本文選題：中國—東盟 + 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作�。� 參考：《哈爾濱商業(yè)大學》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：隨著2015年11月23日,中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)升級談判的順利達成,有關(guān)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的研究被學術(shù)界更加廣泛的關(guān)注。東盟與中國山水相連,文化相通,種族相近,自古以來就與中國東南沿海以及南方各省貿(mào)易關(guān)系密切。上世紀90年代,隨著改革開放的深入和國際形勢的巨大變化,以及東盟經(jīng)濟體的不斷發(fā)展,東盟各國再次引起我國的重視。2000年,時任國務(wù)院總理朱昒基提出了構(gòu)建中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的構(gòu)想,并得到了東盟各國高層的認可和積極響應(yīng);2002年中國與東盟簽署了第一份協(xié)議——《中國—東盟全面經(jīng)濟合作框架協(xié)議》;2004年開始實施了 "早期收貨計劃",并于同年簽署了《貨物貿(mào)易協(xié)議》;2007年和2009年又分別簽署了《服務(wù)貿(mào)易協(xié)議》和《投資協(xié)議》,標志著中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立已經(jīng)排除了制度限制。并經(jīng)雙方約定從2010年1月1日起,中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(CAFTA)正式成立。中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)成立至今,經(jīng)過長達五年的貿(mào)易往來和雙方政策的不斷調(diào)整,終于在2015年11月23日,中國同東盟各國領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人達成了中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)升級的最終合意,至此,中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)正式進入了 2.0時代。通過對中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)各國以往的數(shù)據(jù)進行整理,基于國際貿(mào)易理論、區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作理論和地緣經(jīng)濟學理論,運用顯性比較優(yōu)勢指數(shù)、綜合貿(mào)易互補性指數(shù)、貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù)、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù)、以及貿(mào)易引力模型等相應(yīng)的經(jīng)濟學方法,從地緣政治學和地緣經(jīng)濟學角度分析了中國與東盟各國之間貿(mào)易往來和經(jīng)濟增長之間的關(guān)系以及相互影響的顯著性因素。在分析有關(guān)影響中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)升級的有利因素和不利因素的同時,也對中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)升級前有關(guān)各方的政治效應(yīng)和經(jīng)濟效應(yīng)加以分析。在對北美自由貿(mào)易區(qū)和歐盟等成熟區(qū)域一體化組織的學習研究過程中,吸收北美自由貿(mào)易區(qū)關(guān)于原產(chǎn)地規(guī)則的制定、爭端處理方式,以及歐盟有關(guān)對成員國的管理機制和歐洲統(tǒng)一的貨幣體系等成功經(jīng)驗的同時,提出出了升級后的中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建設(shè),以及深化互利合作的相關(guān)對策。為實現(xiàn)中央的"十三五"規(guī)劃和"一帶一路"建設(shè)提供決策依據(jù),也為日后我國其他自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建設(shè)和發(fā)展提供充足的理論準備和經(jīng)驗借鑒。
[Abstract]:With the successful conclusion of the upgrading negotiation of China-ASEAN Free Trade area on November 23, 2015, the research on ASEAN Free Trade area has been paid more and more attention by academic circles. ASEAN is connected with Chinese mountains and rivers, and has close trade relations with the southeast coastal and southern provinces of China since ancient times. In the 1990s, with the deepening of reform and opening up and the great changes in the international situation, as well as the continuous development of ASEAN economies, ASEAN countries again attracted the attention of our country. In 2000, At that time, Premier Zhu Rongji put forward the idea of building a China-ASEAN Free Trade area. In 2002, China and ASEAN signed the first agreement-"China-ASEAN Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation". In 2004, the "early delivery Plan" began to be implemented. The Agreement on Trade in goods was signed in 1997, and the Agreement on Trade in Services and Investment Agreement were signed in 2007 and 2009 respectively, which indicates that the establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area has eliminated the institutional restrictions. From January 1, 2010, China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTAA) was established. Since the establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area, after five years of trade exchanges and continuous adjustment of bilateral policies, on November 23, 2015, The leaders of China and ASEAN have reached the final agreement of upgrading China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA). At this point, China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA) has entered the 2.0 era. Based on the international trade theory, the theory of regional economic cooperation and the theory of geo-economics, the author makes use of the explicit comparative advantage index to synthesize the complementary index of trade through the collation of the past data of the countries in the China-ASEAN Free Trade area. The corresponding economic methods such as trade integration index, intra-industry trade index, and trade gravity model, This paper analyzes the relationship between trade and economic growth between China and ASEAN countries and the significant factors influencing each other from the perspective of geopolitics and geoeconomics. This paper analyzes the favorable and unfavorable factors affecting the upgrading of China-ASEAN Free Trade area, and also analyzes the political and economic effects of all parties concerned before the upgrading of China-ASEAN Free Trade area. In the course of studying and studying mature regional integration organizations such as NAFTA and the European Union, we should absorb the rules of origin of NAFTA and the way in which disputes are handled. In addition to the successful experiences of the European Union on the management mechanism of its member states and the unified monetary system of Europe, the paper puts forward some countermeasures for the construction of the upgraded China-ASEAN Free Trade area and the deepening of mutually beneficial cooperation. It provides the decision basis for the realization of the 13th Five-Year Plan of the Central Committee and the construction of Belt and Road, and also provides sufficient theoretical preparation and experience for the construction and development of other free trade zones in China in the future.
【學位授予單位】：哈爾濱商業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F742

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