中國社會保障對內(nèi)需的影響研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-06 08:24
本文選題:社會保障 切入點:內(nèi)需 出處:《云南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:內(nèi)需已經(jīng)成為當(dāng)前中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要推動力,而現(xiàn)實情況卻是內(nèi)需不振,要拉動內(nèi)需,必須探究內(nèi)需難以啟動的原因。社會保障是現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)社會的產(chǎn)物,其本質(zhì)是政府干預(yù)經(jīng)濟(jì)的一種工具和手段,具有收入分配的特殊功能,對居民的收入水平、分配的公平程度和未來不確定性的風(fēng)險預(yù)期產(chǎn)生影響。中國社會保障制度不健全、城鄉(xiāng)分割的情況比較嚴(yán)重,這導(dǎo)致居民的預(yù)防性儲蓄持續(xù)增加,無法有力刺激消費需求。而對廣闊的農(nóng)村消費市場來說,擴(kuò)大農(nóng)村消費需求對中國總體內(nèi)需的拉動是至關(guān)重要的,農(nóng)村消費滯后很大程度上由于農(nóng)村社會保障制度建設(shè)滯后,財政性社會保障支出投入不足。 本文在簡要回顧了國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀之后,從中國社會保障制度和內(nèi)需的現(xiàn)狀出發(fā),分析了各自存在問題的原因。一般來說,社會保障為內(nèi)需提供了一個穩(wěn)定的社會環(huán)境,社會保障影響內(nèi)需的具體途徑有收入分配效應(yīng)和預(yù)防性儲蓄效應(yīng)。本文采用2001——2012年的數(shù)據(jù),通過實證進(jìn)行分析,得出以下結(jié)論:從中國總體情況來看,社會保障總支出對內(nèi)需具有微弱的負(fù)效應(yīng),財政性社會保障支出對內(nèi)需具有微弱的促進(jìn)作用,而中國目前啟動內(nèi)需的主要著力點在農(nóng)村市場,增加農(nóng)村居民家庭人均可支配收入對中國內(nèi)需有重要意義,健全農(nóng)村社會保障制度對內(nèi)需拉動具有顯著效應(yīng)。最后,文章結(jié)合前面的分析,提出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Domestic demand has become an important driving force for China's economic development at present, but the reality is that domestic demand is sluggish. In order to stimulate domestic demand, we must explore the reasons why it is difficult to start up domestic demand. Social security is the product of modern economic society. Its essence is a tool and means of government intervention in the economy, which has the special function of income distribution, which has an impact on the income level of residents, the fair degree of distribution and the risk expectation of uncertainty in the future. The division between urban and rural areas is more serious, which leads to a sustained increase in the precautionary savings of residents and is unable to stimulate consumer demand. But for the vast rural consumer market, It is very important to expand the rural consumption demand to stimulate the overall domestic demand in China. The lag of rural consumption is largely due to the lag in the construction of rural social security system and the insufficient investment of financial social security expenditure. After a brief review of the current research situation at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the causes of the problems in China's social security system and domestic demand. Generally speaking, social security provides a stable social environment for domestic demand. The specific ways for social security to influence domestic demand are income distribution effect and precautionary saving effect. This paper uses the data from 2001 to 2012, and through empirical analysis, draws the following conclusions: from the general situation of China, The total expenditure on social security has a weak negative effect on domestic demand, and the fiscal expenditure on social security has a weak role in promoting domestic demand. At present, the main focus of China's efforts to start domestic demand is in the rural market. Increasing the per capita disposable income of rural households is of great significance to China's domestic demand, and improving the rural social security system has a significant effect on stimulating domestic demand.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:D632.1;F124
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