本文關(guān)鍵詞：蘭州市碳排放現(xiàn)狀及低碳城市發(fā)展研究　出處：《甘肅農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 蘭州 低碳城市 碳排放 因素分解 低碳評價

【摘要】：在全球氣候變暖的時代大背景下，基于能源、經(jīng)濟(jì)、甚至價值觀變革的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展模式給世界各國帶來新的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)。作為一個國家經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與科技創(chuàng)新的支撐點，城市是碳排放的主要源頭，發(fā)展低碳城市已成為新時期解決資源短缺和氣候問題必然選擇，同時也是實現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、環(huán)境、資源和諧共進(jìn)的根本途徑。據(jù)此，本文系統(tǒng)展開了西部生態(tài)脆弱城市——蘭州低碳城市發(fā)展研究。 蘭州市作為帶動甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的核心區(qū)域，工業(yè)化的發(fā)展使得能源消耗量日益增加，而能源消耗又是城市最主要的碳源，在全球變暖的大背景下，低碳城市建設(shè)已成為蘭州市實現(xiàn)資源、環(huán)境、經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)統(tǒng)一發(fā)展的必然選擇。所以該研究在查閱相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)資料的基礎(chǔ)上，以可持續(xù)發(fā)展、循壞經(jīng)濟(jì)、綠色經(jīng)濟(jì)等理論為指導(dǎo)，首先總結(jié)分析國內(nèi)外低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)研究進(jìn)展和低碳城市的理論研究與實踐，界定了低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)與低碳城市的概念與內(nèi)涵，然后根據(jù)蘭州低碳城市目前發(fā)展的成效以及存在的問題，運用脫鉤理論模型分析蘭州市能源消耗與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的脫鉤關(guān)系。參照溫室氣體排放清單，從能源消耗、工業(yè)生產(chǎn)、固廢排放以及城市園林綠地角度測算了蘭州市重點領(lǐng)域碳源碳排放與碳匯碳儲量，并運用LMDI模型對蘭州市碳排放進(jìn)行因素分解分析。進(jìn)一步從系統(tǒng)論的角度出發(fā)，建立蘭州市低碳城市評價指標(biāo)體系，對蘭州市低碳城市發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行綜合評價。最后通過分析蘭州低碳城市建設(shè)中存在的優(yōu)勢與限制因素，提出蘭州低碳城市建設(shè)的具體建議。 理論與實證分析研究得出以下結(jié)論：蘭州市目前在低碳城市的建設(shè)上初見成效，但還存在低碳城市建設(shè)體制機(jī)制不健全，技術(shù)研發(fā)支撐力不足、公眾低碳意識不強(qiáng)等問題。蘭州市能源消費總量從2001年的1155.23萬噸增加到2012年的2396萬噸，經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與能源消耗關(guān)系主要處于“相對脫鉤”狀態(tài)，呈現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長，能耗增加，但單位經(jīng)濟(jì)能耗減少的發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)。從2001～2012年，蘭州市碳排放總量從848.46萬噸增加到1782.06萬噸，人均碳排放從2.86噸/人增加到5.54噸/人，但碳排放強(qiáng)度從2.48噸/萬元下降到1.14噸/萬元，雖然總量在增加，，但能源利用效率提升效果顯著。通過因素分解發(fā)現(xiàn)，技術(shù)水平要素和能源強(qiáng)度要素對蘭州市碳排放起到抑制作用，而經(jīng)濟(jì)增長要素和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)要素對蘭州市碳排放起到促進(jìn)作用。從2008～2012年，蘭州低碳城市發(fā)展類型處于高碳階段，即將步入中高碳階段，低碳城市建設(shè)已產(chǎn)生一定的成效。蘭州市在低碳城市建設(shè)上具有一定的區(qū)位、科研、政策及產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型優(yōu)勢，但還是很大程度上受到能源結(jié)構(gòu)，技術(shù)水平、金融支持以及體制機(jī)制方面的限制,亟需在進(jìn)一步的低碳城市建設(shè)中解決并改善。根據(jù)研究結(jié)果，論文提出依據(jù)科技支撐與資金支持，通過產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式轉(zhuǎn)變等措施，發(fā)展低碳交通、建筑、消費，并通過立法保障低碳城市建設(shè)的對策建議。
[Abstract]:In the times of global warming background, based on energy, economic development mode, and even change the values of the low carbon economy brings new opportunities and challenges to all countries in the world. As the supporting point of a country's economic development and technological innovation, the city is the main source of carbon emissions, the development of low-carbon city has become a shortage of resources to solve the problem of the new era of climate and the inevitable choice, but also the realization of economic, social, environmental, resources and fundamental way to harmonious. Accordingly, this paper carried out the ecological fragile city in the western Lanzhou low carbon city development research.
Lanzhou city as the core of regional economic development of Gansu Province, the development of the industrialization makes the consumption of energy is increasing, and the energy consumption is the main source of carbon city, under the background of global warming, low carbon city construction has become the resources and environment of Lanzhou, the inevitable choice for economic coordinated development. So based on the relevant literature review, based on sustainable development, circular economy, green economy theory, first summarizes the analysis of theoretical research and practice of low carbon economy and low carbon city research at home and abroad, the definition and connotation of low carbon economy and low carbon city, then according to the current the development of Lanzhou low carbon city effect and problems by using decoupling theory model to analyze the decoupling relationship between energy consumption and economy growth in Lanzhou. According to the list of greenhouse gas emissions from energy. Consumption, industrial production, solid waste discharge and the green garden city view of Lanzhou city is calculated in key areas of carbon source carbon emissions and carbon sequestration of carbon storage, and the use of factor decomposition analysis LMDI model of carbon emissions in Lanzhou. Further from the viewpoint of system theory, establish the evaluation index system of low carbon city in Lanzhou City, a comprehensive evaluation of the status quo low carbon city development in Lanzhou city. Finally, through the analysis of the advantages and limitations of existing Lanzhou low carbon city construction factors, put forward concrete suggestions of constructing low carbon city in Lanzhou.
Theoretical and empirical analysis the following conclusions: Lanzhou city currently has in the construction of low-carbon city effect, but also the existence of institutional mechanisms of low carbon city construction is not perfect, lack of technology support, the problem of low carbon public awareness is not strong. The city of Lanzhou's total energy consumption increased from 11 million 552 thousand and 300 tons in 2001 to 23 million 960 thousand in 2012 tons, relationship between economic development and energy consumption are mainly in the relative decoupling state, showing the economic growth, energy consumption increases, but the development of state economy and reduce energy consumption per unit. From 2001 to 2012, Lanzhou City carbon emissions from 8 million 484 thousand and 600 tons to 17 million 820 thousand and 600 tons, the per capita carbon emissions from 2.86 tons / person increased to 5.54 tons / person however, the intensity of carbon emissions from 2.48 tons / million fell to 1.14 tons / million, although the amount of increase in energy efficiency, but significantly enhance the effect. Through the factor decomposition, technological level and energy factors The intensity factors of inhibition of carbon emissions in Lanzhou city to play, and the elements of economic growth and industrial structure factors to promote the carbon emissions of Lanzhou city. From 2008 to 2012, Lanzhou low carbon city development types in high carbon phase, coming into high carbon, low carbon city construction has produced certain effect in Lanzhou. In the construction of low carbon city has a certain location, scientific research, policy and industrial restructuring, but largely because of the energy structure, technical level, financial support and institutional constraints, the urgent need for the construction of low carbon city and further solve and improve. According to the research results, this paper on the basis of scientific and technological support and financial support, through the adjustment of industrial structure and the transformation of economic growth mode and other measures, the development of low-carbon transportation, construction, consumption, and the countermeasures and suggestions for the construction of low carbon city legislative protection.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：甘肅農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27;F124.5

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