國際區(qū)域合作意愿的演化機理研究
本文選題:國際區(qū)域合作 切入點:合作意愿 出處:《長春工業(yè)大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:隨著經(jīng)濟的不斷發(fā)展,經(jīng)濟全球化的腳步不斷加強,國際區(qū)域合作成為經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的必然趨勢。盡管在諸多因素的影響下形成了國際區(qū)域合作,但是國際區(qū)域合作的達成最重要的前提是各參與區(qū)域合作中主體國的合作意愿趨于一致。所以,對于國際區(qū)域合作意愿演變規(guī)律的研究,有利于揭示區(qū)域合作的形成原理。國際區(qū)域合作主體國的合作意愿趨于一致性是由其固有合作偏好和合作主體國間相互作用決定的,其運動規(guī)律具有系統(tǒng)動力學的特征。本文分析了國際區(qū)域合作的意愿特征,并描匯了合作意愿演化的軌跡。在線性狀態(tài)下,合作意愿演化軌跡是單一穩(wěn)態(tài)。在非線性狀態(tài)下,合作意愿演化是雙穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)。當合作主體國的固有合作偏好小于臨界點時,系統(tǒng)有唯一的均衡值。而固有合作偏好大于臨界點時,兩個合作主體國的合作可能會出現(xiàn)兩次突變。而在多個合作主體國進行合作過程中,本文研究以兩種結(jié)構(gòu)下的三個合作主體國合作行為,分為互動結(jié)構(gòu)和代理結(jié)構(gòu)進行分析。當固有偏見差異△μ13很高而耦合度低于臨界值時,互動結(jié)構(gòu)中主體國1與主體國3之間的溝通的效力很小,因為他們合作意愿所在之處是在耦合力的末端。在這種情況下的互動結(jié)構(gòu),主體國之間的交流尤其是對于極端主體國之間的交流是一種浪費,而作為代理結(jié)構(gòu)中主體國間溝通的效率更高,因為極端主體國之間是不交流的。當固有偏見△μ13是中等或偏低時,除了主體國2對主體國1、3的影響力外,主體國1和3之間都會受到彼此的影響。因此在考慮到哪種結(jié)構(gòu)對減少意愿不一致性更具有效力的情況下,互動結(jié)構(gòu)中的主體國之間影響力對極端主體國的影響力更大。本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn)的這些結(jié)論基本揭示了國際區(qū)域合作意愿的演化機理。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economy and the strengthening of economic globalization, international regional cooperation has become an inevitable trend of economic development, although international regional cooperation has been formed under the influence of many factors. However, the most important prerequisite for the achievement of international regional cooperation is the convergence of the cooperation will of the main countries participating in the regional cooperation. Therefore, the study on the law of the evolution of international regional cooperation will be carried out. It is beneficial to reveal the formation principle of regional cooperation. The consistency of the cooperation will of the main countries of international regional cooperation is determined by their inherent preference for cooperation and the interaction between the main cooperating countries. The law of motion has the characteristics of system dynamics. In this paper, the willing characteristics of international regional cooperation are analyzed, and the trajectory of the evolution of cooperative willingness is described. In the linear state, the trajectory of cooperative willingness evolution is a single steady state, and in the nonlinear state, the trajectory of cooperative will evolution is a single steady state. When the inherent cooperation preference of the main cooperative state is less than the critical point, the system has a unique equilibrium value, while the inherent cooperation preference is greater than the critical point. There may be two mutations in the cooperation between the two main cooperative countries. In the process of cooperation between the two main cooperative countries, this paper studies the cooperative behavior of the three cooperative subject states under two kinds of structure. When the inherent bias difference 渭 13 is very high and the coupling degree is lower than the critical value, the effectiveness of communication between the subject country 1 and the subject country 3 in the interaction structure is very small. Because their willingness to cooperate is at the end of the coupling force. In this case, the interaction structure, the communication between the host countries, especially the exchanges between the extreme subject states, is a waste. As agent structure, the efficiency of communication between subject states is higher, because there is no communication between extreme subject states. When the inherent bias 渭 13 is medium or low, except for the influence of subject state 2 on subject state 1 / 3, Each of the host States 1 and 3 is affected by each other... therefore, taking into account which structure is more effective in reducing inconsistency of will, The influence of the subject states in the interaction structure is greater than that of the extreme subject states. These conclusions in this paper basically reveal the evolutionary mechanism of the willingness of international regional cooperation.
【學位授予單位】:長春工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F114.4
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