本文選題：TPP　切入點：美國　出處：《教學與研究》2017年06期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：跨太平洋伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)定(TPP)是美國"亞太再平衡戰(zhàn)略"的重要組成部分,而特朗普政府退出TPP則標志著美國亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的重大政策嬗變。當前,TPP主要存在擱置、瘦身、變型、分解、消亡等五種變化可能。五種情境中,美國維系TPP的意愿不斷下降,對TPP的解構(gòu)和對奧巴馬時期亞太政策的偏離依次遞增,由此造成亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作格局面臨的不確定性逐漸加大。在"后TPP時代",亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化的外部壓力有所緩解,但內(nèi)部動力也隨之降低。區(qū)域全面經(jīng)濟伙伴關(guān)系(RCEP)、亞太自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(FTAAP)等將面臨更為復雜的政策博弈和更為困難的談判進程。"加入TPP"固然為中國提供了更多的政策選項,但當務之急仍是在RCEP等談判上達成較高水平的階段性成果,循序漸進地推動區(qū)域經(jīng)濟一體化。
[Abstract]:The trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) is an important part of the "Asia Pacific rebalancing strategy", and the Trump administration withdrew from the TPP marks a major policy evolution of American Asia Pacific regional economic integration. At present, TPP are mainly use, slimming, variant, decomposition, perish five changes. In five situations. The United States will continue to maintain the TPP of TPP decreased, the deconstruction and deviation of Obama during the Asia Pacific policy gradually increased, resulting in the face of regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific pattern of uncertainty increased gradually. In the post TPP era, the Asia Pacific regional economic integration of the external pressure eased, but the internal power is also reduced. The regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP), the Asia Pacific Free Trade Area (FTAAP) will face more and more complex policy negotiation process difficult. "TPP" was to provide more policy China Options, but the top priority remains to reach a higher level of stage results in the RCEP negotiations, and step by step to promote regional economic integration.

【作者單位】： 復旦大學日本研究中心、金磚國家研究中心;復旦大學兩岸關(guān)系和平發(fā)展協(xié)同創(chuàng)新中心;
【基金】：國家社科基金青年項目“RCEP與TPP背景下的中國亞太跨區(qū)域開放合作戰(zhàn)略研究”(項目號:13CGJ029) 教育部國別和區(qū)域研究指向性課題“推動金磚國家經(jīng)貿(mào)領(lǐng)域務實合作研究”(項目號:17GBQY041)的階段性成果
【分類號】：F744

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