本文選題：東北地區(qū)　切入點：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　出處：《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：近幾年東北地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長明顯處于落后狀態(tài),全國經(jīng)濟(jì)總量排名倒數(shù),形勢嚴(yán)峻,不容忽視。當(dāng)前我國已經(jīng)進(jìn)入消費結(jié)構(gòu)加快升級重要階段,通過消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級推動產(chǎn)業(yè)升級和投資的良性互動,能否對東北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生積極影響從而改變當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)萎靡的現(xiàn)狀值得深入探索。論文從理論上分析產(chǎn)品、產(chǎn)業(yè)和投資結(jié)構(gòu)傳導(dǎo)下的消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級,從而對東北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生影響,就東北居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響進(jìn)行定性分析,通過建立面板數(shù)據(jù)分析模型,對東北地區(qū)居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的過程進(jìn)行模型估計并進(jìn)行總結(jié)。東北地區(qū)的消費需求隨著時間的推移以及生活水平的改善,居民的心理需求發(fā)生變化,社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展已經(jīng)逐漸從生存型消費轉(zhuǎn)向享受型消費。從2011年開始,東北地區(qū)第二產(chǎn)業(yè)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)逐漸減少,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展推動?xùn)|北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級拓寬第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展?jié)摿?有助于第三產(chǎn)業(yè)推動經(jīng)濟(jì)快速增長。投資結(jié)構(gòu)變動帶動經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,其中投資結(jié)構(gòu)的變動與消費結(jié)構(gòu)相呼應(yīng),消費結(jié)構(gòu)不斷變化的同時投資結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整也會隨著變化,進(jìn)而對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生一定影響。論文采用面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸方法,分析居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級對東北地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響,研究發(fā)現(xiàn):東北居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級的方式具有多樣性,產(chǎn)品的更新?lián)Q代以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和投資結(jié)構(gòu)等都會受到消費結(jié)構(gòu)影響,進(jìn)而對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長產(chǎn)生一定影響。將工業(yè)消費品數(shù)量比上農(nóng)業(yè)消費品為指標(biāo)研究居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級,居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級對第一產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響是非相關(guān)的,對第二產(chǎn)業(yè)及第三產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有影響且是正相關(guān)的;將服務(wù)業(yè)消費品和工業(yè)消費品的比值為指標(biāo)來研究居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級,居民的消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級對第一產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響是負(fù)相關(guān)的,居民消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級對第二產(chǎn)業(yè)及第三產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響并不顯著,沒有明顯的相關(guān)性。最后,就促進(jìn)東北地區(qū)消費結(jié)構(gòu)升級、重點挖掘農(nóng)村消費潛力以及東北地區(qū)服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展等方面提出對策和措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the economic growth in Northeast China has obviously been in a backward state. The countdown of the national total economic volume is serious and can not be ignored. At present, China has entered an important stage of speeding up the upgrading of the consumption structure. Whether the promotion of industrial upgrading and investment through the upgrading of consumption structure can have a positive impact on the economic growth in Northeast China and thus change the current situation of economic malaise is worth further exploring. The upgrading of consumption structure under the conduction of industry and investment structure has an impact on the economic growth in Northeast China. The qualitative analysis of the impact of the upgrading of consumption structure on economic growth is carried out, and the panel data analysis model is established. This paper estimates and summarizes the process of consumption structure upgrading and influencing economic growth in Northeast China. With the passage of time and the improvement of living standards, the psychological needs of residents in Northeast China change. The development of social economy has gradually shifted from subsistence consumption to enjoyment consumption. Since 2011, the contribution of the secondary industry to economic growth in Northeast China has gradually decreased, and the development of the tertiary industry has promoted economic growth in Northeast China. The upgrading of the consumption structure and widening of the development potential of the tertiary industry will help the tertiary industry to promote rapid economic growth, and the change in investment structure will lead to economic growth, in which the changes in the investment structure will be consistent with the consumption structure. While the consumption structure is changing, the adjustment of the investment structure will also change with the change, which will have a certain impact on the economic growth. The paper uses panel data regression method to analyze the impact of the upgrading of the consumption structure on the economic growth in Northeast China. It is found that the ways of consumption structure upgrading in Northeast China are diverse, and the upgrading of products as well as the industrial structure and investment structure will be affected by the consumption structure. Then it has a certain impact on economic growth. Comparing the quantity of industrial consumer goods to agricultural consumer goods as an indicator, this paper studies the upgrading of the consumption structure of residents, and the impact of the upgrading of consumption structure on the economic growth of the primary industry is irrelevant. It has an impact on the economic growth of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry and is positively related. The ratio of consumer goods in the service industry to the consumer goods in industry is taken as an indicator to study the upgrading of the consumption structure of the residents. The impact of residential consumption structure upgrading on the economic growth of the primary industry is negatively correlated. The impact of residential consumption structure upgrading on the economic growth of the secondary industry and the tertiary industry is not significant. Finally, there is no obvious correlation between the upgrading of the consumption structure of the residents and the economic growth of the secondary and tertiary industries. This paper puts forward some countermeasures and measures to promote the upgrading of consumption structure in Northeast China, especially to tap the potential of rural consumption and the development of service industry in Northeast China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F126.1;F127

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本文編號：1660037