人口流遷和生產(chǎn)率提升對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的影響——基于粵桂黔滇市域數(shù)據(jù)的分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-01-08 04:07
本文關(guān)鍵詞:人口流遷和生產(chǎn)率提升對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的影響——基于粵桂黔滇市域數(shù)據(jù)的分析 出處:《城市問(wèn)題》2017年11期 論文類(lèi)型:期刊論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 人口流遷 生產(chǎn)率提升 經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂 動(dòng)態(tài)空間面板
【摘要】:基于經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂方程,使用動(dòng)態(tài)空間面板模型,實(shí)證考察了粵桂黔滇市域之間經(jīng)濟(jì)的收斂性及人口流遷與生產(chǎn)率提升對(duì)收斂性的影響。結(jié)果顯示:整體而言,粵桂黔滇市域間的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)于短期、長(zhǎng)期均存在著顯著的條件收斂,且收斂速度有增大的趨勢(shì),人口流遷是重要的影響因素,而來(lái)自生產(chǎn)率提升的影響卻不顯著;就經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展階段而言,工業(yè)化地區(qū)與城市化地區(qū)在短期、長(zhǎng)期均存在著不隨產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整而變化的條件收斂,但是在不同發(fā)展階段人口流遷、生產(chǎn)率提升對(duì)收斂性的影響有所不同;就城市規(guī)模而言,不同規(guī)模的城市群在短期、長(zhǎng)期均存在著顯著的條件收斂,但是隨著城市規(guī)模的擴(kuò)張,收斂速度下降,同時(shí)人口流遷、生產(chǎn)率提升對(duì)不同城市群經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性的影響各異。
[Abstract]:The economic convergence equation based on dynamic spatial panel model, investigates the convergence of economy between Guangdong and Guangxi Qiandian region and population migration and productivity impact on convergence. The results showed that: Overall, Guangdong and Guangxi Qiandian, inter domain economic growth on the short term and long period there were significant conditional convergence, and the convergence speed is increased, population migration is an important factor, and the influence from the productivity is not significant; on the stage of economic development, industrial area and city areas in the short term, long term there does not change with the adjustment of industrial structure and the conditions of convergence, but in different stages of development of the population migration, productivity impact on the convergence of different; in terms of city size, different size of the city in the short term group, there were significant conditional convergence, but with the size of the city Expansion, convergence rate decreased and the population migration, enhance the productivity of different city groups affect economic convergence are different.
【作者單位】: 廣西大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【基金】:國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目(41561026)
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:C924.2;F127
【正文快照】: 一引言新古典經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)模型認(rèn)為,在偏好和技術(shù)相似的社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)中,落后地區(qū)比富裕地區(qū)擁有更快的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),且最終收斂到相同的穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)[1]。改革開(kāi)放以來(lái),我國(guó)創(chuàng)造了經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展的偉大奇跡,但不可否認(rèn)的是,東、中、西部地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差距逐漸凸顯。然而,非均衡經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)戰(zhàn)略是否,
本文編號(hào):1395538
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