【摘要】：基于貝葉斯空間計(jì)量和京津冀區(qū)縣經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)據(jù),可探討京津冀區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的空間溢出效應(yīng)。結(jié)果表明:(1)從平均空間溢出視角,各區(qū)縣本地人力資本對周邊經(jīng)濟(jì)抑制效應(yīng)逐漸增強(qiáng);本地交通設(shè)施和投資開始促進(jìn)周邊經(jīng)濟(jì);(2)從邊際空間溢出視角,京津冀各區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系不斷加強(qiáng),本地要素對周邊經(jīng)濟(jì)影響范圍呈擴(kuò)張態(tài)勢,各區(qū)縣同更多周邊區(qū)縣保持密切經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系;(3)從局部空間溢出視角,京津冀地區(qū)十年來形成了"核心-邊緣"空間結(jié)構(gòu)。
[Abstract]:Based on Bayesian spatial measurement and economic data of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the spatial spillover effect of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional economy is discussed. The results show that: (1) from the perspective of average spatial spillover, the restraining effect of local human capital on the surrounding economy is gradually strengthened, and the local transportation facilities and investment begin to promote the surrounding economy. (2) from the perspective of marginal spatial spillover, the regional economic ties between Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Hebei have been strengthened, the influence of local factors on the surrounding economy is expanding, and the regional counties maintain close economic ties with more surrounding counties; (3) from the perspective of local spatial spillover, the "core-edge" spatial structure has been formed in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei over the past ten years.
【作者單位】： 北京大學(xué)政府管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國家自然科學(xué)基金項(xiàng)目“中國特大城市多中心空間發(fā)展的模式、效應(yīng)及動力機(jī)制—多城市比較和實(shí)證”(41371005)
【分類號】：F127

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