發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-02-28 02:10

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 一帶一路 出口增長 雙重差分　出處：《國際貿(mào)易問題》2017年02期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：自"一帶一路"倡議提出以來,中國與沿線國家務(wù)實(shí)合作已取得了一系列重要的早期成果。本文利用1996-2014年期間的中國海關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)庫并結(jié)合世界發(fā)展指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)庫,對"一帶一路"倡議是否能促進(jìn)中國對"一帶一路"國家出口增長進(jìn)行了考察。實(shí)證結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn),"一帶一路"倡議的提出顯著地促進(jìn)了中國對"一帶一路"國家的出口增長,且對出口數(shù)量增長的影響要大于對價(jià)格上升的影響,對異質(zhì)性產(chǎn)品出口增長的影響要大于對同質(zhì)性產(chǎn)品的影響,且對非鄰國的出口促進(jìn)效應(yīng)大于對鄰國的出口促進(jìn)效應(yīng),對我國與"一路"國家出口的促進(jìn)作用大于對"一帶"國家的出口促進(jìn)作用。利用微觀數(shù)據(jù)實(shí)證說明了"一帶一路"倡議的實(shí)施確實(shí)有助于提振我國的出口貿(mào)易,區(qū)分不同類型進(jìn)行實(shí)證拓展更論證了這一倡議的政策針對性。
[Abstract]:Since the "Belt and Road" initiative was put forward, practical cooperation between China and the countries along the route has achieved a series of important early results. This paper makes use of the China Customs Database from 1996 to 2014 and combines the World Development indicators Database. This paper examines whether the "Belt and Road" initiative can promote China's export growth to the country "Belt and Road." the empirical results show that the proposal of the "Belt and Road" initiative has significantly promoted China's export growth to the "Belt and Road" countries. The effect on export volume growth is greater than that on price increase, and the influence on heterogeneity product export growth is greater than on homogeneous product, and the export promotion effect on non-neighbouring country is greater than that on neighbouring country. The export promotion role of China and the "one Road" countries is greater than that of the "belt" countries. The use of microcosmic data demonstrates that the implementation of the "Belt and Road" initiative is indeed helpful in boosting China's export trade. Differentiation of different types of empirical expansion more demonstrated the policy pertinence of this initiative.
【作者單位】： 西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國際商學(xué)院;復(fù)旦大學(xué)社會(huì)發(fā)展與公共政策學(xué)院;上海對外經(jīng)貿(mào)大學(xué)國際經(jīng)貿(mào)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金面上項(xiàng)目“我國城市貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)空間分布研究”(71273167) 上海市教育委員會(huì)和上海市教育發(fā)展基金會(huì)“曙光計(jì)劃”“我國城市比較優(yōu)勢形成機(jī)制研究”(14SG51)
【分類號】：F125
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本文編號：1545303