本文選題：高速鐵路　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)　出處：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2017年17期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：高鐵作為一種新型的交通運(yùn)輸方式,具有高效舒適、綠色環(huán)保的優(yōu)點(diǎn)。高鐵的開通,給城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展注入新動(dòng)力。文章以武漢市為例,通過(guò)建立回歸分析模型和灰色預(yù)測(cè)GM(1,1)模型,運(yùn)用有無(wú)對(duì)比法,實(shí)證分析了高鐵對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響及貢獻(xiàn)。結(jié)果表明,高鐵開通對(duì)城市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有積極的拉動(dòng)效應(yīng),高鐵對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)率呈現(xiàn)先遞增又遞減趨勢(shì),尤其是高鐵開通最初幾年對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)勢(shì)頭迅猛,影響顯著,之后有所減緩。
[Abstract]:As a new mode of transportation, high-speed rail has the advantages of high efficiency and comfort, green and environmental protection. The opening of high-speed rail has injected new impetus into the economic development of the city. This article takes Wuhan City as an example. Through the establishment of regression analysis model and grey forecast GM1 / 1) model, this paper empirically analyzes the impact and contribution of high-speed rail to economic growth by using the method of comparison. The results show that the opening of high-speed rail has a positive pull effect on urban economic growth. The contribution of high-speed rail to economic growth is increasing and decreasing, especially in the first few years of its opening, the contribution to economic growth has been rapid and significant, and then slowed down.
【作者單位】： 武漢科技大學(xué)城市學(xué)院;
【基金】：湖北省教育廳科學(xué)研究項(xiàng)目(2016437);湖北省教育廳人文社會(huì)科學(xué)研究項(xiàng)目(16G248) 武漢科技大學(xué)城市學(xué)院校級(jí)教學(xué)研究重點(diǎn)項(xiàng)目(2016CYZDJY005)
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23;F532
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本文編號(hào)：1634467