本文關(guān)鍵詞：南昌市低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)評價(jià)與策略研究　出處：《南昌航空大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 南昌市 低碳經(jīng)濟(jì) 評價(jià)指標(biāo) 層次分析法 對策

【摘要】：隨著人們對各種極端氣候的認(rèn)識，“低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)”的概念受到發(fā)達(dá)國家及發(fā)展中國家的追捧。2014年伊始，中國中東部大部分地區(qū)都出現(xiàn)了灰霾，灰霾影響面積約為143萬平方公里，，約占國土面積的15%，給各地民眾的工作和生活造成了巨大影響。因此，越來越多的組織和個(gè)人都意識到只有發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)才能實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。南昌從上世紀(jì)80年代開始實(shí)施“山江湖”工程，到“要金山銀山，更要綠水青山”觀念的提出，再到“生態(tài)立市、生態(tài)強(qiáng)市”理念的實(shí)施，一直到“鄱陽湖生態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)戰(zhàn)略”的推進(jìn)，有力推進(jìn)了南昌低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。南昌市作為江西省的省會城市，面對全球低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展浪潮的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)，依靠自身良好的生態(tài)環(huán)境優(yōu)勢和工業(yè)化水平的現(xiàn)存程度低的后發(fā)優(yōu)勢，加快發(fā)展低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)，走出了一條具有競爭力的低碳崛起之路。 本論文依據(jù)目的性、系統(tǒng)性、可比性、科學(xué)性和彈性原則，從資源、技術(shù)、生活、經(jīng)濟(jì)四個(gè)方面構(gòu)建了南昌低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平評價(jià)指標(biāo)體系，該體系包含1個(gè)一級指標(biāo)、4個(gè)二級指標(biāo)和20個(gè)三級指標(biāo)。并運(yùn)用德爾菲法、層次分析法和yaahp軟件獲得評價(jià)指標(biāo)權(quán)重，測算出南昌市低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展綜合評價(jià)指數(shù)，據(jù)此判斷南昌市的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平。計(jì)算結(jié)果表明南昌市的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)水平近10年來得到了較大的提升，綜合評價(jià)指數(shù)從2003年的0.1583提升到2012年的0.7565，從超高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型降低到了中高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型。但是南昌市的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)水平總體水平仍然偏低，南昌市2003—2006年的綜合評價(jià)指數(shù)值都在0.42以下，屬于超高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型；2007—2010年屬于高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型，2011—2012年屬于中高碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型。在此基礎(chǔ)上，作線性回歸分析，測算出南昌市將于2018年正式邁入低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)類型的行列。為促進(jìn)南昌市低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展，文章在分析南昌市低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中取得的成績及存在的主要問題的基礎(chǔ)上，從調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、發(fā)展低碳技術(shù)、優(yōu)化能源結(jié)構(gòu)、倡導(dǎo)低碳生活模式等方面提出加快低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的對策及建議，為政府決策者制定更科學(xué)的低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)政策提供依據(jù)，為南昌市低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)的建設(shè)提供參考和借鑒。
[Abstract]:With the understanding of all kinds of extreme weather, the concept of "low-carbon economy" by developed countries and developing countries sought to.2014 at the beginning of the year, Chinese in much of eastern areas have emerged haze, haze impact area of about 1 million 430 thousand square kilometers, accounting for about 15% of the land area, causing a great impact to people's life and work around therefore, more and more organizations and individuals are aware that only the development of low carbon economy in order to achieve the sustainable development of economy and society. Nanchang began to implement the "mountain lakes" project from the last century in 80s, to the "Gold Mountain Yinshan, to make beautiful scenery" concept, and then to the "eco Li City, the implementation of ecological city" concept, to the "strategy" to promote the Poyang Lake Ecological Economic Zone, effectively promote the development of low carbon economy in Nanchang. Nanchang is the capital city of Jiangxi Province, the face of global low carbon The opportunities and challenges of the wave of economic development rely on their favorable ecological environment advantages and the low level of industrialization, which accelerate the development of low carbon economy and go out of a competitive low-carbon rising road.
This paper on the basis of objective, systematic, comparability, scientific and flexible principle, from the resources, technology, four aspects of economic life, constructs the evaluation index system of low carbon economy development level in Nanchang, the system includes 1 first grade indexes, 4 level two indexes and 20 level three indexes. Using Delphi method, AHP and Yaahp software to obtain the weights of the evaluation indexes, calculates the comprehensive evaluation index of low carbon economy development of Nanchang City, the development level of Nanchang city's low carbon economy. The calculation results show that the level of low carbon economy in Nanchang city has been greatly improved in the past 10 years, the comprehensive evaluation index increased from 0.1583 in 2003 to 0.7565 in 2012, down from high carbon economy to type in high carbon economy. But the overall level of low carbon economy level of Nanchang city is still low, the comprehensive evaluation of Nanchang city from 2003 to 2006, the index values are below 0.42, Belong to the ultra high carbon economy type; from 2007 to 2010, belongs to the high carbon economy type, from 2011 to 2012, belongs to the high carbon economy. On this basis, for the linear regression analysis, forecast of Nanchang city in 2018 officially entered the ranks of the low carbon economy type. In order to promote Nanchang City low-carbon economic development, this paper made in the analysis of Nanchang city in the process of low-carbon economic development achievements and the main problems on from the adjustment of industrial structure, the development of low carbon technology, optimizing energy structure, puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions to accelerate the development of low carbon economy advocate low carbon life mode, provide the basis for government decision makers to develop low carbon economy policy scientific, and provide the reference for the construction of a low carbon economy in Nanchang.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：南昌航空大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F205

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