本文選題：廣東　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)差異　出處：《中共廣東省委黨校》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)，廣東是全國(guó)發(fā)展最快的省份，同時(shí)也是發(fā)展最不平衡的區(qū)域。廣東省內(nèi)巨大的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異不僅扭曲了資源的配置，而且成為廣東經(jīng)濟(jì)未來(lái)持續(xù)快速發(fā)展的潛在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。黨的十六屆三中全會(huì)提出，縮小地區(qū)差距，統(tǒng)籌區(qū)域發(fā)展。廣東必須抓住當(dāng)前有利條件，充分利用自身優(yōu)勢(shì)，，走出區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展嚴(yán)重不平衡的困境。本文以廣東為研究對(duì)象，揭示導(dǎo)致區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)差異的原因，挖掘影響經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂的因素及其作用機(jī)制，試圖提出參考性的政策建議。 本文主要采用理論與實(shí)證相結(jié)合的研究方法。首先，在提出研究問(wèn)題以后，深入研究了新古典增長(zhǎng)理論和新增長(zhǎng)理論，闡釋了兩種理論中所蘊(yùn)含的經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂思想，并梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)的經(jīng)典文獻(xiàn)；其次，介紹收斂檢驗(yàn)?zāi)Ｐ偷耐茖?dǎo)、擴(kuò)展和建立，以及在面板數(shù)據(jù)使用中模型形式的設(shè)定；最后分別從σ收斂、絕對(duì)β收斂、條件β收斂和俱樂(lè)部收斂四個(gè)方面對(duì)廣東區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)行實(shí)證收斂檢驗(yàn)，并利用Dowrick-Rogers模型進(jìn)行收斂機(jī)制分析。 本文的主要結(jié)論有如下三點(diǎn)：（1）廣東整體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的絕對(duì)差異始終上升，珠三角區(qū)域內(nèi)的絕對(duì)差異幾乎與廣東整體差異保持一致。而廣東整體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的相對(duì)差異在樣本區(qū)間總體呈下降趨勢(shì)。在四大經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域?qū)用�，既有區(qū)域內(nèi)差距的擴(kuò)大，又有區(qū)域間差距的擴(kuò)大；（2）廣東區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)呈絕對(duì)β收斂，但經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)并不能由初始產(chǎn)出水平簡(jiǎn)單的負(fù)向決定，存在著發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)比落后地區(qū)以更高的增長(zhǎng)率增長(zhǎng)，這說(shuō)明落后地區(qū)并不能自然地獲得趕超發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的“后發(fā)優(yōu)勢(shì)”。四大經(jīng)濟(jì)區(qū)域的“俱樂(lè)部收斂”現(xiàn)象顯著，各自區(qū)域內(nèi)部出現(xiàn)了明顯的增長(zhǎng)趨同；（3）廣東市際間經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異表現(xiàn)出明顯的條件收斂性，開(kāi)放程度、工業(yè)化水平和市場(chǎng)化程度等變量都對(duì)各市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)均產(chǎn)生明顯的正向推動(dòng)作用，因此，各市間在這些變量上的差異是導(dǎo)致其經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展差異的主要原因；（4）廣東區(qū)域間存在兩種收斂機(jī)制：新古典收斂機(jī)制和新經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂機(jī)制。 最后，在理論分析和實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上，分別從政策層面、制度層面和產(chǎn)業(yè)層面給出相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has been the fastest-growing province in the country, and it is also the region with the most unbalanced development. The huge regional economic differences in Guangdong not only distort the allocation of resources, Moreover, it has become a potential risk for the sustained and rapid economic development of Guangdong in the future. The third Plenary session of the 16 CPC Central Committee proposed that regional disparities be narrowed and regional development coordinated. Guangdong must seize the current favorable conditions and make full use of its own advantages. Out of the dilemma of serious imbalance of regional economic development, this paper takes Guangdong as the research object, reveals the reasons leading to regional economic differences, excavates the factors affecting economic convergence and its mechanism, and tries to put forward some policy suggestions for reference. First of all, after putting forward the research questions, this paper deeply studies the neoclassical growth theory and the new growth theory, and explains the economic convergence thought contained in the two theories. Then, it introduces the derivation, expansion and establishment of convergence test model and the setting of model form in the use of panel data. Finally, from 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence, Conditional 尾 convergence and club convergence are used to test the empirical convergence of Guangdong regional economy, and the convergence mechanism is analyzed by using Dowrick-Rogers model. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the absolute difference in the overall level of economic development in Guangdong has been rising. The absolute difference in the Pearl River Delta region is almost consistent with the overall difference in Guangdong Province, while the relative difference in the overall economic development level of Guangdong Province shows a general downward trend in the sample region. The regional economic growth in Guangdong is absolutely 尾 -convergent, but the economic growth cannot be determined by the simple negative direction of the initial output level. There exists a higher growth rate in developed regions than in backward regions. This shows that backward regions cannot naturally gain the "late-development advantage" of catching up with developed regions. The "club convergence" phenomenon in the four major economic regions is remarkable. The differences in economic growth among the cities of Guangdong show obvious conditional convergence and openness. The level of industrialization and the degree of marketization all have a significant positive impact on the economic growth of each city. The difference in these variables among cities is the main reason for the difference in economic development. (4) there are two kinds of convergence mechanisms in Guangdong: neo-classical convergence mechanism and neo-economic convergence mechanism. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical test, the corresponding policy recommendations are given from the policy level, the institutional level and the industrial level.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中共廣東省委黨校
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F224

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前8條

1 蔡f ,都陽(yáng);中國(guó)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的趨同與差異——對(duì)西部開(kāi)發(fā)戰(zhàn)略的啟示[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2000年10期

2 樊綱,王小魯,張立文,朱恒鵬;中國(guó)各地區(qū)市場(chǎng)化相對(duì)進(jìn)程報(bào)告[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2003年03期

3 林毅夫,劉培林;中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略與地區(qū)收入差距[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2003年03期

4 何一峰;;轉(zhuǎn)型經(jīng)濟(jì)下的中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)趨同研究——基于非線性時(shí)變因子模型的實(shí)證分析[J];經(jīng)濟(jì)研究;2008年07期

5 尹偉華;張煥明;;我國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)收斂的計(jì)量分析[J];技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2008年10期

6 覃成林;中國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)趨同與分異研究[J];人文地理;2004年03期

7 張勝,郭軍,陳金賢;中國(guó)省際長(zhǎng)期經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)絕對(duì)收斂的經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì);2001年06期

8 劉建平;王克林;;廣東省地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)差異及其收斂性[J];統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策;2005年24期

本文編號(hào)：1638232