City, the second category: Zhejiang Province, Hainan Province, The Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Beijing, Jiangsu, Guizhou, Tianjin, Fujian, Heilongjiang Province, Guangdong Province, Jiangxi Province, Shandong Province, Anhui Province, Hubei Province, Shaanxi Province, provincial Province, province; third categories: Province, province, province; fourth categories: Province, province, province, province, The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Tibet autonomous region; the fifth kind: Sichuan province (including Chongqing city). Then, using the national regional division method proposed in this paper, after the simple merger of the above classification methods, three regions are formed, namely, the technology advance area, the technical middle area and the backward area of technology. And the economic growth convergence between the regions is convergent. The empirical analysis is carried out, and the convergence and beta convergence are concretely carried out, and the economic convergence trend between 2004 and 2012 between the 2004 and the 2012 is obvious, and the first group after the second categories is classified into the first group, that is, the trend of regional convergence is obvious, but the other two regions show the divergence trend. The method can objectively reflect the specific differences between the contribution rate of input elements and the contribution rate of technological progress in different regions, thus reflecting the great difference in the convergence of economic growth in different regions. The degree of economic development and the convergence of economic growth are the important factors that cause the imbalance of economic development. Therefore, from a long-term perspective, this paper identifies this article. The central government should strengthen the formulation of regional balanced development strategy, reduce the division support of the geographical area of the blind destination, pay attention to the backward areas and give certain relevant policy support; the governments at all levels should actively promote the formulation of the regional transformation path, constantly improve the development level of its own science and technology, and seek a high-speed economic growth path; In the whole country, we should promote the economic and technical cooperation within the region and strengthen the interregional exchange and drive role in order to reduce the difference of regional economic development and realize the high level and steady growth of the whole country.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F127

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