中國(guó)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性的再估計(jì)——基于技術(shù)溢出的空間動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-03-13 12:23
本文選題:經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂 切入點(diǎn):技術(shù)溢出效應(yīng) 出處:《科技管理研究》2015年06期 論文類型:期刊論文
【摘要】:利用空間動(dòng)態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,對(duì)1952-2011年中國(guó)大陸30個(gè)省級(jí)區(qū)域的經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂性進(jìn)行估計(jì)。結(jié)果顯示,中國(guó)地區(qū)間經(jīng)濟(jì)在1952-2011,1952-1978,1979-2011這三個(gè)時(shí)間段中都呈現(xiàn)收斂態(tài)勢(shì),但改革開(kāi)放之后在"讓一部分人先富起來(lái)"的政策影響下收斂速度有所放緩。俱樂(lè)部收斂的回歸結(jié)果表明,改革開(kāi)放前我國(guó)東、中、西部三大區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)存在俱樂(lè)部收斂;改革開(kāi)放后,中部和東部之間的俱樂(lè)部收斂已經(jīng)消失,但西部沒(méi)有能夠融入到東、中部經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的總趨勢(shì)中,還需采取切實(shí)可行的措施進(jìn)一步加大西部開(kāi)發(fā)力度。
[Abstract]:Based on the spatial dynamic panel data model, the economic convergence of 30 provincial regions in mainland China from 1952 to 2011 is estimated. The results show that the regional economy in China showed convergence trend in the three periods of 1952-2011 and 1952-1978-1979-2011. But after the reform and opening up, under the influence of the policy of "let some people get rich first", the convergence rate of the club has slowed down. The regression result of club convergence shows that before the reform and opening up, the three regional economies of east, middle and west of our country have club convergence; After the reform and opening up, the club convergence between the central and eastern regions has disappeared, but the western region has not been integrated into the east. In the general trend of economic growth in the central region, practical measures should be taken to further strengthen the development of the western region.
【作者單位】: 上海財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);深圳市社會(huì)科學(xué)院;
【基金】:上海財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)研究生教育創(chuàng)新計(jì)劃項(xiàng)目“我國(guó)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)收斂——變化權(quán)重矩陣的空間動(dòng)態(tài)面板模型”(CXJJ-2011-412)
【分類號(hào)】:F127
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