基于可計算一般均衡模型的大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)扶持政策研究
本文關(guān)鍵詞: 大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè) 可計算一般均衡模型 產(chǎn)業(yè)帶動效應(yīng) 投資政策 出處:《上海交通大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:隨著全球產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭的日趨加劇,大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)成為世界各國重點發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略性產(chǎn)業(yè)和著力搶占的“制高點”,理論和實踐都已表明,大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟具有明顯的拉動作用,對于推動產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級,促進區(qū)域經(jīng)濟增長亦具有重要意義。作為我國建設(shè)創(chuàng)新型國家,提高自主創(chuàng)新能力和增強國家核心競爭力的重大戰(zhàn)略舉措,眾多學(xué)者對我國大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的各類問題進行了廣泛而有意義的研究。然而,以往的研究主要從體制變遷和技術(shù)差距的角度探討我國大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略。因此,本文比較分析國內(nèi)外大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)扶持政策,并通過研究大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)投資政策效應(yīng),提出相關(guān)政策建議。 本文通過案例研究,在借鑒發(fā)達國家發(fā)展大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)成功經(jīng)驗的基礎(chǔ)上,研究分析國內(nèi)外大飛機制造產(chǎn)業(yè)的政府扶持政策的差異,通過比較發(fā)現(xiàn),國內(nèi)在扶持大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展時存在著需求與供給不匹配、航空發(fā)動機制造商與飛機制造商聯(lián)系不緊密,供應(yīng)商管控體系不完善、飛機制造商對供應(yīng)商的管理經(jīng)驗不足等問題。同時,通過前面對扶持政策的總結(jié)中發(fā)現(xiàn),國內(nèi)對于大飛機投資上如何引導(dǎo)缺乏理論與實踐上的探索,但投資政策對產(chǎn)業(yè)健康發(fā)展有著重要的意義,由此本文通過構(gòu)建可計算一般均衡模型對大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資政策效應(yīng)進行了重點研究。研究結(jié)果表明:增加大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資,,對于制造業(yè)與整體經(jīng)濟增長有一定的促進作用,但對于居民消費會產(chǎn)生抑制效應(yīng);大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)投資額存在一個最優(yōu)值,可以最大程度帶動經(jīng)濟發(fā)展;此外,航空運輸業(yè)存在投資過,F(xiàn)象,可以適當(dāng)減少投資額。 在以上研究的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了加快發(fā)展我國大飛機產(chǎn)業(yè)的相關(guān)政策建議,包括追加重大科技專項投入、整機制造商與發(fā)動機制造商建立戰(zhàn)略聯(lián)盟、建立健全大飛機供應(yīng)商的管控體系、鼓勵民營資本進入等相關(guān)政策。
[Abstract]:With the increasing competition of the global industry, the large aircraft industry has become the strategic industry of key development in the world and the "commanding height" of the effort to seize, both theory and practice have shown. The large aircraft industry has obvious pull effect on the national economy, it is also important to promote the upgrading of industrial structure and regional economic growth. In order to improve the independent innovation ability and enhance the core competitiveness of the country, many scholars have carried out extensive and meaningful research on all kinds of problems in the development of China's large aircraft industry. The previous research mainly discusses the development strategy of China's large aircraft industry from the perspective of system change and technology gap. Therefore, this paper compares and analyzes the domestic and foreign large aircraft industry support policies. And through the study of the large aircraft industry investment policy effect, put forward the relevant policy recommendations. Based on the successful experience of developed countries in developing large aircraft industry, this paper studies and analyzes the differences of government support policies of large aircraft manufacturing industry at home and abroad, and finds out by comparison. In China, there is a mismatch between demand and supply when supporting the development of large aircraft industry, the aero-engine manufacturer and the aircraft manufacturer are not closely linked, and the supplier control system is not perfect. At the same time, through the previous summary of the support policy, it is found that there is a lack of theoretical and practical exploration on how to guide the large aircraft investment in China. However, the investment policy is of great significance to the healthy development of the industry. Therefore, this paper focuses on the investment policy effect of large aircraft industry through the construction of computable general equilibrium model. The results show that: increase the investment of large aircraft industry. It can promote the manufacturing industry and the overall economic growth to some extent, but it will have a restraining effect on the consumption of the residents. There is an optimal value of investment in large aircraft industry, which can promote economic development to the greatest extent; In addition, there is an overinvestment in the air transport industry, which can reduce the investment. On the basis of the above research, the paper puts forward some relevant policy suggestions for speeding up the development of China's large aircraft industry, including the addition of major scientific and technological special investment, and the establishment of strategic alliances between engine manufacturers and machine manufacturers. Establish and improve the management and control system of large aircraft suppliers, encourage private capital entry and other relevant policies.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F426.5
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