湖南財政支出結構對經(jīng)濟增長影響的實證研究
本文選題:財政支出結構 切入點:經(jīng)濟增長 出處:《山東大學》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:在宏觀經(jīng)濟研究中,政府在經(jīng)濟增長中所起到的作用一直是研究的重點之一。由于市場經(jīng)濟天生所具有的局限性,政府必須在市場經(jīng)濟調節(jié)失控的時候,采取相應的宏觀經(jīng)濟政策來保證經(jīng)濟的平穩(wěn)發(fā)展。在政府的各項政策中,政府財政支出有著極其重要的意義。所以財政支出與經(jīng)濟增長之間的關系也一直是學術界研究的重點話題之一 在過去的研究中,眾多學者對不同政府的不同財政支出結構與當?shù)亟?jīng)濟發(fā)展的關系進行研究,得出許多不同的結論。事實上,由于研究對象的不同,研究方法的不同,研究數(shù)據(jù)的來源不同等因素的影響,這種差異性也是合理的。由于這種差異性的存在,我們有必要繼續(xù)對我們感興趣的地區(qū)的財政支出結構與經(jīng)濟增長的關系進行研究。 回顧國內外的研究,大家主要是通過地區(qū)的財政支出結構與地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的速度與結構進行定性和定量的分析,來得出他們之間的關系。這一思路也是本文研究的方法論基礎。 在國內的關于財政支出結構與地區(qū)經(jīng)濟增長的研究中,對于各省的研究較少,更多的都集中在國家宏觀經(jīng)濟層面,忽略了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的重要性。本文研究的初衷就是為了更好的去研究地方財政支出結構和地方經(jīng)濟之間的關系,為地方政府的政策制定提供依據(jù)。 本文主要針對湖南省財政支出狀況來分析湖南省財政支出結構與湖南省經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的關系。本文首先對湖南省財政支出規(guī)模和支出結構進行實證分析,總結出相應的財政政策的特點與規(guī)律。然后應用計量方法,分別對湖南省財政支出結構與湖南省經(jīng)濟增長的關系進行分析。分析中主要用到了協(xié)整方法,Var方法和脈沖影響分析方法,系統(tǒng)的分析了兩者之間的關系,并給出了相關的財政政策建議,希望能給地方政府政策制定起到參考作用。
[Abstract]:In macroeconomic research, the role played by the government in economic growth has always been one of the focal points of the study. Due to the inherent limitations of the market economy, the government must control the market economy when it is out of control. Adopt corresponding macroeconomic policies to ensure the smooth development of the economy. Therefore, the relationship between fiscal expenditure and economic growth has always been one of the most important topics in academic research. In the past studies, many scholars have studied the relationship between the different fiscal expenditure structure of different governments and the local economic development, and reached many different conclusions. In fact, because of the different research object, the research method is different. It is also reasonable to study the influence of different sources of data on the relationship between fiscal expenditure structure and economic growth in areas of interest to us. Looking back at domestic and foreign research, we have made qualitative and quantitative analysis mainly through the structure of regional fiscal expenditure and the speed and structure of regional economic growth, This idea is also the methodological basis of this study. In the domestic research on the structure of fiscal expenditure and regional economic growth, the research on the provinces is less, more concentrated on the national macroeconomic level. The purpose of this paper is to study the relationship between the local financial expenditure structure and the local economy, and to provide the basis for the policy making of the local government. This paper mainly analyzes the relationship between the structure of fiscal expenditure and the economic development of Hunan Province in view of the situation of fiscal expenditure in Hunan Province. Firstly, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the scale and structure of fiscal expenditure in Hunan Province. The characteristics and laws of the corresponding fiscal policy are summarized. Then the metrological method is applied. The relationship between the financial expenditure structure of Hunan Province and the economic growth of Hunan Province is analyzed. The co-integration method and pulse impact analysis method are mainly used in the analysis, and the relationship between the two methods is analyzed systematically. It also gives the relevant financial policy advice, hoping to give the local government policy to play a reference role.
【學位授予單位】:山東大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F812.45;F124.1
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