本文關鍵詞：我國經濟發(fā)展方式轉變的整體趨勢及區(qū)域差異研究　出處：《安徽工業(yè)大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關文章： 經濟發(fā)展方式轉變 影響因素 整體趨勢評價 區(qū)域差異評價

【摘要】：在參與世界經濟的深度不斷加深、廣度不斷擴展的背景下，我國工業(yè)化、城市化、市場化和經濟國際化持續(xù)推進，但一系列資源性、結構性和社會性問題逐步凸顯，傳統(tǒng)經濟發(fā)展方式已無法適應發(fā)展要求，甚至已成為可持續(xù)發(fā)展的決定性障礙，為保證經濟社會發(fā)展的全面性、健康性、持續(xù)性，需要尋求一種更科學、更契合時代經濟特征的發(fā)展方式。為此，我國在不斷進行經濟發(fā)展方式轉變的積極探索，“十七大”報告提出“轉變經濟發(fā)展方式”的概念，“十二五”規(guī)劃提出“以加快轉變經濟發(fā)展方式為主線”的要求，“十八大”報告進一步強調，“以科學發(fā)展為主題，以加快轉變經濟發(fā)展方式為主線，是關系我國發(fā)展全局的戰(zhàn)略抉擇�！敝链�，我國經濟在歷經30多年的高速增長后，逐步進入以加快轉變經濟發(fā)展方式作為總方向的戰(zhàn)略轉型關鍵期。 本文首先從國內外局勢出發(fā)，對轉變經濟發(fā)展方式的內涵、加快經濟發(fā)展方式轉變的必要性及其動力結構進行理論分析，其次借助軟件SAS9.1和ArcGIS10.0，運用主成分分析、灰色關聯(lián)分析、空間自相關分析和地理加權回歸分析法，，對2000～2011年我國經濟發(fā)展方式的轉變進行縱向、動態(tài)的趨勢評價，對2011年我國大陸31個省市、自治區(qū)的經濟發(fā)展方式轉變績效進行橫向、靜態(tài)的區(qū)域差異評價。通過評價，得出以下主要結論： （1）我國經濟在經過2002～2007年的高速發(fā)展之后，進入戰(zhàn)略轉型階段，就經濟發(fā)展方式轉變的影響因素而言，市場化程度對經濟發(fā)展方式轉變的貢獻度最大，民生保障、科技創(chuàng)新和城鄉(xiāng)結構次之，資源環(huán)境、需求結構、經濟效益和產業(yè)結構排位靠后。 （2）2011年我國各省市、自治區(qū)的經濟發(fā)展水平具有顯著的空間差異性，具體表現(xiàn)為較強的空間集聚性，高值集聚區(qū)分布在長三角地區(qū)和京津地區(qū)，熱點區(qū)基本是沿海地區(qū)及其毗鄰地區(qū)，次熱點區(qū)依附在熱點區(qū)周邊，少數中部地區(qū)和大部分西部地區(qū)為冷點區(qū)。 （3）各分項指標存在著空間依賴（空間集聚）和異質性（空間異常），呈現(xiàn)明顯的“高-高”、“低-低”空間集聚的同時，也存在“高-低”相依的空間異常；各分項指標的冷、熱點區(qū)呈片狀分布，具體空間分布各異。 （4）經濟效益、產業(yè)結構等影響因素共同決定經濟發(fā)展空間格局。地區(qū)經濟基礎、政府制度、資源狀況及區(qū)位條件等因素的不同，導致地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展對各影響因素的敏感度不同，不同影響因素對同一地區(qū)經濟發(fā)展水平的影響不同，同一影響因素對不同地區(qū)的影響也不同。
[Abstract]:Deepening in the participation in the world economy, the depth, breadth expansion under the background of China's industrialization, city, continue to promote the marketization and internationalization of the economy, but a series of resources, structural and social problems gradually highlight, the traditional mode of economic development has been unable to meet the requirements of the development, and has become a decisive obstacle to sustainable development. In order to ensure the comprehensive economic and social development, health, sustainability, to seek a more scientific, more in line with the characteristics of the era of economic development. Therefore, our country actively explore constantly change the mode of economic development, Congress report put forward the concept of the transformation of the mode of economic development "," 12th Five-Year "planning put forward to accelerate the transformation of the mode of economic development", "Eighteen" report further stressed that "the theme of scientific development, to accelerate the transformation of the economic development "Pattern is the main line, and it is a strategic choice that concerns the overall development of our country." so far, our economy has entered a critical period of strategic transformation to accelerate the transformation of economic development mode as a general direction after 30 years of rapid growth.
This paper from the view of the situation at home and abroad, the connotation of the transformation of economic development mode, accelerate the necessity and the power structure of the transformation of economic development mode of theoretical analysis, followed by the use of software SAS9.1 and ArcGIS10.0, using principal component analysis, grey correlation analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis and Geographic weighted regression analysis method, the transformation of economic development mode in 2000~2011 years of longitudinal, dynamic evaluation trend, in 2011 China's 31 provinces in the mainland, the performance change of the autonomous region's economic development mode of lateral, regional differences. Through the evaluation of the static evaluation, we draw the following conclusions:
(1) China's economy after 2002 to 2007 after the high-speed development, strategic transformation into the stage, influencing factors on the transformation of the economic development mode, the largest contribution to protect the livelihood of change in the degree of marketization of the mode of economic development, technological innovation and urban structure, resources and environment, demand structure, economic benefits and the industrial structure of ranking on the list.
(2) in 2011, China's provinces, the autonomous region's economic development level has significant spatial variability, the specific performance of strong spatial agglomeration, high value area distribution in the Yangtze River Delta region and the Beijing Tianjin region, the hot zone is basically the coastal area and its adjacent areas, hot zone surrounding attachment in the hot zone, a few central most of the west area and cold area.
(3) indices exist spatial dependence (agglomeration) and heterogeneity (spatial anomaly), the apparent "high high" and "low - low" spatial agglomeration at the same time, there are also "high low" dependent spatial anomaly; indices of cold and hot spots of flaky points cloth, specific spatial distribution is different.
(4) the economic benefits, factors affecting the industrial structure together determine economic development spatial pattern. Regional economic base, the system of government, resources and geographical conditions and other factors, resulting in regional economic development of various factors to the sensitivity of the different effect of different factors on the level of economic development in the same area with different factors an impact of the different regions are also different.

【學位授予單位】：安徽工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F121

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