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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國地方政府債務(wù)現(xiàn)狀及其對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響　出處：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 地方政府債務(wù) 債務(wù)負(fù)擔(dān) 平臺公司債券 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長

【摘要】：舉借債務(wù)是政府融資的重要手段之一,能夠使政府在稅收之外獲得更加充裕的資金。在我國,地方政府債務(wù)種類多樣,層級復(fù)雜且隱蔽性強(qiáng),這些都加大了對地方政府債務(wù)研究的困難。2009年以來,地方政府平臺公司債務(wù)出現(xiàn)了井噴式的增長,在債務(wù)巨額增長的同時,債務(wù)的違約風(fēng)險以及其對經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響引起了社會的關(guān)注�；谶@一現(xiàn)實背景,本文通過各種渠道收集地方政府的債務(wù)信息,一方面通過對債務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)的統(tǒng)計性分析來簡單衡量地方政府債務(wù)的風(fēng)險,另一方面通過對債務(wù)與地方經(jīng)濟(jì)的實證分析來探討債務(wù)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響以及可能的影響機(jī)制。本文通過對債務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)的統(tǒng)計性分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)債務(wù)的增長存在一定的地區(qū)差異和層級差異,部分地方政府面臨較大的債務(wù)負(fù)擔(dān)。統(tǒng)計分析顯示,東部經(jīng)濟(jì)較發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的債務(wù)融資數(shù)量顯著高于內(nèi)陸經(jīng)濟(jì)較落后地區(qū),這容易進(jìn)一步拉大地區(qū)間的經(jīng)濟(jì)差異；市縣級等財力較弱政府的債務(wù)增長率急速攀升,加大了債務(wù)的償還風(fēng)險；許多省份債務(wù)占財政收入的比重較高,政府面臨較大的償還壓力。本文的實證分析結(jié)果表明政府債務(wù)負(fù)擔(dān)對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有負(fù)面的影響,通過進(jìn)一步的交互性檢驗,認(rèn)為債務(wù)減緩經(jīng)濟(jì)增長可能是通過抑制投資以及抑制技術(shù)進(jìn)步這兩種渠道實現(xiàn)的。
[Abstract]:Debt is an important means of government financing, to make the government more ample funds in addition to the tax revenue. In our country, local government debt levels of species diversity, complex and concealment, since these have increased the difficulty of local government debt of.2009 years, the local government platform company debt blowout growth in huge debt growth, debt default risk and its impact on the economy has aroused the concern of society. Based on the realistic background, this paper collects local government debt information through various channels, on the one hand, through the statistical analysis of the data on debt risk to simple measure of local government debt, on the other hand through the empirical analysis of the debt and the local economy to explore the effect of debt to economic growth as well as the possible influence mechanism. In this paper, through the statistical data of the debt Analysis found that there are some regional differences and different levels of debt growth, some local governments face greater debt burden. Statistical analysis showed that the number of debt financing in the economically developed eastern region were significantly higher than those in inland economically backward areas, this is easy to pull economic differences between regions; county level financial weak government debt the growth rate of the rapid rise, increase the debt risk; many provinces debt accounted for a higher proportion of revenue, the government is facing greater pressure to repay. The empirical results show that government debt burden has a negative impact on economic growth, through the interactive test further, think the debt of slowing economic growth may be achieved by inhibiting investment and suppress the technological progress of these two channels.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F812.5;F124.1

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本文編號：1416961