發(fā)布時間：2018-02-27 23:04

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 經(jīng)濟發(fā)展 民生發(fā)展 城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 因子分析 面板向量自回歸模型　出處：《湖南大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開放初期,我國長期堅持“效率優(yōu)先”的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,經(jīng)濟增長成為國家和地區(qū)追求的首要目標(biāo)。我國GDP增長速度從1998年的7.8%最高增長到2007年的14.2%,經(jīng)濟建設(shè)取得了矚目成就,但長期片面追求經(jīng)濟增長速度,對公平問題和民生建設(shè)的忽視,導(dǎo)致了國家和地區(qū)經(jīng)濟發(fā)展失衡,城鄉(xiāng)發(fā)展不均,民生發(fā)展滯后。全國城鄉(xiāng)收入比從1998年的2.45增長到2009年的3.33,并維持在3.10以上。教育、醫(yī)療、社會保障等與人民生活密切相關(guān)的基本民生問題突出,民生水平低下。因此,黨的十七大報告提出要加快轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式,促進社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。黨的十八屆三中全會進一步提出,要深化經(jīng)濟改革,緊緊保障和改善民生,改革收入分配,保證社會協(xié)調(diào)有序發(fā)展。持續(xù)發(fā)展經(jīng)濟、不斷改善民生,實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟與民生的共同發(fā)展成為我國社會關(guān)注的重點問題。故深入研究經(jīng)濟與民生的關(guān)系,對于社會的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展有著至關(guān)重要的作用。文章在已有對經(jīng)濟與民生關(guān)系研究的基礎(chǔ)上引入城鄉(xiāng)收入差距這一與經(jīng)濟和民生要素都有至關(guān)重要作用的變量,深入兩者之間的相互關(guān)系,以及城鄉(xiāng)收入差距在其中的參與機制。首先建立經(jīng)濟與民生作用機制的理論分析框架,運用因子分析對經(jīng)濟和民生發(fā)展水平進行綜合測度,分析經(jīng)驗數(shù)據(jù)呈現(xiàn)的發(fā)展規(guī)律,進而構(gòu)建面板向量自回歸模型,結(jié)合GMM估計、脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)及方差分解結(jié)果檢驗經(jīng)濟與民生發(fā)展之間的相互關(guān)系,以及城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與對兩者之間相互關(guān)系產(chǎn)生的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn)：經(jīng)濟與民生之間存在著直接普遍的互惠關(guān)系。在城鄉(xiāng)收入差距參與下的間接效應(yīng)不同地區(qū)有著不同結(jié)論。就全國范圍而言,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與限制了經(jīng)濟對民生的促進作用,加深了民生對經(jīng)濟的促進作用,因而,通過改善民生促進經(jīng)濟發(fā)展同時兼顧調(diào)節(jié)城鄉(xiāng)二元結(jié)構(gòu)、縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距顯得更加有效；就東部地區(qū)而言,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與使得民生對經(jīng)濟的促進作用受到限制,經(jīng)濟對民生的促進作用卻得到加深,因此東部地區(qū)應(yīng)該堅持轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式,加快經(jīng)濟發(fā)展步伐；就中部地區(qū)而言,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與既加深了經(jīng)濟對民生的促進作用也加深了民生對經(jīng)濟的促進作用,但分別通過擴大和縮小收入差距實現(xiàn),因此中部地區(qū)實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟社會協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵所在應(yīng)是城鄉(xiāng)收入差距發(fā)展方向的抉擇；就西部地區(qū)而言,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與在短期會加深經(jīng)濟對民生的促進作用,在長期則會限制經(jīng)濟對民生的促進作用,同時城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的參與會加深民生對經(jīng)濟的促進作用。因此,西部應(yīng)以重點發(fā)展民生為主。
[Abstract]:In the early stage of reform and opening up, our country persisted in the development strategy of "efficiency first" for a long time, and economic growth became the primary goal pursued by the country and the region. The GDP growth rate of our country increased from 7.8% in 1998 to 14.2 in 2007. The economic construction has made remarkable achievements. However, the long-term and one-sided pursuit of economic growth rate and the neglect of the issue of equity and the construction of the people's livelihood have led to an imbalance in the economic development of the country and the region, and uneven development between urban and rural areas. The national income ratio between urban and rural areas increased from 2.45 on 1998 to 3.33 on 2009, and remained above 3.10. The basic livelihood issues, such as education, medical treatment, and social security, are prominent and the people's livelihood is low. The report of the 17th CPC National Congress proposed to accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic development and promote the coordinated development of society. The third Plenary session of the 18 CPC Central Committee further proposed that we should deepen economic reform, ensure and improve people's livelihood, and reform income distribution. Ensuring the coordinated and orderly development of the society, continuously developing the economy, improving the people's livelihood and realizing the common development of the economy and the people's livelihood have become the key issues of our society. Therefore, the relationship between the economy and the people's livelihood has been deeply studied. On the basis of the existing research on the relationship between economy and people's livelihood, this paper introduces the urban-rural income gap, which plays an important role in the economic and livelihood factors. First of all, establish the theoretical analysis framework of the economic and livelihood mechanism, and use factor analysis to measure the development level of economy and people's livelihood. The development law of empirical data is analyzed, and then the panel vector autoregressive model is constructed. Combined with GMM estimation, impulse response function and variance decomposition results, the relationship between economy and people's livelihood is tested. The study found that there is a direct and universal reciprocal relationship between economy and people's livelihood. Indirect effects in different regions with the participation of urban-rural income gap. There are different conclusions. As far as the country is concerned, The participation of urban-rural income gap limits the role of the economy in promoting the people's livelihood and deepens the role of the people's livelihood in promoting economic development, thus promoting economic development by improving the people's livelihood and simultaneously regulating the dual structure of urban and rural areas. Narrowing the urban-rural income gap is more effective; in the eastern region, the participation of the urban-rural income gap limits the contribution of people's livelihood to the economy, but the role of the economy in promoting the people's livelihood is deepened. Therefore, the eastern region should persist in changing the mode of economic development and speed up the pace of economic development. As far as the central region is concerned, the participation of the urban-rural income gap not only deepens the role of the economy in promoting the people's livelihood, but also deepens the role of the people's livelihood in promoting the economy. But by enlarging and narrowing the income gap respectively, the key to realize the coordinated economic and social development in the central region should be the choice of the development direction of the urban-rural income gap; as far as the western region is concerned, The participation of urban-rural income gap in the short term will deepen the role of the economy in promoting the people's livelihood, while in the long run it will limit the role of the economy in promoting the people's livelihood. At the same time, the participation of the urban-rural income gap will deepen the contribution of the people's livelihood to the economy. The western region should focus on the development of people's livelihood.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F124;D61

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