發(fā)布時間：2018-03-20 08:14

  本文選題：廣東　切入點：經(jīng)濟差異　出處：《中共廣東省委黨校》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來，廣東是全國發(fā)展最快的省份，同時也是發(fā)展最不平衡的區(qū)域。廣東省內(nèi)巨大的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟差異不僅扭曲了資源的配置，而且成為廣東經(jīng)濟未來持續(xù)快速發(fā)展的潛在風險。黨的十六屆三中全會提出，縮小地區(qū)差距，統(tǒng)籌區(qū)域發(fā)展。廣東必須抓住當前有利條件，充分利用自身優(yōu)勢，，走出區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展嚴重不平衡的困境。本文以廣東為研究對象，揭示導致區(qū)域經(jīng)濟差異的原因，挖掘影響經(jīng)濟收斂的因素及其作用機制，試圖提出參考性的政策建議。 本文主要采用理論與實證相結(jié)合的研究方法。首先，在提出研究問題以后，深入研究了新古典增長理論和新增長理論，闡釋了兩種理論中所蘊含的經(jīng)濟收斂思想，并梳理了國內(nèi)外相關的經(jīng)典文獻；其次，介紹收斂檢驗模型的推導、擴展和建立，以及在面板數(shù)據(jù)使用中模型形式的設定；最后分別從σ收斂、絕對β收斂、條件β收斂和俱樂部收斂四個方面對廣東區(qū)域經(jīng)濟進行實證收斂檢驗，并利用Dowrick-Rogers模型進行收斂機制分析。 本文的主要結(jié)論有如下三點：（1）廣東整體經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的絕對差異始終上升，珠三角區(qū)域內(nèi)的絕對差異幾乎與廣東整體差異保持一致。而廣東整體經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的相對差異在樣本區(qū)間總體呈下降趨勢。在四大經(jīng)濟區(qū)域?qū)用�，既有區(qū)域內(nèi)差距的擴大，又有區(qū)域間差距的擴大；（2）廣東區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長呈絕對β收斂，但經(jīng)濟增長并不能由初始產(chǎn)出水平簡單的負向決定，存在著發(fā)達地區(qū)比落后地區(qū)以更高的增長率增長，這說明落后地區(qū)并不能自然地獲得趕超發(fā)達地區(qū)的“后發(fā)優(yōu)勢”。四大經(jīng)濟區(qū)域的“俱樂部收斂”現(xiàn)象顯著，各自區(qū)域內(nèi)部出現(xiàn)了明顯的增長趨同；（3）廣東市際間經(jīng)濟增長差異表現(xiàn)出明顯的條件收斂性，開放程度、工業(yè)化水平和市場化程度等變量都對各市的經(jīng)濟增長均產(chǎn)生明顯的正向推動作用，因此，各市間在這些變量上的差異是導致其經(jīng)濟發(fā)展差異的主要原因；（4）廣東區(qū)域間存在兩種收斂機制：新古典收斂機制和新經(jīng)濟收斂機制。 最后，在理論分析和實證檢驗的基礎上，分別從政策層面、制度層面和產(chǎn)業(yè)層面給出相應的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has been the fastest-growing province in the country, and it is also the region with the most unbalanced development. The huge regional economic differences in Guangdong not only distort the allocation of resources, Moreover, it has become a potential risk for the sustained and rapid economic development of Guangdong in the future. The third Plenary session of the 16 CPC Central Committee proposed that regional disparities be narrowed and regional development coordinated. Guangdong must seize the current favorable conditions and make full use of its own advantages. Out of the dilemma of serious imbalance of regional economic development, this paper takes Guangdong as the research object, reveals the reasons leading to regional economic differences, excavates the factors affecting economic convergence and its mechanism, and tries to put forward some policy suggestions for reference. First of all, after putting forward the research questions, this paper deeply studies the neoclassical growth theory and the new growth theory, and explains the economic convergence thought contained in the two theories. Then, it introduces the derivation, expansion and establishment of convergence test model and the setting of model form in the use of panel data. Finally, from 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence, Conditional 尾 convergence and club convergence are used to test the empirical convergence of Guangdong regional economy, and the convergence mechanism is analyzed by using Dowrick-Rogers model. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the absolute difference in the overall level of economic development in Guangdong has been rising. The absolute difference in the Pearl River Delta region is almost consistent with the overall difference in Guangdong Province, while the relative difference in the overall economic development level of Guangdong Province shows a general downward trend in the sample region. The regional economic growth in Guangdong is absolutely 尾 -convergent, but the economic growth cannot be determined by the simple negative direction of the initial output level. There exists a higher growth rate in developed regions than in backward regions. This shows that backward regions cannot naturally gain the "late-development advantage" of catching up with developed regions. The "club convergence" phenomenon in the four major economic regions is remarkable. The differences in economic growth among the cities of Guangdong show obvious conditional convergence and openness. The level of industrialization and the degree of marketization all have a significant positive impact on the economic growth of each city. The difference in these variables among cities is the main reason for the difference in economic development. (4) there are two kinds of convergence mechanisms in Guangdong: neo-classical convergence mechanism and neo-economic convergence mechanism. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical test, the corresponding policy recommendations are given from the policy level, the institutional level and the industrial level.
【學位授予單位】：中共廣東省委黨校
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;F224

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