本文關鍵詞：城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與城鎮(zhèn)化“倒U型”關系實證研究　出處：《統(tǒng)計與決策》2017年09期 　論文類型：期刊論文

  更多相關文章： 城鎮(zhèn)化 城鄉(xiāng)收入差距 VAR模型 “倒U型”關系

【摘要】：文章根據(jù)湖北省1978—2014年的時間序列數(shù)據(jù)資料,首先對城鎮(zhèn)化率與城鄉(xiāng)收入差距指數(shù)進行相關性分析,然后依次進行單位根檢驗、協(xié)整檢驗、Granger因果檢驗、"倒U型"關系檢驗,最后分析兩者的脈沖響應函數(shù)。結果顯示,湖北省城鄉(xiāng)收入差距與城鎮(zhèn)化呈現(xiàn)出了"倒U型"關系,且拐點在39%時出現(xiàn),湖北省城鎮(zhèn)化已經(jīng)進入縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的新階段。兩者之間存在長期協(xié)整關系,短期存在單向格蘭杰因果關系,長期則為雙向;短期內,城鎮(zhèn)化水平拉大了城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距加速了城鎮(zhèn)化進程;長期內,城鎮(zhèn)化進程有利于縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距,城鄉(xiāng)收入差距促進了城鎮(zhèn)化水平的提高。
[Abstract]:Based on the time series data of Hubei province from 1978 to 2014, this paper analyzes the correlation between urbanization rate and income gap index of urban and rural areas, and then carries out unit root test and cointegration test in turn. Granger causality test, "inverted U type" relationship test, and finally analysis of the impulse response function of the two. The results show that the urban-rural income gap and urbanization in Hubei Province show a "inverted U-shaped" relationship. When the inflection point appears at 39th, the urbanization of Hubei Province has entered a new stage of narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between the two, a one-way Granger causality in the short run, and a two-way relationship in the long run. In the short term, the urbanization level has widened the urban-rural income gap, and the urban-rural income gap has accelerated the urbanization process; In the long run, the process of urbanization is conducive to narrowing the income gap between urban and rural areas, and the urban-rural income gap promotes the improvement of urbanization level.
【作者單位】： 長江大學經(jīng)濟學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金資助項目(13BJY108) 長江大學社會科學基金資助項目(2014csz007)
【分類號】：F124.7;F224;F299.21
【正文快照】： 1問題的提出供給側改革背景下,去產(chǎn)能、去房地產(chǎn)庫存兩大目標的實現(xiàn),勢必有利于加速我國戶籍城鎮(zhèn)化進程,從而帶動城鎮(zhèn)化水平的進一步提升。王少平與歐陽志(2007)[1]剛認為現(xiàn)階段城鄉(xiāng)收入差距的擴大已經(jīng)對經(jīng)濟增長產(chǎn)生了阻滯作用。雖然近幾年城鄉(xiāng)收入差距呈現(xiàn)出了縮小的趨勢,但，

本文編號：1374762