物流業(yè)碳排放與能源消耗、經濟增長關系的實證研究——以河南省為例
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-07 05:05
本文選題:物流業(yè) 切入點:碳排放 出處:《系統科學學報》2017年02期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:在對2000-2013年河南省物流業(yè)碳排放測算基礎上,基于協整檢驗、Granger檢驗、脈沖響應和方差分解分析法實證研究了物流業(yè)碳排放與能源消耗、經濟增長之間的關系。研究表明,三者之間存在協同增長關系;物流業(yè)經濟增長是碳排放的Granger原因,反之則不成立,這說明靠犧牲環(huán)境來獲得經濟增長的做法不可行;物流業(yè)經濟增長與能源消耗對碳排放較大,其中經濟增長貢獻更多;物流業(yè)經濟增長與碳排放的關系曲線呈波動幅度不斷減小的“N”型趨勢,隨時間發(fā)展,經濟增長對碳排放的影響逐漸減小。
[Abstract]:Based on the measurement of carbon emissions of logistics industry in Henan Province from 2000 to 2013, the relationship between carbon emissions and energy consumption and economic growth in logistics industry is studied empirically based on co-integration test and Granger test, pulse response and variance decomposition analysis. The economic growth of the logistics industry is the Granger cause of carbon emissions, otherwise it does not hold, which shows that it is not feasible to achieve economic growth at the expense of the environment; the economic growth of the logistics industry and energy consumption have a greater impact on carbon emissions. The relationship curve between economic growth and carbon emissions in logistics industry shows a "N" trend of decreasing fluctuation, and the influence of economic growth on carbon emissions decreases gradually with the development of time.
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本文編號:1578030
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