本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　出處：《湘潭大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：城鎮(zhèn)化和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是中國經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展的兩大重要主題，兩者關(guān)系緊密并且相互促進(jìn)。城鎮(zhèn)化是新時期中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的引擎，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是城鎮(zhèn)化水平不斷提高的根本推動力。湖南省作為人口大省，2012年末常住人口達(dá)到6638.9萬人，位居全國第8位，城鎮(zhèn)化率為46.65%，低于全國平均水平，并且2012年湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)總量位居全國第10位，人均GDP卻排在第20位。如何在保證湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)快速平穩(wěn)增長的同時，健康有序地推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程，使城鎮(zhèn)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間形成良性互動。這就需要我們深入研究湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的互動關(guān)系。 首先，通過閱讀和整理國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)，，梳理了兩者相互作用的理論基礎(chǔ)和影響機(jī)制。在理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上，既從歷史進(jìn)程、發(fā)展水平、區(qū)域協(xié)調(diào)性和農(nóng)民工問題4個方面對湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行概述，也從經(jīng)濟(jì)增長總量、增長速度、地區(qū)差異以及產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)4個方面分析湖南省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的現(xiàn)狀。 其次，選取1978-2012年湖南省城鎮(zhèn)化率與人均GDP的數(shù)據(jù)，構(gòu)建對數(shù)模型，運(yùn)用動態(tài)計量分析方法。得到兩個主要結(jié)論：一是湖南省人均實際地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值是城鎮(zhèn)化水平的格蘭杰原因，即人均GDP的變動引起城鎮(zhèn)化率的變動，反之不成立；二是湖南省人均實際GDP每增加10個百分點(diǎn)，將帶來城鎮(zhèn)化水平提高1.28個百分點(diǎn)。接下來選取2001-2012年14個市州的面板數(shù)據(jù)，以地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、城鎮(zhèn)化率、年末從業(yè)人數(shù)、全社會固定資產(chǎn)投資額4個變量構(gòu)建擴(kuò)展的柯布道格拉斯生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型，旨在研究湖南省各市州城鎮(zhèn)化水平對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)大小。得到的結(jié)論是：長沙、株洲、懷化和湘西自治州4個城市的城鎮(zhèn)化系數(shù)沒有通過變量的顯著性檢驗；在通過檢驗的10個城市中，依據(jù)城鎮(zhèn)化水平對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的貢獻(xiàn)率由大到小排列為：婁底、湘潭、郴州、張家界、益陽、邵陽、岳陽、常德、永州、衡陽。 最后，對理論分析和實證檢驗的結(jié)論作一個系統(tǒng)的總結(jié)，結(jié)合湖南省的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的現(xiàn)狀，為湖南省推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)提出有理論依據(jù)、有數(shù)據(jù)支撐和可操作性的對策建議。
[Abstract]:Urbanization and economic growth are the two major themes of China's economic and social development, which are closely related and mutually promoted. Urbanization is the engine of China's economic growth in the new period. Economic growth is the fundamental driving force for the continuous improvement of urbanization. Hunan Province, as a large province with a population of sixty-six million three hundred and eighty-nine thousand inhabitants in end of 2012, ranks eighth in the country. The urbanization rate is 46.65, which is lower than the national average. In 2012, Hunan Province ranked 10th in total economic output and 20th in per capita GDP. How to promote the urbanization process in a healthy and orderly manner while ensuring rapid and steady economic growth in Hunan Province, It is necessary for us to study the interaction between urbanization and economic growth in Hunan Province. First of all, by reading and sorting out the relevant literature at home and abroad, this paper combs the theoretical basis and influence mechanism of the interaction between the two, on the basis of theoretical analysis, both from the historical process, the level of development, This paper summarizes the present situation of urbanization construction in Hunan Province from four aspects of regional coordination and migrant workers, and analyzes the present situation of economic growth in Hunan Province from four aspects: total economic growth, growth speed, regional differences and industrial structure. Secondly, taking the data of urbanization rate and per capita GDP from 1978 to 2012 in Hunan Province, a logarithmic model is constructed. Using the method of dynamic econometric analysis, two main conclusions are drawn: first, the per capita per capita GDP of Hunan Province is the Granger reason of urbanization level, that is, the change of per capita GDP causes the change of urbanization rate, otherwise it does not hold true; Second, every 10 percentage point increase in actual GDP per capita in Hunan Province will bring about an increase of 1.28 percentage points in the level of urbanization. Next, select the panel data of 14 cities from 2001 to 2012, using the regional gross domestic product, the urbanization rate, and the number of employees at the end of the year. This paper constructs the extended Cobb Douglas production function model based on four variables of fixed asset investment in the whole society. The purpose of this model is to study the contribution of urbanization level to economic growth in various cities and states of Hunan Province. The conclusion is: Changsha, Zhuzhou, Zhuzhou, Hunan Province, China. The urbanization coefficient of 4 cities in Huaihua and Xiangxi autonomous prefectures has not passed the significance test of variables; in the 10 cities tested, the contribution rate of urbanization level to economic growth from big to small is: Loudi, Xiangtan, Chenzhou. Zhangjiajie, Yiyang, Shaoyang, Yueyang, Changde, Yongzhou, Hengyang. Finally, the conclusion of theoretical analysis and empirical test is systematically summarized, combined with the economic development of Hunan Province and the current situation of urbanization construction, which provides a theoretical basis for the promotion of urbanization construction in Hunan Province. There are data support and operable countermeasures and suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湘潭大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27;F127;F224

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