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延邊州金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長關(guān)系實證分析研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-04 14:07

  本文選題:延邊州 切入點:經(jīng)濟增長 出處:《延邊大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:金融是市場經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的產(chǎn)物,其本身也屬于市場經(jīng)濟的一部分。從世界各國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展實踐來看,經(jīng)濟增長和金融發(fā)展兩者是相互促進、緊密聯(lián)系的,經(jīng)濟增長最直接的表現(xiàn)形式就是貨幣的增長,從而帶動金融規(guī)模的增長,同時,金融規(guī)模的增長和結(jié)構(gòu)的改善又將通過貨幣這一紐帶為經(jīng)濟增長的提供動力。 延邊地區(qū)作為經(jīng)濟欠發(fā)達的少數(shù)民族地區(qū),經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平和金融業(yè)發(fā)展水平都有待提高,而到底是經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平制約金融業(yè)發(fā)展水平還是金融業(yè)發(fā)展水平制約經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平?基于此因,本文運用現(xiàn)有較為成熟的金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長理論以及實證研究方法,研究延邊州金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長之間的因果關(guān)系,并找出其中存在的問題,從而試圖找到延邊金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長均衡協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的政策建議。本文研究的主要內(nèi)容是: 本文運用嚴謹?shù)挠嬃糠治龇椒ㄉ钊胙芯垦舆呏萁鹑诎l(fā)展與經(jīng)濟增長二者之間的內(nèi)在聯(lián)系,經(jīng)濟增長采用地區(qū)GDP為衡量指標,金融發(fā)展則兼顧金融規(guī)模和金融效率兩個方面,選用延邊地區(qū)金融相關(guān)率、金融業(yè)從業(yè)人數(shù)占社會總就業(yè)人數(shù)比重以及金融資產(chǎn)投資轉(zhuǎn)化率三個指標來衡量延邊地區(qū)金融發(fā)展情況。運用單位根檢驗、Johansen協(xié)整檢驗、格蘭杰因果檢驗、脈沖響應(yīng)分析以及方差分解分析等計量分析方法,分析延邊金融發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟增長之間的數(shù)量因果關(guān)系。通過分析發(fā)現(xiàn),延邊州金融業(yè)發(fā)展是經(jīng)濟增長的格蘭杰原因,且二者之間僅存在單向因果聯(lián)系,而更進一步發(fā)現(xiàn),延邊州金融規(guī)模的增長對經(jīng)濟增長的貢獻最大,而金融效率則比較滯后,甚至在一定程度上制約了延邊州經(jīng)濟的增長。由此可見,延邊州金融發(fā)展存在比較明顯的非均衡的結(jié)構(gòu)性問題。
[Abstract]:Finance is the product of the development of the market economy, and it itself is also a part of the market economy. Judging from the economic development practice of various countries in the world, economic growth and financial development are mutually reinforcing and closely linked. The most direct form of economic growth is the growth of money, which leads to the growth of financial scale. At the same time, the growth of financial scale and the improvement of structure will provide the impetus for economic growth through the link of currency. Yanbian area as an underdeveloped minority areas, the level of economic development and financial development level needs to be improved, and whether the level of economic development restricts the level of financial development or the level of financial development to restrict the level of economic development. Based on this reason, this paper studies the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Yanbian Prefecture, and finds out the existing problems by using the existing mature theories of financial development and economic growth as well as empirical research methods. This paper tries to find the policy recommendations for the balanced development of financial development and economic growth in Yanbian. The main contents of this paper are as follows:. This paper uses the rigorous econometric analysis method to deeply study the internal relation between the financial development and economic growth of Yanbian Prefecture. The economic growth adopts the regional GDP as the measurement index, while the financial development takes into account the financial scale and financial efficiency. In order to measure the financial development of Yanbian area, the financial correlation rate, the proportion of the number of people employed in the financial industry to total employment and the conversion rate of financial assets investment are selected to measure the financial development in Yanbian area, and the Johansen cointegration test is used to measure the financial development in Yanbian area. Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis are used to analyze the quantitative causality between financial development and economic growth in Yanbian. The development of financial industry in Yanbian prefecture is the Granger cause of economic growth, and there is only a one-way causal relationship between them. Furthermore, it is found that the growth of financial scale in Yanbian prefecture contributes the most to economic growth, while the financial efficiency lags behind. Even to a certain extent, it restricts the economic growth of Yanbian prefecture, so it can be seen that there are obvious structural problems in the financial development of Yanbian Prefecture.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:延邊大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.7;F127

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