本文選題：陜西省　切入點(diǎn)：產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)　出處：《西安財(cái)經(jīng)學(xué)院》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：一個(gè)國家和地區(qū)對于的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的追求已經(jīng)不能僅僅停留在數(shù)量方面的擴(kuò)張了，高質(zhì)量的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長過程應(yīng)該伴隨著數(shù)量的增長和質(zhì)量的提高，二者是相輔相成的。研究產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的影響，是對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量理論的完善和發(fā)展；尤其是結(jié)合我國當(dāng)前的發(fā)展目標(biāo)、“十二五”規(guī)劃的要求以及建設(shè)社會(huì)主義和諧社會(huì)的總體要求，更突出了研究經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的重要性和必要性。本文通過運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)分析方法中的主成分分析法和計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的時(shí)間序列分析的方法，采用規(guī)范分析與實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法，對陜西省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整做了定性和定量的分析，既豐富了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論，又為陜西省加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)提供了參考。 本文重點(diǎn)部分是對陜西省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的相關(guān)性進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，通過分析，從整體趨勢來看，陜西省在這20年的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量出現(xiàn)了逐漸降低的趨勢。通過分析陜西省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，在三大產(chǎn)業(yè)比重方面，陜西省目前還處在“二三一”的模式，今后應(yīng)該努力向“二三并重”的產(chǎn)業(yè)模式發(fā)展。從產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)背后的二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)來看，陜西省的二元比對系數(shù)近幾年有了上升的趨勢，但與標(biāo)準(zhǔn)值“1”的差距還比較大，表明在二三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的背后依然隱含著低效率的農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)，二元結(jié)構(gòu)并沒有緩和。從三大產(chǎn)業(yè)比較勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率也可以看出，陜西省三大產(chǎn)業(yè)比較勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率的差距有縮小的趨勢，說明二元經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)已經(jīng)開始被重視了，，農(nóng)村剩余勞動(dòng)力開始向城市轉(zhuǎn)移，今后應(yīng)該繼續(xù)推進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)的現(xiàn)代化建設(shè)，合理利用農(nóng)村剩余勞動(dòng)力，縮小二元差距。從陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)趨同和內(nèi)部制約可以看出，陜西省內(nèi)各地級(jí)市之間缺乏行之有效的產(chǎn)業(yè)合作的發(fā)展規(guī)劃，這也是制約陜西省經(jīng)濟(jì)健康發(fā)展的重要障礙。通過多部門結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對產(chǎn)出貢獻(xiàn)的測度方法，可以得出陜西省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的影響高于全國平均水平。通過計(jì)量分析，可以得出在1992-2011年，影響陜西省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的產(chǎn)業(yè)指標(biāo)主要是第二產(chǎn)業(yè)比較勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率。陜西省的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長還依賴著第二產(chǎn)業(yè)來促進(jìn)，這就會(huì)在一定程度上制約著經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量的提高。
[Abstract]:The pursuit of economic growth in a country and a region can no longer be confined to the expansion of quantity. The process of high quality economic growth should be accompanied by the increase in quantity and quality. To study the influence of industrial structure on the quality of economic growth is to perfect and develop the theory of quality of economic growth. In particular, in the light of China's current development objectives, the requirements of the 12th Five-Year Plan and the overall requirements for building a harmonious socialist society, The importance and necessity of studying the quality of economic growth are highlighted. By using principal component analysis (PCA) and time series analysis (TSA) in econometrics, this paper adopts the method of combining normative analysis with empirical analysis. The qualitative and quantitative analysis of industrial structure adjustment in Shaanxi Province not only enriches the theory of economic growth, but also provides a reference for Shaanxi Province to speed up the adjustment of industrial structure and optimize industrial structure. This paper focuses on the empirical analysis of the correlation between the industrial structure and the quality of economic growth in Shaanxi Province. The quality of economic growth in Shaanxi Province has gradually decreased in the past 20 years. By analyzing the industrial structure of Shaanxi Province, Shaanxi Province is still in the mode of "two three one" in terms of the proportion of the three major industries. In the future, efforts should be made to develop the "two-to-three" industrial model. From the perspective of the dual economic structure behind the industrial structure, the binary ratio coefficient of Shaanxi Province has been on the rise in recent years, but the gap with the standard value "1" is still quite large. It shows that behind the development of the secondary and tertiary industries there is still a low efficiency of agricultural production, and the dual structure has not eased. From the comparison of labor productivity among the three major industries, it can also be seen that, The gap between the three major industries in Shaanxi Province in terms of labor productivity has tended to narrow, indicating that the dual economic structure has begun to be attached importance to, that the surplus rural labor force is beginning to transfer to cities, and that the modernization of agriculture should continue to be promoted in the future. From the convergence and internal restriction of industrial structure in Shaanxi Province, we can see that there is no effective development plan for industrial cooperation among prefecture-level cities in Shaanxi Province. This is also an important obstacle to the healthy economic development of Shaanxi Province. It can be concluded that the adjustment of industrial structure in Shaanxi Province has a higher impact on the quality of economic growth than the national average. Through econometric analysis, it can be concluded that in 1992-2011, The industrial index that affects the quality of economic growth in Shaanxi Province is mainly the comparative labor productivity of the secondary industry, and the economic growth in Shaanxi Province still depends on the promotion of the secondary industry, which will restrict the improvement of the quality of economic growth to a certain extent.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安財(cái)經(jīng)學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F121.3

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