粘性價(jià)格、金融摩擦與中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-13 14:37
本文選題:粘性價(jià)格 + 金融摩擦 ; 參考:《現(xiàn)代財(cái)經(jīng)(天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào))》2017年09期
【摘要】:目前,將金融摩擦明確納入粘性價(jià)格的分析框架內(nèi),研究金融摩擦對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)變量的影響方面,國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者做的不多。該文將粘性價(jià)格模型與金融摩擦結(jié)合起來(lái),構(gòu)建了一個(gè)包含金融摩擦與粘性價(jià)格的擴(kuò)展DSGE模型,同時(shí),利用我國(guó)1993年Q1-2015年Q4的季度數(shù)據(jù),分析在粘性價(jià)格的條件下,金融摩擦對(duì)實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)主要經(jīng)濟(jì)變量產(chǎn)出缺口、利率水平及通脹率的影響渠道及效果。通過(guò)分析發(fā)現(xiàn):第一,粘性價(jià)格對(duì)金融摩擦的作用渠道與效果影響巨大。當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)中存在粘性價(jià)格時(shí),經(jīng)濟(jì)變量特別是產(chǎn)出水平受金融摩擦的沖擊比較大。第二,粘性價(jià)格與金融摩擦?xí)菇?jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生比較明顯的衰退,繁榮循環(huán),增強(qiáng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的周期性波動(dòng),不利用經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)。第三,粘性價(jià)格會(huì)使社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)效率降低,產(chǎn)出水平下降。
[Abstract]:At present, few scholars at home and abroad have done much to study the influence of financial friction on economic variables by bringing financial friction into the framework of viscous price analysis.This paper combines the viscous price model with the financial friction, and constructs an extended DSGE model which includes financial friction and viscous price. At the same time, using the quarterly data of Q1-2015 Q4 from 1993 to 2015 in China, the paper analyzes the viscous price under the condition of viscous price.The influence channel and effect of financial friction on output gap, interest rate level and inflation rate of main economic variables in real economy.The results show that: first, viscous price has a great influence on the financial friction.When there is a viscous price in the economy, the economic variables, especially the level of output, are greatly impacted by financial friction.Second, the viscous price and financial friction will make the economy more obvious recession, prosperity cycle, enhance the cyclical fluctuations of the economy, do not take advantage of the stable growth of the economy.Third, the viscous price will reduce the socio-economic efficiency and the level of output.
【作者單位】: 西安交通大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與金融學(xué)院;西安外事學(xué)院商學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】:F124.8;F726;F832
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