中美在RCEP與TPP中角逐的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-08-09 08:52
【摘要】：自2008年金融危機(jī)發(fā)生以來，全球經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)雖然持續(xù)震蕩，但復(fù)蘇乏力的局面已有所改善。在區(qū)域環(huán)境中，尤其是含有新興發(fā)展中經(jīng)濟(jì)體的區(qū)域環(huán)境中，密切的區(qū)域協(xié)作機(jī)制正在逐步取代多邊協(xié)調(diào)機(jī)構(gòu)的作用，因而區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展為全球經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇帶去了一線生機(jī)。本文選取亞太地區(qū)最具代表性的正處于談判中的兩個(gè)區(qū)域性經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化組織——跨太平洋戰(zhàn)略經(jīng)濟(jì)伙伴協(xié)定（Trans-Pacific Partnership,簡(jiǎn)稱“TPP”）和區(qū)域全面經(jīng)濟(jì)伙伴關(guān)系（RegionalComprehensive Economic Partnership，簡(jiǎn)稱“RCEP”）——進(jìn)行比較分析，綜合運(yùn)用理論聯(lián)系實(shí)際的方法、邏輯分析法、比較分析法和定量分析法等研究方法，旨在分析中國(guó)利用RCEP與美國(guó)利用TPP進(jìn)行角逐的經(jīng)濟(jì)影響，從而得出結(jié)論并提出建議。論文首先在介紹RCEP與TPP基本概況的基礎(chǔ)上，對(duì)兩者展開兩個(gè)層面的對(duì)比。一是從組織構(gòu)成與框架協(xié)議的角度對(duì)比分析RCEP與TPP；二是從成員構(gòu)成、合作機(jī)制、運(yùn)作機(jī)制和協(xié)議內(nèi)容等方面將RCEP、TPP同WTO、APEC進(jìn)行比較研究。其次，闡述中美在RCEP與TPP中角逐的角色、面臨的問題，并對(duì)兩者的角逐結(jié)果進(jìn)行預(yù)判。最后，用現(xiàn)有數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)中美兩國(guó)分別在RCEP與TPP中的角逐進(jìn)行靜態(tài)和動(dòng)態(tài)效應(yīng)的探討。 文章的結(jié)論是：1.盡管TPP和RCEP標(biāo)準(zhǔn)不同，經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力懸殊，貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)上均存在差距，成員國(guó)自由化水平參差不齊，但構(gòu)建自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的規(guī)模效應(yīng)、市場(chǎng)擴(kuò)大效應(yīng)都是巨大的；2.TPP和RCEP雖然方法手段各異，但目標(biāo)結(jié)果卻是相同的，都是為了促進(jìn)自由貿(mào)易的發(fā)展，也都將成為推動(dòng)亞太地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的助力；3.目前的中國(guó)無論是加入TPP還是RCEP都必然會(huì)犧牲一定的代價(jià)，但是從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來看，這種犧牲是值得的。TPP遠(yuǎn)高于RCEP的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)對(duì)現(xiàn)在的中國(guó)來說確實(shí)一時(shí)很難接受。然而，中國(guó)一方面可以RCEP作為一個(gè)轉(zhuǎn)身的契機(jī)，借助RCEP盡快對(duì)國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)以及經(jīng)濟(jì)政策進(jìn)行合理調(diào)整，為加入TPP積極準(zhǔn)備。4.為了TPP和RCEP的順利推進(jìn)，兩者都應(yīng)借鑒APEC和WTO的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)和失敗教訓(xùn)，在制定高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)協(xié)定的同時(shí)，努力探尋談判各方利益最大化的途徑，堅(jiān)持“開放的地區(qū)主義”，共同進(jìn)步，合作互贏。
[Abstract]:Since the 2008 financial crisis, the global economic situation has continued to fluctuate, but the recovery has improved. In regional environments, in particular those involving emerging developing economies, close regional collaborative mechanisms are gradually replacing the role of multilateral coordinating bodies, As a result, the rapid development of regional economy has brought a vital force to the global economic recovery. This paper selects the two most representative regional economic integration organizations in the Asia-Pacific region, namely, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RegionalComprehensive Economic Partnership,), which are under negotiation. "RCEP")-for comparative analysis, By using the methods of theory and practice, logic analysis, comparative analysis and quantitative analysis, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic impact of the competition between China and the United States in the use of TPP, so as to draw a conclusion and put forward some suggestions. On the basis of introducing the basic situation of RCEP and TPP, the paper compares the two levels. The first is a comparative analysis of RCEP and RCEP from the point of view of organizational structure and framework agreement, and the other is a comparative study of RCEP and RCEP from the aspects of membership, cooperation mechanism, operation mechanism and agreement content. Secondly, the roles and problems in the RCEP and TPP competition between China and the United States are expounded, and the results of the two competitions are forecasted. Finally, the static and dynamic effects of RCEP and TPP competition between China and the United States are discussed with available data. The conclusion of the article is: 1. Although the standards of TPP and RCEP are different, the economic strength is different, the trade structure is different, and the level of liberalization of member countries is not uniform, the scale effect and market expansion effect of constructing free trade area are great. 2.TPP and RCEP have different approaches and methods, but the goals are the same, both to promote free trade, and will also be a boost to economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region. China's current membership of the TPP and the RCEP is bound to come at a cost, but in the long run, the sacrifice is worth it. However, on the one hand, China can take RCEP as an opportunity to turn around, with the help of RCEP to adjust the domestic industrial structure and economic policies as soon as possible, in order to actively prepare for the entry of TPP. For the smooth progress of TPP and RCEP, both should draw lessons from the successful experiences and failures of APEC and WTO. While working out a high standard agreement, they should strive to explore ways to maximize the interests of all parties to the negotiations, adhere to "open regionalism," and make common progress. Cooperate and win each other.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F744;F752;F757.12
本文編號(hào)：2173565
[Abstract]:Since the 2008 financial crisis, the global economic situation has continued to fluctuate, but the recovery has improved. In regional environments, in particular those involving emerging developing economies, close regional collaborative mechanisms are gradually replacing the role of multilateral coordinating bodies, As a result, the rapid development of regional economy has brought a vital force to the global economic recovery. This paper selects the two most representative regional economic integration organizations in the Asia-Pacific region, namely, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) and the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RegionalComprehensive Economic Partnership,), which are under negotiation. "RCEP")-for comparative analysis, By using the methods of theory and practice, logic analysis, comparative analysis and quantitative analysis, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the economic impact of the competition between China and the United States in the use of TPP, so as to draw a conclusion and put forward some suggestions. On the basis of introducing the basic situation of RCEP and TPP, the paper compares the two levels. The first is a comparative analysis of RCEP and RCEP from the point of view of organizational structure and framework agreement, and the other is a comparative study of RCEP and RCEP from the aspects of membership, cooperation mechanism, operation mechanism and agreement content. Secondly, the roles and problems in the RCEP and TPP competition between China and the United States are expounded, and the results of the two competitions are forecasted. Finally, the static and dynamic effects of RCEP and TPP competition between China and the United States are discussed with available data. The conclusion of the article is: 1. Although the standards of TPP and RCEP are different, the economic strength is different, the trade structure is different, and the level of liberalization of member countries is not uniform, the scale effect and market expansion effect of constructing free trade area are great. 2.TPP and RCEP have different approaches and methods, but the goals are the same, both to promote free trade, and will also be a boost to economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region. China's current membership of the TPP and the RCEP is bound to come at a cost, but in the long run, the sacrifice is worth it. However, on the one hand, China can take RCEP as an opportunity to turn around, with the help of RCEP to adjust the domestic industrial structure and economic policies as soon as possible, in order to actively prepare for the entry of TPP. For the smooth progress of TPP and RCEP, both should draw lessons from the successful experiences and failures of APEC and WTO. While working out a high standard agreement, they should strive to explore ways to maximize the interests of all parties to the negotiations, adhere to "open regionalism," and make common progress. Cooperate and win each other.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：武漢理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F744;F752;F757.12
【參考文獻(xiàn)】
相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條
1 關(guān)權(quán);;東亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化和TPP——中日之間的博弈[J];東北亞論壇;2012年02期
2 萬璐;;美國(guó)TPP戰(zhàn)略的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)研究——基于GTAP模擬的分析[J];當(dāng)代亞太;2011年04期
3 沈銘輝;;跨太平洋伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)議(TPP)的成本收益分析:中國(guó)的視角[J];當(dāng)代亞太;2012年01期
4 蔡宏波;黃建忠;;國(guó)外自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定研究新進(jìn)展[J];國(guó)際貿(mào)易問題;2008年07期
5 黃潔;;美國(guó)推行TPP對(duì)兩岸ECFA的影響和對(duì)策[J];國(guó)際貿(mào)易問題;2012年08期
6 趙金龍;;美國(guó)TPP戰(zhàn)略的動(dòng)機(jī)及其對(duì)東北亞經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化的影響研究[J];東北亞論壇;2012年06期
7 楊立強(qiáng);魯淑;;TPP與中日韓FTA經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的GTAP模擬分析[J];東北亞論壇;2013年04期
8 彭支偉;張伯偉;;中日韓自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)及推進(jìn)路徑——基于SMART的模擬分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2012年12期
9 蔡鵬鴻;;TPP橫向議題與下一代貿(mào)易規(guī)則及其對(duì)中國(guó)的影響[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2013年07期
10 饒蕓燕;;模板、跳板、擋板:美國(guó)戰(zhàn)略視角下TPP功能的三位一體[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2013年08期
，本文編號(hào)：2173565
本文鏈接：http://sikaile.net/jingjilunwen/quyujingjilunwen/2173565.html
最近更新
教材專著
