云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 云南 金融結(jié)構(gòu) 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 誤差修正模型 出處:《云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:區(qū)域金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相互影響,共同促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。一方面,動(dòng)態(tài)調(diào)整中的金融結(jié)構(gòu),通過(guò)資金配置、金融業(yè)務(wù)創(chuàng)新等能夠促使金融資源在不同區(qū)域、產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的配置從而推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整;另一方面,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)受到行政干預(yù)、市場(chǎng)機(jī)制選擇等途徑改變資金需求結(jié)構(gòu)來(lái)引導(dǎo)金融結(jié)構(gòu)的轉(zhuǎn)變,促使資金重新得到有效配置和加大對(duì)多樣化金融服務(wù)的需求。本文以西南地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)省份的云南省為研究對(duì)象,運(yùn)用定性與定量分析相結(jié)合的方法,研究了云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的影響關(guān)系。該研究能夠?yàn)橹贫ㄟm合于本地區(qū)發(fā)展的金融制度、產(chǎn)業(yè)制度、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展制度提供參考依據(jù),從而有利于實(shí)現(xiàn)地方金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展和良性互動(dòng),實(shí)現(xiàn)本地區(qū)以及全國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)社會(huì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。 本文首先在國(guó)內(nèi)外研究區(qū)域金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)成果的基礎(chǔ)上在分析了區(qū)域金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間的影響關(guān)系:立足于金融結(jié)構(gòu)角度分析了其對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響關(guān)系,再?gòu)漠a(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)角度分析了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)金融結(jié)構(gòu)影響關(guān)系;其次,梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外研究在衡量金融結(jié)構(gòu)時(shí)所采用的具有代表性的經(jīng)典指標(biāo),再結(jié)合云南省統(tǒng)計(jì)資料的可獲取性、全面性以及兼顧為實(shí)證分析服務(wù),從云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)總體規(guī)模、金融資產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)以及融資結(jié)構(gòu)三個(gè)角度分析了云南省的金融結(jié)構(gòu)狀況;從云南省三大產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)值結(jié)構(gòu)以及從業(yè)人員結(jié)構(gòu)兩角度分析了云南省的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)狀況;再次,根據(jù)云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的狀況分析結(jié)果,選取相關(guān)指標(biāo)分別對(duì)云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)總體規(guī)模與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系,金融資產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系以及融資結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,分層次分析采用的計(jì)量方法有協(xié)整分析、誤差修正模型等,對(duì)云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了較細(xì)化的分析;最后,根據(jù)實(shí)證研究結(jié)果,結(jié)合云南省發(fā)展形勢(shì),提出云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相互協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的對(duì)策建議。 研究結(jié)果表明:第一,,云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)總體規(guī)模與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間存在長(zhǎng)期均衡的協(xié)整關(guān)系,當(dāng)短期波動(dòng)偏離長(zhǎng)期均衡時(shí),非均衡的狀態(tài)能夠被系統(tǒng)以較顯著的調(diào)整力度拉回到均衡狀態(tài);第二,云南省金融資產(chǎn)中的貨幣類金融資產(chǎn)、保險(xiǎn)類金融資產(chǎn)以及證券類金融資產(chǎn)都與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系,但貨幣類金融資產(chǎn)與保險(xiǎn)類金融資產(chǎn)對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的貢獻(xiàn)度較大而證券類資產(chǎn)對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的貢獻(xiàn)度較小;當(dāng)短期波動(dòng)偏離長(zhǎng)期均衡時(shí),貨幣類資產(chǎn)對(duì)非均衡誤差的調(diào)整力度最強(qiáng),其次是保險(xiǎn)類金融資產(chǎn),最后是證券類金融資產(chǎn);第三,云南省融資結(jié)構(gòu)的變動(dòng)與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)之間存在顯著的相關(guān)關(guān)系,直接融資水平的提高能夠帶動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整;第四,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)能夠帶動(dòng)云南省金融結(jié)構(gòu)的變化,促進(jìn)形成多類型中小型金融機(jī)構(gòu)和形成多元化的融資結(jié)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:The mutual influence of regional financial structure and industrial structure, promote the coordinated development of regional economy and society. On the one hand, the financial structure of the dynamic adjustment, through the allocation of funds, financial innovation can promote financial resources in different regions, between the industrial configuration in order to promote the adjustment of industrial structure; on the other hand, the industrial structure by administrative the intervention, the market mechanism selection means to change the demand structure to guide the transformation of financial structure, promote the effective allocation of funds and increase the diversification of the demand for financial services. In this paper, the southwest underdeveloped provinces of Yunnan Province as the research object, using the method of combination of qualitative and quantitative analysis, studies the effect of financial structure with the industrial structure of Yunnan province. The study can make suitable to the local development of the financial system, industrial system, regional economy The coordinated development system provides a reference basis, which helps to achieve coordinated development and positive interaction between local financial structure and industrial structure, and achieve the sustainable development of our region and the whole country's economy and society.
Based on related results of regional financial structure and industrial structure firstly at home and abroad on the analysis of the influence between regional financial structure and industrial structure: Based on the relationship between financial structure analysis of its influence on the industrial structure of the relationship, and then from the angle of industrial structure analysis of the relationship between the influence of industrial structure on financial structure; secondly, combing the research used in measure of the financial structure of the representative of the classic index, Yunnan province combined with the availability of statistical data, both comprehensive and empirical analysis, from the overall size of the financial structure of Yunnan Province, the three aspects of financial assets structure and financing structure of financial structure in Yunnan province Yunnan province; from the three industrial output value structure and employment structure of two angles to analyze the industrial structure in Yunnan province; thirdly, according to the Yunnan Province The financial structure and industrial structure analysis results, select the relevant indicators of Yunnan province the overall size of financial structure and industrial structure, the relationship between financial assets structure and industrial structure and financial structure and industrial structure by empirical analysis, hierarchical analysis measurement method using the cointegration analysis, error correction model and the relationship between financial structure and industrial structure in Yunnan province were analyzed detailed; finally, according to the results of empirical research, combined with the development situation of Yunnan Province, puts forward countermeasures and suggestions to coordinate the development of financial structure and industrial structure in Yunnan province.
The results show that: first, there are long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between Yunnan Province financial structure of the overall scale and industrial structure, when short-term fluctuations deviate from the long-term equilibrium and non equilibrium state can be a significant adjustment to the system back to a balanced state; second currencies financial assets and financial assets in Yunnan Province, insurance financial assets and securities financial assets are related to the industrial structure positively, but the monetary financial assets and insurance financial assets contribute to the adjustment of industrial structure and a large degree of securities assets contribution to the adjustment of industrial structure is small; when short-term fluctuations deviate from the long-term equilibrium, adjustment of monetary assets for non equilibrium error the strongest, followed by the insurance financial assets, the securities financial assets; third, there are significant changes in Yunnan province between financial structure and industrial structure The relationship between direct financing and industrial structure adjustment can be promoted by raising the level of direct financing. Fourth, industrial structure can drive the change of financial structure in Yunnan Province, promote the formation of multiple small and medium-sized financial institutions and form diversified financing structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F832.7;F127
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 江曙霞;嚴(yán)玉華;;中國(guó)GDP結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)和金融結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)變的協(xié)調(diào)性研究[J];財(cái)經(jīng)理論與實(shí)踐;2006年01期
2 曾國(guó)平;王燕飛;;中國(guó)金融發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2007年08期
3 支大林,祝曉波;區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變遷中的金融結(jié)構(gòu)因素分析[J];東北師大學(xué)報(bào);2004年02期
4 張旭,伍海華;論產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整中的金融因素——機(jī)制、模式與政策選擇[J];當(dāng)代財(cái)經(jīng);2002年01期
5 張曉燕;王成亮;;中國(guó)金融結(jié)構(gòu)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟(jì)(下半月);2007年04期
6 黃漢鈺;;廣西產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與金融支持研究[J];區(qū)域金融研究;2011年02期
7 鐘麗芬;張敏;;中國(guó)金融發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)關(guān)系的實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)[J];北方經(jīng)濟(jì);2012年20期
8 王貴;;欠發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)金融支持產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級(jí)的調(diào)查與思考——基于貴州的探討[J];區(qū)域金融研究;2011年08期
9 惠曉峰;沈靜;;東北三省金融發(fā)展與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究與比較[J];哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版);2006年02期
10 林元輝;唐華臣;;廣西金融發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證研究——基于1978年~2008年的時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù)[J];廣西社會(huì)科學(xué);2010年12期
本文編號(hào):1542703
本文鏈接:http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/shijiejingjilunwen/1542703.html