本文選題：環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長績效　出處：《中國海洋大學(xué)》2014年博士論文

【摘要】：區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)高效率、高質(zhì)量的增長與資源環(huán)境條件密不可分。環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展日益受到環(huán)境和資源的制約與束縛。如何平衡環(huán)渤海地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展效率與環(huán)境資源質(zhì)量之間關(guān)系，，實(shí)現(xiàn)該區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)增長已成為環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要議題。本文從資源和環(huán)境雙重視角下,重新審視和考察環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長績效問題,研究剖析“中國式”環(huán)渤海地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)成為國民經(jīng)濟(jì)新增長點(diǎn)背后的事實(shí),以期對區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施提供一定的理論支持。論文的主要內(nèi)容和創(chuàng)新性工作如下：第一,構(gòu)建了資源環(huán)境承載力測度模型。依據(jù)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展思路,從系統(tǒng)論的角度構(gòu)建了經(jīng)濟(jì)子系統(tǒng)與資源環(huán)境子系統(tǒng)的互動(dòng)框架,構(gòu)建了涵蓋自然資源、經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境和社會(huì)環(huán)境的綜合承載力指標(biāo)體系。論文綜合運(yùn)用熵值法與狀態(tài)空間法對環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的綜合承載力進(jìn)行了測算,提出了一種合理的權(quán)重選取方法。第二,構(gòu)建了環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的評估指標(biāo)體系。在測度經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率過程中,將資源依賴與環(huán)境污染引入到環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率評估中。采用DEA與Malmquist指數(shù)相結(jié)合的方法對環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率進(jìn)行了測算,分析了影響環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率的因素。第三,構(gòu)建了環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?jié)摿y度模型�；谫Y源、環(huán)境、教育、科技、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施等因素,采用組合預(yù)測的方法,將灰色預(yù)測與BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)模型運(yùn)用到環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ臏y度,提高了預(yù)測的精度,為進(jìn)一步統(tǒng)籌環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供了理論支撐。第四,根據(jù)環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的資源環(huán)境承載力、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率、發(fā)展?jié)摿Φ脑u估結(jié)果,發(fā)掘環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中存在的問題,給出了提升環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈經(jīng)濟(jì)增長績效的方案,以期推動(dòng)環(huán)渤海經(jīng)濟(jì)圈的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The growth of high efficiency and high quality of regional economy is closely related to the condition of resources and environment.The economic development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea is increasingly restricted and restricted by the environment and resources.How to balance the relationship between the efficiency of economic development and the quality of environment and resources and realize the sustainable growth of the regional economy has become an important topic of economic development around the Bohai Sea.From the perspective of resources and environment, this paper re-examines and examines the performance of economic growth in the Bohai Rim, and analyzes the fact that "Chinese style" economy around the Bohai Sea has become a new growth point of national economy.With a view to the implementation of regional economic sustainable development strategy to provide certain theoretical support.The main contents and innovative work are as follows: first, the measurement model of the carrying capacity of resources and environment is constructed.In this paper, entropy method and state space method are used to estimate the comprehensive bearing capacity of the economic circle around Bohai Sea, and a reasonable weight selection method is put forward.Second, the evaluation index system of economic growth efficiency around Bohai Sea Economic Circle is constructed.In the process of measuring the efficiency of economic growth, resource dependence and environmental pollution are introduced into the evaluation of economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.Using the method of DEA and Malmquist index, the paper calculates the economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around Bohai Sea, and analyzes the factors that affect the economic growth efficiency of the economic circle around Bohai Sea.Third, the economic development potential measurement model of Bohai economic circle is constructed.Based on the factors of resources, environment, education, science and technology, industrial structure, infrastructure and so on, this paper applies the grey forecast and BP neural network model to measure the economic development potential of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.The prediction accuracy is improved and the theoretical support is provided for the economic and social sustainable development of Bohai economic circle.Fourthly, according to the evaluation results of the carrying capacity of resources and environment, the efficiency of economic growth and the potential of development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea, the problems existing in the economic development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea are explored.In order to promote the sustainable development of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea, this paper gives a scheme to improve the economic growth performance of the economic circle around the Bohai Sea.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127

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