本文關(guān)鍵詞：黑龍江省城鎮(zhèn)化進程與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的影響研究　出處：《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 城鎮(zhèn)化 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 時間序列 協(xié)整理論 格蘭杰因果檢驗

【摘要】：隨著經(jīng)濟的不斷發(fā)展,城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)是相伴而生、相互影響的兩大基本經(jīng)濟要素,它們彼此之間相互促進和協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。在產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整中,城鎮(zhèn)化不僅會促進各產(chǎn)業(yè)產(chǎn)出的變動,而且會促進其結(jié)構(gòu)升級。而城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展也為產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進提供了更廣闊的空間和平臺,而產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整又進一步推動城鎮(zhèn)化向前發(fā)展。雖然近幾年,黑龍江省的經(jīng)濟快速發(fā)展,城鎮(zhèn)化水平不斷提高,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)也在不斷調(diào)整升級,但是與全國平均水平還有一定的差距,尤其與沿海一些發(fā)達省份相比仍然有很大提升的空間。黑龍江省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展滯后的原因是多方面的,主要是:由于黑龍江省是一個農(nóng)業(yè)大省,主要支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)是農(nóng)業(yè),服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)值和就業(yè)比例與其它發(fā)達地區(qū)相比較低;再一個就是黑龍江省地處邊疆,由于地理位置和氣候條件等因素影響,城市基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施差、社會保障體系不夠健全、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分配不合理以及各個地級市發(fā)展不平衡都會影響城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展。所以,有必要對黑龍江的城鎮(zhèn)化進程和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進互動關(guān)系進行研究,找出存在的短板,借鑒成功的經(jīng)驗,大力發(fā)展經(jīng)濟。本文在查閱大量文獻和理論的基礎(chǔ)上,采用定性和定量相結(jié)合的分析方法,對黑龍江省城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀有了基本掌握,分析黑龍江省城鎮(zhèn)化對第一產(chǎn)業(yè)、第二產(chǎn)業(yè)、第三產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響,深入到產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部,分析城鎮(zhèn)化對產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)資源以及行業(yè)產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)生的影響。近而進一步分析城鎮(zhèn)化水平與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的相關(guān)性和偏差性。再次,根據(jù)黑龍江省1995-2014年城鎮(zhèn)化與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)相關(guān)指標,對其關(guān)系進行協(xié)整分析和誤差修正模型檢驗等,得出第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在推進城鎮(zhèn)化進程中貢獻的力量要大于第二產(chǎn)業(yè),三者處于長期穩(wěn)定的關(guān)系。然后進行格蘭杰因果檢驗,檢驗結(jié)果表明,城鎮(zhèn)化對產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的演進有一定促進作用,并且也具有相反的的影響。最后對得出的結(jié)論提出合理性的政策建議,旨在為黑龍江省新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化升級提供借鑒意義。
[Abstract]:With the continuous development of economy, urbanization and industrial structure are two basic economic elements which are concomitant and influence each other. They promote and coordinate the development of each other in the adjustment of industrial structure. Urbanization will not only promote the change of the output of various industries, but also promote the upgrading of its structure, and the development of urbanization also provides a broader space and platform for the evolution of industrial structure. Although in recent years, the economy of Heilongjiang Province has developed rapidly, the level of urbanization has been improved, and the industrial structure has been constantly adjusted and upgraded. But there is still a certain gap with the national average, especially compared with some developed coastal provinces, there is still a lot of room for improvement. The main results are as follows: because Heilongjiang Province is a big agricultural province, the main pillar industry is agriculture, and the output value and employment ratio of service industry are low compared with other developed regions; Another is that Heilongjiang Province is located in the border area, due to geographical location and climate conditions and other factors, urban infrastructure is poor, the social security system is not perfect. Unreasonable distribution of industrial structure and unbalanced development of each prefecture-level city will affect the development of urbanization. Therefore, it is necessary to study the interactive relationship between the process of urbanization and the evolution of industrial structure in Heilongjiang. Find out the existence of the short plate, learn from the successful experience, vigorously develop the economy. This paper based on a large number of literature and theory, using qualitative and quantitative analysis method. We have a basic grasp of the current situation of urbanization and industrial structure in Heilongjiang Province, analysis of the impact of urbanization on the primary industry, secondary industry, tertiary industry structure, in-depth into the industrial interior. Analysis of the impact of urbanization on industrial production resources and industry products. Near and further analysis of the level of urbanization and the industrial structure of the relevance and deviation. Again. According to the related indexes of urbanization and industrial structure in Heilongjiang Province from 1995 to 2014, the co-integration analysis and error correction model test are carried out. It is concluded that the tertiary industry contributes more to the process of urbanization than the secondary industry, and the three are in a long-term stable relationship. Then Granger causality test is carried out, and the test results show that. Urbanization has a certain role in promoting the evolution of industrial structure, and also has the opposite impact. Finally, reasonable policy recommendations are put forward. The purpose of this paper is to provide reference for the construction of new urbanization and the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure in Heilongjiang Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱商業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F121.3;F299.27

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