【摘要】：中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)改革以來(lái)保持了30多年的高速增長(zhǎng)，，而始于20世紀(jì)90年代的印度經(jīng)濟(jì)改革和開(kāi)放同樣令世界矚目，經(jīng)濟(jì)增速多年來(lái)成為在全球僅次于中國(guó)的第二大規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)體。進(jìn)入二十一世紀(jì)，世界上最大的變化之一就是中印這兩個(gè)最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家的崛起。中國(guó)和印度作為亞洲的鄰國(guó)，近年來(lái)，尤其是金融危機(jī)爆發(fā)以來(lái)，兩國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人頻繁接觸，政治和經(jīng)貿(mào)領(lǐng)域的合作不斷加強(qiáng)。過(guò)去十年是中國(guó)和印度持續(xù)快速發(fā)展的十年，也是中印關(guān)系不斷提升、取得大發(fā)展的十年。 然而，除了雙邊的貿(mào)易合作，中印也是亞洲地區(qū)主要的出口國(guó)，在兩國(guó)人口、市場(chǎng)、土地、資源等都具有比較優(yōu)勢(shì)的前提下，兩國(guó)在世界商品和服務(wù)市場(chǎng)上都具有巨大的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)關(guān)系。在亞洲地區(qū)，中國(guó)和印度分別與東盟于2002年11月和2009年9月簽訂自由貿(mào)易區(qū)協(xié)議，讓東亞地區(qū)成為中印最新的利益交匯點(diǎn)。雖然當(dāng)前的印度-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)（The Indian-ASEAN Free Trade Area, IAFTA）還遠(yuǎn)不及中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)（China andASEAN Free TradeArea, CAFTA）那樣完備，但是IAFTA的實(shí)施是印度-東盟合作進(jìn)入實(shí)質(zhì)階段的標(biāo)志事件，它不僅是區(qū)域主義在亞洲的一次實(shí)踐，同時(shí)也是印度“東向政策”的重要環(huán)節(jié)。可以肯定的是：在東盟，印度與中國(guó)將面臨更多的貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。 為了解金融危機(jī)后中印出口商品的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)態(tài)勢(shì)，本文以國(guó)際區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作中的“輪軸-輻條”為理論基礎(chǔ)，以東盟為“輪軸”，通過(guò)實(shí)證研究中印出口商品的相似性等問(wèn)題。本文研究發(fā)現(xiàn)，中國(guó)出口產(chǎn)品的顯示性比較優(yōu)勢(shì)高于印度；中印出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)的相似性較低，總體上工業(yè)制成品相似性高于初級(jí)產(chǎn)品；中印出口商品的互補(bǔ)關(guān)系比較強(qiáng)，金融危機(jī)后中印出口商品的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)性增強(qiáng)。因此，為了避免在第三方市場(chǎng)上的盲目競(jìng)爭(zhēng)，促進(jìn)兩國(guó)外貿(mào)的持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)，中印要制定“共享性增長(zhǎng)”的策略，并加快構(gòu)建兩國(guó)共同參與的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)。
[Abstract]:China's economic reform has maintained a rapid growth rate for more than 30 years, while India's economic reform and opening up, which began in the 1990s, have attracted the attention of the world, making it the second largest economy in the world after China for many years. In the 21 th century, one of the greatest changes in the world was the rise of the two largest developing countries, China and India. China and India are neighbors of Asia. In recent years, especially since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the leaders of the two countries have been in frequent contact and cooperation in the political and economic fields has been continuously strengthened. The past decade has been a decade of sustained and rapid growth in China and India, as well as a decade in which relations between China and India have improved. However, in addition to bilateral trade cooperation, China and India are also major exporters in Asia. Under the premise that the two countries have comparative advantages in terms of population, market, land, resources, etc. Both countries have a huge competitive relationship in the world market for goods and services. In Asia, China and India signed free-trade agreements with ASEAN in November 2002 and September 2009, respectively, making East Asia the newest meeting point of interest between China and India. Although the current India-ASEAN Free Trade area (The Indian-ASEAN Free Trade Area, IAFTA) is far less complete than the China-ASEAN Free Trade area (China andASEAN Free TradeArea, CAFTA), However, the implementation of IAFTA is the symbol of India-ASEAN cooperation entering into substantive stage. It is not only a practice of regionalism in Asia, but also an important link of India's "eastward policy". To be sure, India and China will face more trade competition in ASEAN. In order to understand the competitive situation of Sino-Indian export commodities after the financial crisis, this paper takes the "wheel-spokes" in the international regional economic cooperation as the theoretical basis, the ASEAN as the "wheel-axle", and studies the similarity of Sino-Indian export commodities through empirical research. It is found that the comparative advantage of China's export products is higher than that of India's, the similarity of Chinese and Indian export commodities is lower, and the similarity of industrial manufactured goods is higher than that of primary products. The complementary relationship between Chinese and Indian export commodities is relatively strong, and the competitiveness of Chinese and Indian export commodities has increased after the financial crisis. Therefore, in order to avoid blind competition in the third party market and promote the sustained growth of foreign trade between the two countries, China and India should formulate a strategy of "shared growth" and accelerate the construction of a free trade zone in which the two countries participate.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：廣東外語(yǔ)外貿(mào)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62;F753.51

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