本文關(guān)鍵詞：甘肅省GDP與產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的統(tǒng)計(jì)分析預(yù)測　出處：《蘭州大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)增長和各產(chǎn)業(yè)生產(chǎn)規(guī)模效益的結(jié)構(gòu)性提高,產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不僅可以促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)總量的增長,而且可以提高總體經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)效益.隨著我國其他地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的迅速加快,在全國經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展中甘肅省的地位卻日趨邊緣化,所以調(diào)整其產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式迫在眉睫.從2006年的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)中,可以看到甘肅省第三產(chǎn)業(yè)在全年GDP中所占的百分比高達(dá)39.54%,比全國的指標(biāo)還要稍微多出0.19個(gè)百分點(diǎn),而我國西部區(qū)域的平均水平38.58%也在其之下,但比起我國東部發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)它還是略低一些的.統(tǒng)計(jì)預(yù)測能在某種程度上為區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展前景做出相應(yīng)的分析和應(yīng)對措施,對擁有六大現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)的甘肅省而言,其具體產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的探討還是很有必要的.本文首先從貢獻(xiàn)率和拉動率兩個(gè)方面來分析三大產(chǎn)業(yè)對甘肅省生產(chǎn)總值的影響,得出隨著產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的變動,第三產(chǎn)業(yè)對甘肅省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展日趨重要.然后運(yùn)用SPSS軟件對相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)做回歸分析等處理來進(jìn)一步探究第三產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展與甘一肅省GDP之間的具體聯(lián)系,最后重點(diǎn)對第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的構(gòu)成做了深入的統(tǒng)計(jì)分析.
[Abstract]:Economic development is the structural improvements in the continuous growth of the national economy and the industrial production scale, industrial structure can not only promote the economic growth, but also can improve the overall economic structure efficiency. With the rapid speeding up economic development in other areas of our country, economic and social development in Gansu province by the position in the country has become increasingly marginalized, so adjust the industrial structure and change the mode of economic development is imminent. From the statistical data in 2006, we can see the percentage of Gansu Province third industry accounted for in the annual GDP of up to 39.54%, higher than the national index slightly more than 0.19 percentage points, while the western region of our country's average level of 38.58% in contrast, but compared to me in the eastern developed regions it is slightly lower. Statistical prediction can make analysis and corresponding measures of the prospects for the development of regional economy to a certain extent, to With six of the modern service industry of Gansu Province, to explore the specific industrial structure is still very necessary. This paper from the contribution rate and pulling rate two aspects to analyze the three major industries of Gansu province's GDP, obtained with the change of industrial structure, the third industry is becoming more and more important for the economic development of Gansu province. Then use the SPSS software to do regression analysis on data processing to further explore the specific relationship between the third industry and a GDP Gansu Province, which finally focus on the third industry to do the thorough statistical analysis.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F719

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