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基于ESDA-GWR方法的廣東省收入差距空間演化及影響因素分析

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-19 22:46

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 廣東 收入差距 探索性空間數(shù)據(jù)分析 地理加權(quán)回歸 影響因素 出處:《商業(yè)研究》2017年06期  論文類型:期刊論文


【摘要】:在考慮空間異質(zhì)性和縮小研究區(qū)域細(xì)化研究尺度的基礎(chǔ)上,本文以廣東省21個(gè)地市為研究單元,運(yùn)用ESDA方法證明1980-2015年廣東省各地收入水平存在顯著空間自相關(guān)性:從局部自相關(guān)角度看,廣東省各地市收入水平仍然存在較大差距,高-高收入集群與低-低收入集群距離較遠(yuǎn),多年來(lái)變化不大;高收入群對(duì)低收入群有一定影響,對(duì)低收入集群沒有明顯影響。通過地理加權(quán)回歸得出結(jié)論,全球化、市場(chǎng)化、區(qū)位、地方分權(quán)是導(dǎo)致廣東收入不平等的主要原因。在單一變量GWR中,1995-2015年市場(chǎng)化和地方分權(quán)對(duì)廣東省收入水平作用效果呈"倒U型",城鎮(zhèn)化作用加劇了地區(qū)收入差距;在多變量GWR中,市場(chǎng)化和地方分權(quán)的"倒U型"變化趨勢(shì)有所弱化,城鎮(zhèn)化水平卻表現(xiàn)出了"U型"變化趨勢(shì),且影響區(qū)域收入水平的效果被強(qiáng)化。
[Abstract]:On the basis of considering spatial heterogeneity and reducing the size of the study area, 21 cities in Guangdong Province are taken as the research units in this paper. ESDA method is used to prove that there is a significant spatial autocorrelation between 1980 and 2015. From the perspective of local autocorrelation, there is still a large gap in income levels in various cities in Guangdong Province. The distance between the high-high-income cluster and the low-income cluster is far, and the change is not obvious over the years. The high income group has certain influence on the low income group, but has no obvious influence on the low income cluster. Decentralization is the main cause of income inequality in Guangdong Province. In the single variable GWR, the effect of marketization and local decentralization on Guangdong income level from 1995 to 2015 is "inverted U-shaped". The role of urbanization has aggravated the regional income gap; In multivariable GWR, the trend of "inverted U type" of marketization and decentralization has been weakened, but the level of urbanization has shown a trend of "U-type", and the effect of affecting regional income level has been strengthened.
【作者單位】: 吉林大學(xué)東北亞研究院;
【分類號(hào)】:F124.7
【正文快照】: 一、引言改革開放以來(lái),廣東省連續(xù)30年經(jīng)濟(jì)體量排名全國(guó)第一。依據(jù)世界銀行對(duì)收入水平的劃分標(biāo)準(zhǔn),2015年廣東省人均GDP為10838美元,實(shí)現(xiàn)了中等偏上收入水平。事實(shí)上,廣東省內(nèi)收入差距依舊很大,珠三角地區(qū)與廣東省其余地區(qū)的絕對(duì)收入差距持續(xù)擴(kuò)大。自20世紀(jì)50年代以來(lái),新古典主,

本文編號(hào):1445800

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