本文選題：碳排放　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　出處：《青島大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：山東省是中國的東部地區(qū)中的經(jīng)濟(jì)大省,也是能源消費(fèi)大省,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長速度和GDP一直位列全國前列。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)的高速增長,高能耗的工業(yè)的發(fā)展和城市化過程中生活行為,對(duì)能源的需求大幅度增加。需要重新研究和認(rèn)識(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、能源消耗以及碳排放之間的關(guān)系,在保證經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的同時(shí),減少能源消耗,減少溫室氣體排放,為更好的利用資源,發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì),保護(hù)環(huán)境奠定基礎(chǔ)。 論文首先對(duì)國內(nèi)外對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長、能源消耗以及碳排放研究進(jìn)行了綜述；利用歷年統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),分析山東省產(chǎn)值增長、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu),能源消耗量、能源消耗結(jié)構(gòu)以及碳排放現(xiàn)狀,發(fā)現(xiàn)山東省產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)狀況和能源消耗結(jié)構(gòu)不合理,節(jié)能減排壓力很大；對(duì)山東省能源消耗與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究,利用EVIEWS6.0對(duì)其進(jìn)行協(xié)整檢驗(yàn),得出能源消耗與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長存在單線格蘭杰因果關(guān)系；利用脫鉤分析法對(duì)碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間關(guān)系進(jìn)行研究,發(fā)現(xiàn)碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)并沒有出現(xiàn)強(qiáng)脫鉤狀態(tài)；并利用庫茨涅茨曲線對(duì)能源和碳排放趨勢進(jìn)行預(yù)測,得到能耗和碳排放在未來會(huì)出現(xiàn)拐點(diǎn)。 論文為山東省相關(guān)部門把握能源消耗、碳排放與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的辯證關(guān)系提供依據(jù),有利于山東政府和相關(guān)部門制定更加合理的能源發(fā)展和管理政策,制定和綜合運(yùn)用財(cái)政政策、產(chǎn)業(yè)政策等促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、新能源的開發(fā)和快速發(fā)展,為山東省在實(shí)現(xiàn)“十二五”計(jì)劃目標(biāo)提供理論支持,并對(duì)其他省份經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康運(yùn)行具有借鑒參考價(jià)值。
[Abstract]:Shandong Province is one of the largest economic and energy consuming provinces in eastern China. The economic growth rate and GDP have always been among the highest in the country. With the rapid economic growth, the development of high-energy consumption industries and the living behavior in the process of urbanization, There is a significant increase in the demand for energy. There is a need to re-examine and understand the relationship between economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emissions, while at the same time reducing energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions in order to make better use of resources, Developing the economy and protecting the environment lay the foundation. Firstly, this paper summarizes the research on economic growth, energy consumption and carbon emission at home and abroad, and analyzes the growth of output value, industrial structure, energy consumption, energy consumption structure and carbon emission status of Shandong Province by using statistical data over the years. It is found that the industrial structure and energy consumption structure of Shandong Province are unreasonable, and the pressure of energy saving and emission reduction is very high, the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Shandong Province is studied, and cointegration test is carried out by using EVIEWS6.0. It is concluded that there is a single Granger causality between energy consumption and economic growth, and the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth is studied by decoupling analysis, and it is found that there is no strong decoupling between carbon emissions and economy. The trend of energy and carbon emission is predicted by Kuznets curve, and the inflection point of energy consumption and carbon emission will appear in the future. The paper provides the basis for the relevant departments of Shandong Province to grasp the dialectical relationship between energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth, which is conducive to the Shandong government and relevant departments to formulate more reasonable energy development and management policies, formulate and comprehensive use of fiscal policies. Industrial policies promote the adjustment of economic structure, the development and rapid development of new energy, which provide theoretical support for the realization of the "12th Five-Year Plan" in Shandong Province, and have reference value for the healthy operation of other provinces' economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：青島大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F426.2;F205;F124.1

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