中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型效果評(píng)估——基于EBM-Luenberger模型
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-19 07:48
本文選題:發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型 + EBM-Luenberger模型。 參考:《財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年01期
【摘要】:本文基于EBM-Luenberger分析模型,構(gòu)建非參數(shù)生產(chǎn)前沿分析框架,分解1995-2014年中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),剖析效率改善的貢獻(xiàn),以評(píng)估經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型效果。研究顯示:雖然要素投入仍是近20年中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主要?jiǎng)右?但是效率改善對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)在不斷提高,從2012年起中國(guó)已經(jīng)進(jìn)入粗放型發(fā)展向質(zhì)量型發(fā)展轉(zhuǎn)變的過(guò)渡期;技術(shù)進(jìn)步是效率改善的主要推動(dòng)力;東部地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)型效果較好,發(fā)展方式即將實(shí)現(xiàn)向質(zhì)量型的轉(zhuǎn)變,中部、西部地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)型速度最快;省際層面中,2014年上海等5個(gè)省市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展實(shí)現(xiàn)了從粗放型向質(zhì)量型的轉(zhuǎn)變,貴州等9個(gè)省區(qū)仍屬于粗放型發(fā)展,安徽等16個(gè)省市處于從粗放型到質(zhì)量型的過(guò)渡期。基于研究成果,本文針對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型中的重點(diǎn)和難點(diǎn),從如何處理發(fā)展方式轉(zhuǎn)型和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的關(guān)系,如何長(zhǎng)久地保持效率改善對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)提出了政策建議。
[Abstract]:Based on the EBM-Luenberger analysis model, this paper constructs a nonparametric production frontier analysis framework, decomposes China's economic growth from 1995 to 2014, analyzes the contribution of efficiency improvement, and evaluates the transformation effect of economic development mode.The research shows that although factor input is still the main driver of China's economic development in the past 20 years, the contribution of efficiency improvement to economic development has been continuously improved. Since 2012, China has entered the transition period from extensive development to qualitative development.Technological progress is the main driving force of efficiency improvement, the eastern region has better transformation effect, the mode of development is about to realize the transformation to the quality type, and the central and western regions have the fastest speed of transformation.At the provincial level, the economic development of 5 provinces and cities such as Shanghai has changed from extensive to qualitative in 2014, 9 provinces and regions in Guizhou are still in extensive development, and 16 provinces and cities in Anhui are in the transition period from extensive to qualitative.Based on the research results, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to deal with the relationship between development mode and economic development, and how to maintain efficiency and improve the contribution to economic development for a long time in view of the key points and difficulties in the transformation of Chinese economic development mode.
【作者單位】: 西安交通大學(xué)馬克思主義學(xué)院;西安交通大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院;西安交通大學(xué)馬克思主義學(xué)院黨委;
【基金】:國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金面上項(xiàng)目“強(qiáng)可持續(xù)視角下欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)綠色發(fā)展機(jī)制與路徑選擇研究”(16BJL116)
【分類號(hào)】:F121
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,本文編號(hào):1772206
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