【摘要】：以煤為主的能源結(jié)構(gòu)決定了煤炭資源是我國經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)發(fā)展、社會生活穩(wěn)定進(jìn)行的重要保證。我國正處于工業(yè)化、城市化、現(xiàn)代化快速發(fā)展階段,能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)問題日益凸顯,煤炭資源大規(guī)模、廣范圍的流動中產(chǎn)生的社會、經(jīng)濟(jì)、環(huán)境效應(yīng)受到越來越多的重視。近來,隨著一些煤礦資源的枯竭、交通運(yùn)輸?shù)陌l(fā)展、經(jīng)濟(jì)重心的轉(zhuǎn)移以及可持續(xù)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的落實(shí),煤炭資源流動研究成為資源流動研究領(lǐng)域的熱點(diǎn)問題。 本文以我國各省區(qū)為研究單元,分析了1980-2011年煤炭資源流動的空間格局演化。首先,從煤炭資源流動的流量和流動地區(qū)兩個角度分析了煤炭資源流動基本格局的變化,結(jié)果表明我國煤炭資源流動的位序-規(guī)模分布符合齊夫法則,并分別分析了煤炭輸出量和輸入量規(guī)模分布的空間形態(tài)變化情況；煤炭資源源地系統(tǒng)、匯地系統(tǒng)分布變化不大,而交流地系統(tǒng)分布范圍分散,范圍變動較大。然后,運(yùn)用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計學(xué)和空間統(tǒng)計學(xué)方法從差異性、集聚性、不平衡性等角度,分析了我國省際煤炭資源空間格局演化的特征：運(yùn)用差異度指標(biāo)分析表明煤炭資源流動絕對差異是擴(kuò)大的,但相對差異不太明顯；運(yùn)用空間自相關(guān)模型分析表明煤炭資源輸出和輸入均存在較為顯著的空間自相關(guān),煤炭資源流動存在明顯的空間異質(zhì)性。運(yùn)用重心模型分析表明煤炭資源流動重心均偏離幾何中心,并具體分析了其偏移情況。基于以上分析,探討了影響我國省際煤炭資源流動空間格局演化的因素：區(qū)域間煤炭資源供需不平衡、運(yùn)輸通道的建設(shè)、煤炭地區(qū)差價、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)差異。繼而提出了煤炭資源流動空間格局的優(yōu)化對策：優(yōu)化我國能源發(fā)展布局、促進(jìn)煤炭生產(chǎn)重心西遷、構(gòu)建現(xiàn)代綜合煤炭運(yùn)輸體系、合理調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)、健全煤炭資源政策。
[Abstract]:The coal resource is an important guarantee for the sustainable development of economy and the stability of social life. China is in the stage of industrialization, urbanization and rapid development of modernization. The problem of energy consumption structure is becoming increasingly prominent. The social, economic and environmental effects of large-scale coal resources and wide range of flow have been paid more and more attention. Recently, with the depletion of some coal resources, the development of transportation, the shift of economic center of gravity and the implementation of sustainable development strategy, the research of coal resource flow has become a hot issue in the field of resource flow research. In this paper, the spatial pattern evolution of coal resource flow from 1980 to 2011 is analyzed. Firstly, this paper analyzes the change of the basic pattern of coal resource flow from two aspects: the flow of coal resources and the flowing area. The results show that the distribution of position order and scale of coal resource flow in China accords with the Zeef rule. The spatial morphological changes of the size distribution of coal output and input are analyzed respectively. In coal resource source system, the distribution of sink system is not changed much, but the distribution range of AC land system is scattered. Then, using mathematical statistics and spatial statistics, from the point of view of difference, agglomeration, imbalance and so on, The characteristics of spatial pattern evolution of coal resources among provinces in China are analyzed. The analysis of difference index shows that the absolute difference of coal resource flow is enlarged, but the relative difference is not obvious. The spatial autocorrelation model analysis shows that there is significant spatial autocorrelation between the output and input of coal resources, and there is obvious spatial heterogeneity in coal resource flow. The barycenter model analysis shows that the barycenter of coal resource flow deviates from the geometric center, and its migration is analyzed in detail. Based on the above analysis, the factors influencing the evolution of the spatial pattern of coal resource flow among provinces in China are discussed, such as the imbalance between the supply and demand of coal resources among regions, the construction of transportation channels, the difference of regional coal price and the difference of regional economic structure. Then it puts forward the optimized countermeasures of the spatial pattern of coal resources flowing: optimizing the distribution of energy development, promoting the shift of coal production center to the west, constructing modern comprehensive coal transportation system, rationally adjusting the industrial structure, and perfecting the coal resources policy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：南京師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.21

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