本文選題：產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷 + 城市化發(fā)展��； 參考：《蘭州大學(xué)》2014年博士論文

【摘要】：產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展是區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過程中重要的內(nèi)容,也是資源合理配置的必然路徑。改革開放以來,中國(guó)的產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展取得了長(zhǎng)足進(jìn)步,但區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的非平衡性也日漸凸顯。西北地區(qū)作為中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)欠發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域,無論是產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷還是城市化發(fā)展均處于較為落后的局面,在全國(guó)部分地區(qū)已實(shí)現(xiàn)高度的產(chǎn)業(yè)和城市化發(fā)展的背景下,如何促進(jìn)欠發(fā)達(dá)區(qū)域尤其是西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展,對(duì)于中國(guó)實(shí)現(xiàn)整體的產(chǎn)業(yè)革新和城市化進(jìn)程的深入均有著重要意義,同時(shí)也是促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡發(fā)展的重要內(nèi)容。 本文通過產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展的理論梳理,對(duì)二者的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了深入討論,發(fā)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷與城市化發(fā)展間存在著相互適應(yīng)、相互促進(jìn)的關(guān)系。依托這一重要關(guān)系,在對(duì)西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展進(jìn)行歷史回顧和現(xiàn)狀分析的基礎(chǔ)上,通過產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚視角分析了西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷對(duì)城市化發(fā)展的驅(qū)動(dòng)機(jī)制和效應(yīng),通過空間視角分析了西北地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變和產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的回饋路徑及范圍,并對(duì)二者間的互動(dòng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了總結(jié),最后利用綜合指標(biāo)體系對(duì)西北五省區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展之間的協(xié)調(diào)度進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià)。 通過上述研究,得出以下主要結(jié)論。 第一,西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展取得了較大的進(jìn)步,但與全國(guó)水平間差距明顯,處于較為落后的狀況,同時(shí)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展的區(qū)內(nèi)空間非均衡性較為明顯,實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)內(nèi)整體協(xié)調(diào)增長(zhǎng)的壓力較大。 第二,通過產(chǎn)業(yè)就業(yè)視角分析了產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷對(duì)城市化發(fā)展的推動(dòng)效應(yīng),發(fā)現(xiàn)由于產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)和外部就業(yè)環(huán)境的種種制約,西北區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)與就業(yè)偏離度較大,導(dǎo)致產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變對(duì)城市化發(fā)展的驅(qū)動(dòng)作用有限。利用空間統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)方法分析產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚對(duì)城市人口集聚的影響,發(fā)現(xiàn)西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚與城市人口集聚具有高度的協(xié)同變化和明顯的空間耦合性,同時(shí)產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚導(dǎo)致城市人口在城市密集區(qū)域集中,形成西北地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展中城市人口空間分布的非均衡現(xiàn)象。進(jìn)一步利用面板誤差修正模型分析后發(fā)現(xiàn),西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變導(dǎo)致大城市規(guī)模增長(zhǎng)快于中小城市,造成城市化發(fā)展中城市規(guī)模增長(zhǎng)的分異。 第三,西北地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演變的推動(dòng)較弱,并存在明顯的空間自相關(guān)性,通過構(gòu)建空間計(jì)量面板模型進(jìn)行研究后發(fā)現(xiàn)西北地區(qū)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平滯后、財(cái)政能力薄弱、較為封閉的市場(chǎng)環(huán)境和區(qū)域開發(fā)強(qiáng)度、區(qū)域開放程度、產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚水平存在空間競(jìng)爭(zhēng)效應(yīng)是其主要原因,同時(shí)利用空間閾值權(quán)重矩陣,對(duì)西北地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展對(duì)于產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的促進(jìn)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行空間計(jì)量研究后發(fā)現(xiàn),西北地區(qū)城市化發(fā)展對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的空間溢出效應(yīng)存在明顯的空間衰減,且其空間溢出半徑較小,導(dǎo)致城市密集區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)聯(lián)動(dòng)升級(jí)的效應(yīng)明顯,而城市稀疏區(qū)這一效應(yīng)并不明顯。 第四,利用面板向量自回歸模型對(duì)西北地區(qū)五省區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷與城市化發(fā)展的互動(dòng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了進(jìn)一步的分析和總結(jié),發(fā)現(xiàn)西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷與城市化發(fā)展的關(guān)系主要體現(xiàn)為工業(yè)化進(jìn)程與城市化發(fā)展間的互動(dòng)機(jī)制,同時(shí)利用綜合指標(biāo)體系和熵權(quán)法對(duì)西北五省區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷與城市化發(fā)展的協(xié)調(diào)程度進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)和分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷和城市化發(fā)展的整體協(xié)調(diào)性較低,一定程度上影響了二者間的互動(dòng)效應(yīng)。 最后基于西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)變遷與城市化發(fā)展相互影響、相互促進(jìn)的基本關(guān)系,提出在促進(jìn)西北地區(qū)產(chǎn)業(yè)和城市化發(fā)展過程中將二者分割開來存在經(jīng)濟(jì)效率損失的結(jié)論,應(yīng)將二者有效結(jié)合,利用二者相互間的影響不斷推動(dòng)二者發(fā)展,并實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)內(nèi)均衡增長(zhǎng)。
[Abstract]:Industry changes and the development of city is an important content in the process of regional economic growth, but also an inevitable path for the rational allocation of resources. Since the reform and opening up, changing industry and city development Chinese has made considerable progress, but the imbalance of regional economic development is gradually dulgy. Northwest as China in underdeveloped area no matter what the industry changes or city development are in a relatively backward situation in some areas of the country has achieved high industry and city development background, how to promote the underdeveloped areas especially industrial transformation and city development in the northwest region, to achieve China industry innovation and development of the whole city has important meaning, and it is also an important content to promote the balanced development of regional economy.
This paper combs the theory of industrial transformation and city development, the relationship between the two is discussed deeply, found that the industrial transition and city development are to adapt to each other, and promote each other. Relying on this important relationship, based on the analysis of the history and current situation of the industry change in Northwest China and the development of the city last, through industry employment and Industrial Agglomeration Perspective analyzes the driving mechanism and effect of industrial transformation in the northwest to the city development, through the spatial perspective feedback path and scope of the northwest city development on the evolution of industrial structure and industrial upgrading, and the relationship between the two is summarized, finally the comprehensive utilization the index system of coordination degree between the five provinces in Northwest and change industrial city development was evaluated.
Through the above study, the following main conclusions are drawn.
First, changing industry and city development in Northwest China has made great progress, but the gap with the national level obviously, in a relatively backward situation, at the same time changing industry and City Development Zone Spatial disequilibrium is obvious, to achieve the overall coordinated growth pressure area is larger.
Second, through the perspective of industrial employment and industry analysis of the changes of city development promoting effect, found that due to various constraints of industrial internal structure and external employment environment, northwest region industry and employment deviation is large, resulting in the evolution of industrial structure to drive the city development with limited. Using spatial statistical methods to analyze the effects of industrial agglomeration on city the concentration of population, found in the northwest industrial agglomeration agglomeration and city population coupling with highly coordinated changes and obvious, and industrial agglomeration in the city population in the city area, the formation of spatial population distribution in the northwest city city in the development of non equilibrium phenomena. Further using the panel error correction model analysis found that lead to the scale of growth in the city faster than small city industrial structure evolution of the northwest region, resulting in the development of city scale city The difference in growth.
Third, the evolution of the industrial structure to promote the development of the northwest city is weak, and there is obvious spatial autocorrelation, by constructing the study of spatial econometric panel model found that the overall level of economic development in Northwest China lag, weak financial ability, relatively closed market environment and regional development intensity, regional openness, the level of industrial agglomeration exists the space competition effect is the main cause, while using space threshold weight matrix, in the northwest region of the city development for promoting industrial upgrading effect of spatial econometric study found that the northwest city development has obvious spatial attenuation of spatial spillover effects of industrial upgrading, and the spatial spillover effect of small radius in the city populated area the upgrading of industry linkage is obvious, and the effect of city sparse area is not obvious.
Fourth, since the regression model of the interaction between the five provinces in Northwest China and the changes of industrial city development has been analyzed and summarized by using panel vector, found the relationship of industrial transition and city development in Northwest China is mainly reflected the interaction mechanism of the process of industrialization and the development of the city, at the same time using the comprehensive index system and entropy method the change of the coordination degree of the five provinces of northwest industry and city development evaluation and analysis, found that the industry changes and city development in the northwest region overall coordination is low, to a certain extent affected the interaction effect between the two.
Finally, based on the mutual influence of industry change in Northwest China and city development, the basic relationship of mutual promotion, put forward in the promotion of the industry in the northwest and the city development process of the two separate economic efficiency loss results, should be effective combination of the two, using two among the two continue to promote development, and implementation in the area of balanced growth.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：蘭州大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27;F127

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本文編號(hào)：1742104