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基于省域面板數(shù)據(jù)的金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-22 05:00

  本文選題:金融結(jié)構(gòu) 切入點(diǎn):技術(shù)創(chuàng)新 出處:《上海師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:金融結(jié)構(gòu)與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新一直是學(xué)術(shù)界研究的熱點(diǎn)問題,自從Goldsmith(1969)首次提出了“金融結(jié)構(gòu)”這一概念并對(duì)此進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的理論論述和跨國(guó)實(shí)證性檢驗(yàn)以來(lái),對(duì)于金融結(jié)構(gòu)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系學(xué)術(shù)界進(jìn)行了大量的理論分析與實(shí)證檢驗(yàn),并得出了比較一致結(jié)論:一個(gè)完善的金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)具有顯著的促進(jìn)作用。但是,關(guān)于金融結(jié)構(gòu)與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新之間的關(guān)系和金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新影響路徑的研究卻還比較少。在進(jìn)行“供給側(cè)改革”的大背景下,去杠桿是一個(gè)重要的任務(wù),對(duì)于穩(wěn)定經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),降低企業(yè)經(jīng)營(yíng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)具有重大現(xiàn)實(shí)意義,本文從金融結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的影響路徑出發(fā),構(gòu)建包含金融結(jié)構(gòu)和技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的相關(guān)的分析模型,并從區(qū)域?qū)哟蔚慕嵌冗M(jìn)行研究,根據(jù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的相應(yīng)特征,采取相關(guān)的計(jì)量模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,從而探究二者之間的關(guān)系。這對(duì)于金融結(jié)構(gòu)與創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出之間的理論研究和實(shí)證方面的研究都有著一定的貢獻(xiàn),并且實(shí)證研究的結(jié)果解釋了“去杠桿”對(duì)于促進(jìn)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、穩(wěn)定經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。論文首先針對(duì)我國(guó)目前經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的現(xiàn)狀以及存在的問題,提出了本文的研究的意義和現(xiàn)實(shí)動(dòng)因,總結(jié)分析了國(guó)內(nèi)外金融結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的研究現(xiàn)狀并給出了論文的研究思路、主要內(nèi)容和技術(shù)路線。在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,論文對(duì)金融結(jié)構(gòu)與區(qū)域技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型分析,運(yùn)用2001~2014年省域面板數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)金融集聚對(duì)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響進(jìn)實(shí)證分析表明結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)區(qū)域技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響系數(shù)在0.01的顯著性水平下通過(guò)顯著性檢驗(yàn),金融結(jié)構(gòu)發(fā)生調(diào)整時(shí),直接融資比例比間接融資每提高1%會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)帶來(lái)0.02%的促進(jìn)作用,而金融市場(chǎng)的融資總量對(duì)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的影響作用并不明顯,地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、政府財(cái)政購(gòu)買支出、外商直接投資的增加有利于技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出的增加?紤]到我國(guó)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的空間地理特征,論文運(yùn)用前沿的空間面板數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)量方法對(duì)金融結(jié)構(gòu)與區(qū)域技術(shù)創(chuàng)新增長(zhǎng)的空間效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了分析,通過(guò)計(jì)算中國(guó)技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的Moran’s I指數(shù)確定中省域技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出存在空間相關(guān)性,在此基礎(chǔ)上論文通過(guò)建立空間面板滯后模型(SPLM)和空間面板誤差模型(SPEM)進(jìn)行分析,結(jié)果表明金融結(jié)構(gòu)每增加1%會(huì)對(duì)區(qū)域的技術(shù)創(chuàng)新帶來(lái)0.006%的促進(jìn)作用,與普通面板數(shù)據(jù)相比結(jié)論相對(duì)較為穩(wěn)健,也通過(guò)了模型的穩(wěn)健性檢驗(yàn)。說(shuō)明在當(dāng)今技術(shù)創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)出在異質(zhì)性的空間具備較強(qiáng)領(lǐng)域影響力,這可能是因?yàn)槭∮蛑g加強(qiáng)了科技創(chuàng)新交流與合作的緣故。
[Abstract]:Financial structure and technological innovation have always been a hot topic in academic circles. Since Goldsmith put forward the concept of "financial structure" for the first time, he has made a detailed theoretical discussion and transnational empirical test on it. The relationship between financial structure and economic growth has been analyzed and tested by a great deal of theoretical and empirical results, and the conclusion is that a perfect financial structure can promote economic growth significantly. However, there are few studies on the relationship between financial structure and technological innovation and the influence of financial structure on technological innovation. Under the background of "supply-side reform", deleveraging is an important task for stabilizing economic growth. It is of great practical significance to reduce the risk of enterprise management. This paper starts from the influence path of financial structure on innovation output, constructs the relevant analysis model including financial structure and technological innovation, and studies it from the angle of regional level. According to the corresponding characteristics of innovation output, empirical analysis is carried out by adopting relevant econometric models to explore the relationship between them, which contributes to the theoretical and empirical research between financial structure and innovation output. And the results of the empirical study explain the practical significance of "deleveraging" in promoting technological innovation and stabilizing economic growth. This paper puts forward the significance and realistic motivation of this paper, summarizes and analyzes the present research situation of financial structure adjustment on technological innovation at home and abroad, and gives the research ideas, main contents and technical route of the thesis. The relationship between financial structure and regional technological innovation is analyzed by econometric model. The impact of financial agglomeration on regional economic growth is analyzed by using provincial panel data from 2001 to 2014. The empirical analysis shows that the influence coefficient of structure on regional technological innovation is significant at 0.01 level. Each increase in direct financing ratio by 1% will bring about 0.02% promotion to economic growth, while the total amount of financing in financial markets does not have a significant impact on technological innovation. The level of regional economic development and government expenditure on financial purchases are not obvious. The increase of foreign direct investment is conducive to the increase of technological innovation output. Considering the spatial and geographical characteristics of technological innovation in China, In this paper, the spatial effects of financial structure and regional technological innovation growth are analyzed by using the frontier spatial panel data measurement method. The spatial correlation of provincial technological innovation output is determined by calculating the Moran's I index of Chinese technological innovation. On the basis of this, the paper analyzes the spatial panel lag model (SPLM) and the spatial panel error model (SPEMM). The results show that every 1% increase of financial structure will bring 0.006% promotion to regional technological innovation. Compared with the general panel data, the conclusion is relatively robust, and it also passes the robustness test of the model. This may be due to the strengthening of scientific and technological innovation exchanges and cooperation between the provinces.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F832.1;F124.3

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